Tuesday 14 January 2014

3:45 Lingfield (15th January) Free Racing Tips

Catalina's Diamond is likely to be held-up or track leaders. She comes out third on my ratings over course and distance, so must have a each way claims. Compton Prince likes to track the leaders but only comes out fifth best rated so doubt this race will be within his capabilities. Proper Charlie is another hold-up type and comes out top rated. Johnny Splash likes to track the leaders but according to my figures will struggle to even hit the frame. Green Millionaire may want a longer trip. This gelding's form is fairly poor but he has only had five runs so could improve and this track could suit. Personally, I couldn't back it on what its shown so far. Volito has never finished better than third from eight runs on the all weather. I think this gelding would be better over 5f even though it's a hold-up type. Reginald Claude comes out fourth on my ratings and is held on form by Catalina's Diamond. A place is the best it could hope. Imperial Spirit has shown very little time-wise on good-to-firm ground so I doubt this course will suit. Waterloo Rock has produced a slow time over course and distance and may not be good enough.  He will either lead or track the leaders. Fleetwoodsands is fairly weighted and comes out second on my figures even though I think he will be even better over a longer distance. The type to run on at the finish. Daneside has very poor recent form and this trip may be too short. I doubt this son of Danehill Dancer will be involved in the finish. Brandywell Boy's times are poor and looks better at 5f. 

Conclusion: The early pace may come from Waterloo Rock but I'll be very surprised if he can last to the line. However, if a horse gets an uncontested lead, they can be difficult to catch. The horse that comes out top on my figures is Proper Charlie. He is well clear so must have a good chance. Its best time came three runs ago, over course and distance, when it finished third. His two runs since have been at this course but over 7 furlongs where he didn't stay the trip. The last run was at Wolverhampton, a course he's tried three times, and although two of the finishing positions may look good - the times were poor. Paige Bolton is having her fifteenth ride and yet to ride a winner. She showed ability on another horse from this stable, Copperwood, so I'm hoping she can repeat that on Lee Carter's horse today.