1:30 Kempton (3rd February) Free Horse Racing Tips

1.30 Kempton - Jubilee Brig may prefer a longer trip and can either be held up or track the leaders. Pabusar might find this stretches his stamina. He will have to be held up to have even the slightest chance of winning. Belle Bayardo has got poor form at Kempton and is likely to track the leaders. Jambobo may need further and its form on the all-weather is poor. Dixie Gwalia is the likely leader but her times make it doubtful if she can win even with an uncontested lead. The only horse with a semblance of a decent time is Capone (NAP) and it could win easily. Either it needs to have an off day or another horse progress beyond all recognition for the selection not to win but there's never a certainty with horse racing. 2.00 Kempton - this race is split with 3 horses that are known to lead and three that will either chase the leaders or be held up. I think Welsh Sunrise, Time For Lambrini and Harvest Mist would have to improve greatly to win this race. The selection would be a good bet if he reproduces his Lingfield form here at Kempton. But I wouldn't be betting very heavily if at all on "what a horse may do". 5.40 Wolverhampton - on my speed figures most of the field can be discounted unless they improve greatly. The four on my list are Falasteen, Megaleka, Loyal Royal and Daneglow. I'm always wary when a horse can get an uncontested lead and Falasteen is the only known front runner in the field and I think it should be in the frame. Loyal Royal is a hold up horse and may be able to pick up the leader but Megaleka and Daneglow will also be staying on, so I would keep the stakes low. (E.R.I.C)

1.30 Kempton                 - Capone
2.00 Kempton                - Clock Opera
5.40  Wolverhampton   - Loyal Royal

1:30 Southwell (30th January) Free Horse Racing Tips

1.30 Southwell - there are two horses that can lead if there's no early pace: Sir Geoffrey and Guishan. I don't think they will need to set the pace  in this race as Cadeaux Pearl is a natural front runner. Back down to 5f and now running off its lowest handicap mark, it will probably go to the front and stay there. At odds of 10/1 it's worth an each way wager. 2.00 Southwell - Upper Lambourn is top rated but this race is very hard to evaluate as there's no known front runner in the field. To be honest, none of them are very consistent so I would leave the race alone. However, if you do have a bet keep it to the minimum. 7.20 Kempton - with only six runners and the only known front runner Foxtrot Jubilee, I'm hoping Gabrial's Gift can sit just behind the leader and hold a decent position. This is its third run back after a break and the last two runs have been at Southwell. This course will suit him much better. I would like to back each way at 8/1 but with only two places it might not be the value bet.

 1.30 Southwell - Cadeaux Pearl 10/1 ew
 2.00 Southwell - Upper Lambourn 11/2 
 7.20 Kempton  -  Gabrials Gift 8/1 

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5:00 Wolverhampton (16th January) Free Horse Racing Tips

Conclusion: I've gone straight to the summary because most of these horses employ hold-up tactics or track leaders.

I have looked at Layla's Oasis and its tried to lead on four occasions but never won from the front and is held by three of these runners in its last race. The three horses that didn't compete in that race look quite poor and on all known form can't win. The times of the top four are not that great but Wolverhampton has been running quite a bit slower since they re-laid the course last year. Of the top four who all ran in the same race last time, Barb's Princess comes out on top. He holds the two horses - Dodina and Layla's Oasis - who finished behind him and six pounds better off for the length he was beaten by Lapis Blue and on those terms. He should be able to beat that horse this time out plus there could be another bonus, Barb's Princess has lead from the start at Leicester and Goodwood and on both occasions won so with the lack of pace in the race I'm hoping that it can lead all the way. This time out, even though he didn't try to lead last time, he still holds them on that form so hopefully whatever tactics are employed it has a good chance of winning.

3:45 Lingfield (15th January) Free Racing Tips

Catalina's Diamond is likely to be held-up or track leaders. She comes out third on my ratings over course and distance, so must have a each way claims. Compton Prince likes to track the leaders but only comes out fifth best rated so doubt this race will be within his capabilities. Proper Charlie is another hold-up type and comes out top rated. Johnny Splash likes to track the leaders but according to my figures will struggle to even hit the frame. Green Millionaire may want a longer trip. This gelding's form is fairly poor but he has only had five runs so could improve and this track could suit. Personally, I couldn't back it on what its shown so far. Volito has never finished better than third from eight runs on the all weather. I think this gelding would be better over 5f even though it's a hold-up type. Reginald Claude comes out fourth on my ratings and is held on form by Catalina's Diamond. A place is the best it could hope. Imperial Spirit has shown very little time-wise on good-to-firm ground so I doubt this course will suit. Waterloo Rock has produced a slow time over course and distance and may not be good enough.  He will either lead or track the leaders. Fleetwoodsands is fairly weighted and comes out second on my figures even though I think he will be even better over a longer distance. The type to run on at the finish. Daneside has very poor recent form and this trip may be too short. I doubt this son of Danehill Dancer will be involved in the finish. Brandywell Boy's times are poor and looks better at 5f. 

Conclusion: The early pace may come from Waterloo Rock but I'll be very surprised if he can last to the line. However, if a horse gets an uncontested lead, they can be difficult to catch. The horse that comes out top on my figures is Proper Charlie. He is well clear so must have a good chance. Its best time came three runs ago, over course and distance, when it finished third. His two runs since have been at this course but over 7 furlongs where he didn't stay the trip. The last run was at Wolverhampton, a course he's tried three times, and although two of the finishing positions may look good - the times were poor. Paige Bolton is having her fifteenth ride and yet to ride a winner. She showed ability on another horse from this stable, Copperwood, so I'm hoping she can repeat that on Lee Carter's horse today. 

1:55 Chepstow (12th September) Free Horse Racing Tips

An EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes over 7f 16y on good ground. Eleven two-year-olds take part: most lightly raced with four debutantes.  George Baker is a media-friendly trainer and someone to keep on the right side when his horses are fancied in the betting, especially on their second start. Laurelita, a bay daughter of High Chapparral, cost 39,000gns at the yearling sales. The mare won on her second start when trained by Amanda Perrett. This March foal may have been a 40/1 shot on debut but she ran a sterling race behind the talented Hoku who finally had some luck and won as she liked. The form of that race looks fair and the step up in distance should see a prominent running. After enjoying the soft underfoot conditions at Windsor, there will be no concerns if the ground changes. The betting is important with the Baker juveniles and it would be a confident sign if strong in the market. If drifting to an SP of over 13/2 I would take a watching brief. 

2:20 Pontefract (1st May) Free Horse Racing Tips

William Hill/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f on good to firm ground.  Fifteen juveniles compete: all colts bar two fillies.

Meritocracy has shown ability on both stats to date and probably beaten by a couple of talented juveniles at Newbury. Richard Hannon's runner-up won easily at Windsor. Paul Cole rates this bay colt and said he would be better on firmer ground. Mrs Fitri Hay's representative has plenty of pace and likely to set sail for a win. He will be there at the furlong pole although this stiff finish may well see him holding on at the line. If prices allow he has win and place claims. 


Of the other form horses, Chamberlain ran well on debut at Beverley and a good-looking colt. He was relatively fancied for one of Alan McCabes and the form looks fair. He could improve. 

Sartori wasn't fancied in the betting on debut at Bath but ran on with promise. It is worth noting that this son of Elnadim has been entered to run in a Stakes race and that may be a significant pointer. Charles Bishop takes off a valuable 5lb and a low draw makes for interesting reading. Many of this stable's youngsters improve substantially on their second start and this bay colt could be a dark horse. If the money comes I would take serious note.

Another juvenile who has been given a Stakes entry is Tom Dascombe's Hickster. To be fair he didn't achieve a great deal that day but nor was he fancied in the betting, which probably told the story. Unless this April foal was in need of the run he has a tall order here. However, if backed to 7/1 & less SP it would be a positive sign more is expected.

The debutantes will need to be sharp if they are to beat the likes of Meritocracy. Mark Johnston's two-year-olds have been going well and Ifwecan cost 32,000gns at the yearling sales. If starting favourite it would be significant. However, I would take a watching brief.

Al Baz, Peniaphobia & Yorkshire Relish are all capable of running big races on debut, especially if priced 13/2 & less.

Alan Swinbank sends out his first juvenile of the season with Native Falls. There has been money for this horse. The stable can win on debut and feature fair win and place claims when priced 7/1 & less.

Conclusion: Meritocracy sets the standard and this faster ground should see a bold show. He travels well but there is a slight concern about this stiff finish. Lee may press on and try to gain a winning lead. If prices allow, he is a decent each way bet although I may be tempted to lay the stake in running at short odds as an insurance policy just in case he tires after going a few lengths clear. Chamberlain has ability but a wide draw isn't ideal and although the stable have horses placed second start they often struggle to win. Hickster could improve a good deal if strongly fancied in the betting but  more is needed. Sartori is worth noting in the betting. It wouldn't surprise me to see this colt well backed and if touching big prices on the exchanges may be worth an anticipatory bet in hope of a gamble. If the money comes, he has each way claims. The debutantes have their work cut out but they add to the mix. A few trainers can win on debut and especially so if priced 13/2 & less. I would go for Meritocracy each way and Sartori as a speculative outsider and hope the money comes. 

5:00 Bath (19th April) Free Horse Racing Tips

A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 5f 11y on good to soft ground. Sixteen two-year-olds take part - a mix of colts & fillies - predominantly debutantes with a handful of horses with experience.  Beau Nash sets the standard of those to have raced. This bay colt, a son of Dandy Man, is a good-looking horse and £25,000 yearling buy. He was ridden with confidence, after being held up off the pace, and looked to put down a winning challenge only to be outstayed by Master Carpenter, who could well be a fair type. The form has been franked with the third, fifth & seventh winning on their next start. The major contender although one or two debutantes are of interest. 

Ed McMahon is a superb trainer and his early two-year-olds often prove to be some of his best horses. This is especially true of those owned by John Fretwell. He bought Capitulate ,this son of Avonbridge, for £18,000 at the yearling sales. The stable went close with their first juvenile at Beverley and they have a good strike rate here. In fact, this owner's debutantes feature a 40% place rate at any price, which raises significantly when priced 8/1 & less SP. A number of their juveniles at this course have been substantially backed. If priced at fancy odds on the exchanges it could pay to bet and hope a gamble ensues. 

Another trainer who comes into his own at this course is Clive Cox. Beldale Memory is a daughter of Camacho and a cheap purchase at £8,000. The betting is key. If priced 10/1 & less the stable have an outstanding place rate at this course with their debutantes.


El Duque looked to be going the right way for Bill Turner after running well on debut. However, he disappointed next start at Southwell. The fibresand surface doesn't suit all horses and it could be the case he simply didn't enjoy that day at the races. There is one thing we can be sure, he needs an excuse and improvement to come. If weak in the betting I would take a watching brief.

Mick Channon does well at this track and his horses can win on their racecourse bow. Sartori has fair win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less. Very few of their horses win if weak in the betting.

Rush, a home bred filly trained but Paul Cole, is another who is best judged by the betting. If priced 8/1 and less this horse have win and place claims.

It is interesting to follow the changing fortunes of trainers big and small, especially those on the rise. That is very much the case for Ron Harris' two-year-olds this season which have been in sparkling form. Fantasy Justifier was bought by the trainer for 20,000euros and fancied on the exchanges [Thursday, evening]. With a couple of talented juveniles in his string he should have a guide to where this youngster stands and if backed it would bring added confidence.

Money for Caledonia Laird could be significant.

Conclusion: Experience has proven the key to so many two-year-old winners this season and Beau Nash hails from a stable who know how to win. This good-looking colt is likely to lead many of these a merry dance and take some beating. Ed McMahon is a superb trainer and that added to the ownership of John Fretwell makes me take note of Capitulate. The stable have a good place rate with all debut runners irrespective of price. Early season horses are often their best and if backed it would be a sign of confidence. He could hit the frame. The betting is key to the chances of Sartori, Rush & Beldale Memory. All have claims if priced 8/1 & less. Money for Fantasy Justifier would be a sign of confidence with the stable youngsters going well.

Other 2yo races:

3:40 Newbury

4:10 Wolverhampton (8th April) Free Horse Racing Tips

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f 20y. Quite a restricted race with eight runners, three raced, a couple showing form.

David Evans doesn't let the grass grow under his or his horses feet and that is especially true of his two-year-olds. His approach to the juvenile season is simple: to have his youngsters primed to run and for the majority of the string to have raced by June. Statistically, his winner will come within this period. Ty-Derlwyn Farm have two representatives for this contest.


Kodafine, a daughter of Kodiac out of a winning mare, could well start this race at prohibitive odds. This brown filly looks a canny yearling purchase at 10,000euros & part owned by the trainer. She ran a storming race on debut at Kempton and by all accounts was unlucky not to have won. A tardy start set a stiff task but this compact filly ran on with enthusiasm &  given a considerate ride by her jockey. Another day that would have been a winning debut. In many ways that Kempton race was a strange affair because much of the field blew their chance due to inexperience. The second, Go Glamorous, has been hailed by Ron Harris as A Queen Mary (Group 2) horse, although her subsequent defeat by David Evans' Majestic Alexander may have crushed dreams of Royal Ascot. The third horse in that race has proven disappointing on a couple of starts. While Kodafine has many positives it is worth noting that it was probably no more than an average maiden.

Evans' fields a major opponents, Gin Time. This daughter of Kalanisi has breeding to enjoy a trip and quite an unusual horse as far as engagements are concerns because her trainer had this one entered to run  at stakes class but opted to start in a selling stakes. This March foal finished second to Intense Feeling [trained by Evans who fielded the first three home] and ran a fine race. At points, this bay filly looked to have a winning chance and wasn't given a tough race by any standards. It is worth noting that many of these restricted auction races are no better than glorified selling contests so that race type shouldn't be viewed as a stumbling block.

Red Biba is the last of the form horses. She made her debut in the Brocklesby Stakes. This cheap yearling showed good pace for much of that contest but tired rapidly from the two furlong pole to finish second from last. The Brocklesby is often a significant entry but David Griffiths' youngster would need to improve significantly to figure here. Best watched.

The debutantes will need to be primed to win.

Stan Moore has been in good form with a couple of two-year-old winners this campaign. He fields a gelding named Aweebitowinker & bay filly, Vodka Chaser, who was an early foal.

The former is by first-season sire Winker Watson, a cheap yearling purchase at £1,500. Vodka Chaser was purchased by the trainer for £6,500. The stable have debut winners although they are often speculative prices and their more fancied runners have relatively poor win and place claims. The stable feature a much better win rate with juveniles on their second start.   

Chester Racing Club have a had two juveniles race this season with Jo Hughes. *Countess Lupus is trained by Lisa Williamson. This daughter of Amadeus Wolf out of a winning mare, who was trained by Sir Henry Cecil. In fact the mare raced at Group level and placed at Listed class. To be fair, Williamson has struggled with limited juveniles in past years. Last year, she managed to train debut winner Time For Lambrini at 25/1. However, the stable do not inspire me and I would have to take a watching brief.

Another trainer who has few two-year-olds is Sharon Watt. She sticks in my mind because Bee Brave won at odds of 50/1 when making her two-year-old debut. The Bunny Catcher, a daughter of Jeremy, cost £10,000 and purchased by the trainer. With the stable featuring so few juveniles it is difficult to assess their general standard. I would have to take a watching brief.

One of the more likelier types is Chilly In Rio. William Muir is a superb trainer whose juveniles often slip under the radar. His achievements last year with Purr Along, who heads for the 1,000 Guineas, illustrate his expertise. This daughter of the late Verglas cost £10,000 as the sales. On balance the stable feature a much better strike rate with juveniles on their second start although they have a liking for the all weather. If well backed, it would give more confidence.

Conclusion: Kodafine looks the part and should improve a good deal on that first start. A wide draw isn't ideal but that initial experience should negate that factor. David Evans knows his juveniles and I'm pretty sure they expect this filly to win. Gin Time will be winning this season but may have to play second fiddle to the favourite. The debutantes have something to prove simply because most trainers struggle to win with horses making their racecourse bow. Chilly In Rio may have claims if substantially backed. Countess Lupus is quite well bred but the stable don't inspire. I'd be surprised if the Evans pair don't finish ahead of the crowd.



*NR

Other 2yo races:

2:20 Kempton

3:30 Lingfield (Thursday 4th April) Free Horse Racing Tips

A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 5f. Seven two-year-olds take part, four colts, three fillies, two with race experience.

It will be interesting to see whether Far Gaze makes the line-up after finishing a creditable second at Southwell [yesterday]. Stan Moore doesn't usually let the grass grow under his horse's feet so this son of Belmont might take his chance. This bay colt improved markedly on his debut and physically a fair early juvenile with some strength. He looks a determined character up to winning in this grade and a serious contender. 

Jo Hughes is a trainer to respect and the stable often like a bet. Diamond Lady, a daughter of Multiplex, was priced as though second string at Lingfield when showing good pace and finished runner-up to the fluent winner M'Selle. The form of that race has been franked with the fifth and sixth winning next start. The stable's Marilyn Marquessa was substantially backed but floundered after showing pace. However, she may have suffered with stage fright as a much better performance was seen at Kempton. El Duque was fancied to go well at Southwell - competing against Far Gaze - but disappointed. He may have struggled to handle the surface so I wouldn't be in a rush to crab the form at this stage. Diamond Lady is likely to improve for that first start and likely to front run. 

Of the debutantes, we have a a quartet of leading juvenile trainers.

Blazing Chilli was bought by his trainer, Bill Turner, for £6,000and & owned by Eric Brook, who has had many talents with this stable. The stable has already hit the highs with dual two-year-old stakes winner Mick's Yer Man. The major issue with this March foal is that he has been entered for a selling race. Sometimes there isn't that much of a gulf between auction and plating class but it doesn't inspire confidence. A horse I would rather take a watching brief. If opening at short prices on the exchanges, I would be tempted to lay this juvenile because if limited he could drift in the betting.

Tom Dascombe unleashes his first two-year-old of the season. Quatuor is an early foal and daughter of Kodiac. She cost 20,000euros and out of an unraced mare. The stable know how to ready a juvenile and if fancied in the betting should be noted. 

Mick Channon bred Narborough. First season sire Winker Watson was a precocious juvenile, although the twice raced dam showed next to no ability. The stable have a fair strike rate with their fancied runners.

Sleeping Angel is a home bred filly although went through the sales for £700. Milton Bradley is a capable trainer but the stable have few debut winners. I would take a watching brief.

Brendan Powell is another trainer who has achieved little success with his two-year-olds in recent years. Brockholes Flyer is a son of Belmont, a February foal, who cost £3,000 as a yearling. He is a gelding, so he may have been a handful at home. The only sign of confidence is that this youngster was earmarked for the Brocklseby. This race is often a pointer to fair juveniles but the stable debutantes are best watched.

Conclusion: There is a chance Far Gaze will make a quick reappearance but he will most likely be withdrawn. However, I can see this colt going well if Stan Moore takes this route. Diamond Lady ran well on debut and should improve. On balance she has a fair chance although I wouldn't take a short price. She has to compete against a few colts which can be a challenge. Quatour & Narborough hail from stables which have debut winners. They deserve respect and if well backed it would be a positive. The selling entry has put me off Blazing Chilli. Brockholes Flyer is only interesting because of the Brocklesby entry but best watched. Sleeping Angel is most likely to need to experience.