Showing posts with label Richard Hannon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Richard Hannon. Show all posts

Sunday, 6 May 2018

4:10 Newmarket Racing Tips (6th May)


Havana Gold Maiden Stakes (Plus 10) over 5f on good going. 

Seven two-year-olds take part: two with racecourse experience.

Hugo Palmer has started this two-year-old season in earnest and Barend Boy ran a cracking race on debut at Leicester. To be fair, this British-bred son of Oasis Dream didn't look like he was going to trouble the leaders when made 9/4f. However, this bay colt really found his stride in the closing furlong and could well have beaten Marie's Diamond if inexperience hadn't proved costly. Palmer has given this youngster an entry for the Lily Agnes but this option looks to have taken preference. With that valuable experience onside, I can see Barend Boy taking some stopping. Should enjoy this stiff finish. 

Mark Johnston has been in pretty good form this early season if not quite achieving the dizzy heights of former seasons. Smile A Mile was made an odds-on shot for his debut at Newcastle but failed to shine. This chestnut son of Slade Power must have been expected to do better. A recent entry for the Lily Agnes Stakes adds to those thoughts. A horse on a recovery mission but one that is likely to show more today. 

Fly The Nest is trained by Charlie Appleby. This March foal cost 200,000 euros at the yearling sales. The stable won this race last year with a debutante so worthy of respect. Godolphin juveniles often make their presence felt at this course. 

A selection of top-class trainers and interesting debutantes.

William Haggas has not had the best start to proceedings with a handful of two-year-olds seen out so far. He managed to find a winner at Yarmouth but a few other prospects have disappointed. He often unleashes a talent at Newmarket although can be a touch unpredictable with debutantes. Fanaar is owned by Hamdan Al Maktoum. This son of Dark Angel cost £240,000 at the yearling sales. Interesting. 

Clive Cox is a smart trainer who knows his horses. He can most certainly ready a debutant. He's had a couple of two-year-olds run this season - a winner and runner-up. Conchek is a black son of Lethal Force. He is an 85,000G yearling purchase. The mare, Soar, was a smart horse who raced up to Group 1. She won on debut and finished runner-up on her second start when contesting the Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) at Royal Ascot, going on to win her next two starts at Group 3 and Group 2, respectively. If priced 13/2 & less SP has sound each-way claims. 

Andrew Balding is one of my favourite trainers of two-year-olds. Most seem primed to win on their second start but can win of debut if talented. Oloroso is priced 25/1 which suggests this son of Fast Company isn't expected today. He cost 27,000G at the yearling sales.

Richard Hannon fields Coco Cheval, the only filly in the line up. This chestnut daughter of Kyllachy will need to be pretty smart and primed to depose the colts. She cost 57,00 euros at the yearling sales. The mare didn't achieve anything of note. 

Conclusion: This looks a competitive race. Smile A Mile needs to find much improvement after disappointing on debut at odds-on. However, the betting that day tells the stable were left scratching their head. A recent Lily Agnes entry details they haven't lost hope. I suspect he will go well. I was impressed by Barend Boy on hos first start. This course - with a stiff finish - looks ideal and I would imagine anything that beats him is decent. If pressed, I would make this horse my tip. Fly The Nest cost a lot of money and hails from a stable who usually send their better prospects to compete at Newmarket. Fanaar is another expensive buy. I do like Haggas' juveniles at Newmarket. They can be difficult to predict and often priced to chance. I wouldn't knock this horse. The betting is the best guide to Conchek. If priced 13/2 & less SP is another who will be coming here with some ambition. I would let the betting settle before jumping in just in case it pinpoints one or two weak links. I would have to take a watching brief with just two places for seven runners. A race which will identify a number of future winners.

Sunday, 2 August 2015

6:00 Windsor (3rd August) LADBROKES BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)


Just a few notes. Working on a number of fronts these days and not much energy going spare. Sixteen fillies over 6f on good to firm going. Couple of talking horses here with Al Khateya and Lenience both holding entries for the Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1). On balance very unlikely these debutantes will have the class to contend at that level but nonetheless their entries hint at ability. The former trained by Richard Hannon was purchased by Peter & Ross Doyle at the yearling sales for 350,000eur. A wide draw is far from ideal. Conversely, Lenience, trained by Martyn Meade, has a prime draw in stall one. This daughter of Oasis Dream is quite interesting simply for the fact that Meade has only given pattern entries to three juveniles this season, including Kurland [pictured]. She runs in the familiar black and white silks of Ladyswood Stud. Sefton Lodge generally go well with their debutantes so if this bay filly has a touch of class I'd expect some promise today if not hitting the frame. At odds of 10/1 there could well be some meat on the bone.  

Lenience - worth a small speculative bet. I'd take the 10/1 and hope she is backed to half odds etc for a decent no-lose bet. Difficult horse to assess in some respects. 

Touched half odds on Betfair so satisfied with my analysis. Either needed the run or poor. Terrible start just about summed things up.  

Wednesday, 17 June 2015

2:30 Royal Ascot Racing Tips (18th June) NORFOLK STAKES (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo)


The Norfolk Stakes Group 2 over 5f on good to firm going. A select field of eleven two-year-old colts. If the betting is to be believed this is a two-horse race. With the exception of Ajaya [20/1] this looks a match between Richard Hannon's prized juveniles: King Of Rooks & Log Out Island. As always, money rules, and both have been purchased by leading owners at astronomical sums to fly the respective flags of leading connections Al Shaqab Racing & Godolphin. King Of Rooks has progressed since his debut when third behind Steady Pace, reversing the form at Sandown in emphatic style. The form of the National Stakes with Buratino going on to win the Coventry Stakes Group 2 [admittedly stepping up to 6f], and Steady Pace a narrow defeat when third in the Windsor Castle Stakes Listed adds to the assessment this son of Acclamation out of a Group 3 winning mare [placed at Group 1] has a superbly fast horse in King Of Rooks. Priced at odds of even money there isn't too much meat on the bone and for me these are races to watch and enjoy. This should be a race to savoir. 

Saturday, 2 May 2015

2:40 Salisbury Racing Tips (3rd May) BETFRED "RACING´S BIGGEST SUPPORTER" FILLIES´ CONDITIONS STAKES


A Fillies' Conditions Stakes over 5f  on firm going. Six two year olds take part: three raced, including two debut winners, and a trio on their race course bow . Interesting that the winners carry no penalty for winning at class 5, while those making their race course debutes have a three pound allowance. Both winners have been entered to run in the Lily Agnes (6th May), which they are unlikely to compete [although you can never quite tell with David Evans]. 

Last year this race was won by Tiggy Wiggy [pictured] on her second start after an effortless victory at Kempton on the first day of the 2014 Flat season. Her greatest achievement - from a string of wins - came when taking the Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1). Ultimately, crowned Cartier Champion Two-Year-Old Filly. An exceptional talent.  

Great Page will start a short priced favourite after a stylish debut win at Windsor two weeks ago. This bay filly was made market leader that day and although it was seemingly a lowly race judge by class I could well turn out to be a fair juvenile contest. There were a number of nice physical specimens, which says something as fillies look good, bad and ugly. This Irish bred daughter of Roderic O'Connor ran well, held up just off the page, which was set by one of today's opposition, a good number too keen throughout the race. Middleham Park Racing will be holding their breath in hope she can emulate last year's victress. It is never wise to limit the talent of a winning thoroughbred. Great Page showed ample promise at Windsor and if aspiration of Royal Ascot are to be realised she will need to win well. 

Hannon has a second representative, Illuminate, a debutante sired by Zoffany out of an unraced mare. She was purchased at the yearling sales by Peter & Ross Doyle Bloodstock for £95,000. This bay filly is in the ownership Denford Stud. Hannon has been known to pull a few aces from his sleeves when it comes to talented ''second strings'' turning up to spoil the party of favourite backers. It is unlikely to be the case today but if seriously backed take note.

John Bridger isn't known for training two year olds and those which could be termed as talented are very very few. Wait long enough and a good horse may come along, I can imagine connections hold those thoughts about Stormflower. This daughter of Arcano may have been a cheap yearling purchase at 4,200GNS. She looks a good purchase. A filly with size and scope to progress with racing, her Achilles' heal was her delight in pulling for the majority of the race. Make no mistake, this juvenile has ability and if learning to settle could make her presence felt. The betting will be skewed because Great Page gave his April foal a fair beating. In addition, being trained by what some would consider a ''less fashionable stable'' she could well be tagged as the outsider of the field. Stakes races can be competitive affairs - you can never quite tell who is eyeing-up the prize. If huge odds are available on the exchanges I'd be tempted to have a small bet and try and lay at considerably sorter odds in-running. Interesting.

David Evans is a shrewd trainer who knows the strength and weakness of his juveniles. Nag's Wag is an Irish bred daughter of Approve and purchased cheaply by the trainer at the yearling sales. This January foal wasn't fancied in the betting on debut at Bath but showed a professional attitude, always in front rank and battled to regain the lead in the closing stages. That was a very restricted race type which may hold the form down. The second that day - Rogue's Gallery - was second next start but it was a similarly race type, although the winner is fair. Once again, it is difficult to limit a winning horse. On balance, I would imagine Nag's Wag is set a fair test by the likely favourite. 

Charlie Hills has sent out a couple of two year olds to date and it is interesting Komedy is starting her career at stakes class. It is probably a sign his daughter of Kodiac will be victorious this formative season. She is half-sister to Jane's Memory, trained by Rae Guest, who has been placed at Group 2. Komedy cost 70,000eur at the yearling sales. The betting is the best guide and if priced 13/2 & less has fair win and place claims.

Sixties Sue is trained by Mick Channon, who has been relatively quiet this early season. This daughter of Sixties Icon is out of a mare similarly trained and full sister to Scargill who wasn't the best talent but a gritty character winning twice at plating class. Sixties Sue cost 40,000gns at the yearling sales. The betting is the best guide. If priced over 8/1 I would take a watching brief. 

Conclusion: A fascinating race. Stakes race can often seem predictably straight forward - other times an enigma. Great Page could well start 1/2f. She sets the standard and after a stylish debut could be earmarked for Roayl Ascot. She is a good-looking filly and with Tiggy Wiggy winning this race last punters will have a bee in their bonnet. The horse to beat but not one I would back at odds-on. Nag's Wag didn't win a great race on debut but win she did. On balance, I would consider she has something to prove but it pays to respect a winner. The debutantes are best watched, especially if priced outside 13/2 SP. Stormflower is one of those horses that excites and traumatises in equal measure when betting. John Bridger may have a horse with an element of ability but will she pull keenly as seen on debut? That wouldn't help her cause. She has pace and if stealing an easy lead could take some catching. If touching fancy odds on the exchanges she must be worth a small bet and try to lay your stake in-running and hope the wind is blowing in the right direction. Being beaten by Great Page predicts she could be over priced [contrast theory]. It would be a speculative punt at 20/1+.     

Tuesday, 28 April 2015

2:25 Ascot Racing Tips (29th April) TIMES+ CONDITIONS STAKES (CLASS 2) (2yo)


A Conditions Stakes race over 5f on good to firm going. Six two year olds takes part: three unbeaten, one placed and unseated rider plus a debutante from Hannon's stable.

Last year this race was won by Escalating, trained by Pat Eddery, on his third start. He disappointed on debut when made favourite in the Brocklesby Stakes, victorious on his second start at Kempton. This son of Three Valleys ran at Group 3 but disappointed. 

A trio of winning debutantes make this a fascinating race - almost certainly the best race we have seen this juvenile campaign. 

Gifted Master was tested at Stake class when racing at Newmarket on debut against the Brocklesby Stakes victor Ravenhoe. This son of Kodiac was pretty fancied in the betting [4/1]. The favourite didn't have much luck in running but it would have made little difference to the result because Hugo Palmer's colt surged clear of the field after being held up just behind the pace. He was coltish that day which often puts pay to a horse's chance. However, it was a sparkling display and by all account Dr Ali Ridha horse could have a glowing future. 

Buratino was similarly stylish on his debut at Chelmsford City when winning readily by over three lengths. The form of that race has yet to be tested but the second and third both held entries for the Brocklesby Stakes and one cost a considerable amount at the yearling sales. Mark Johnston had a treble with his two year olds that day and all look good prospects. This son of Exceed And Excel was very inexperienced that day. Turning courses can be hard work for a horse learning his craft and in many respects that made his performance all the more outstanding. This bay colt is likely to improve a good deal for that first run and difficult to limit his ability. A talent who should be a worthy challenger to the favourite. 

The last of the trio is Handytalk, who is trained by Rod Millman. This Irish son of first season sire Lilborne Lad was backed on debut at Winsdor when the stable fielded two horses, the other more fancied in the betting. Raj To Riches looked to have the aces up his sleeve but April foal nabbed him on the line. The form of that race doesn't look in the same class as the two mentioned. It is worth noting that Millman's two year olds are not pressed on debut and this youngster could well improve. On balance, I would take a watching brief.

Mark Usher's Arlecchino's Rock finished third behind Handytalk and needs to improve. Usher's horses usually come on for their racecourse bow and this colt looks up to winning this season. Another horse who is best watched although he, like the other juveniles, do not carry a penalty.  

Interesting to see Aragon Knight making his return to racing after unseating his rider on debut at Newbury. Heather Main doesn't train many two year olds but this son of Kheleyf was well backed that day. That maiden often features a few decent juveniles. This looks a stiff ask and there is always a concern horses who show temperament will act in a similar manner. It is also true that a lot of horses who fluff their lines on debut come back all guns blazing. This bay colt has a lot to prove and best watched. 

Richard Hannon has been relatively quiet this early season. It is intriguing they have Log Out Island making his debut at this level. This Irish bred son of Dark Angel is out of a twice-winning mare. He was purchased at the yearling sales by Ross & Peter Doyle Bloodstock for £95,000. This stable should always be respected with such a huge string of juveniles and the betting will give a good idea of the merit this horse is held. However, it would have to be significantly backed for me to view it as a worthy challenger and if weak in the betting is best left alone. It would be a supreme effort to win against this opposition. 

Conclusion: A race to savior this early season - two potentially smart two year olds in the shape of Gifted Master - who was sparkling at Newmarket - and the untapped ability of Buratino who was clueless at Chelmsford City. I will be watching and enjoying this contest as a purist. Gifted Master would get the nod if pressed. Stakes races are a law unto themselves - never say never. It is unlikely Handytalk will tarnish the hopes of the major fancies. Arlecchino's Rock and Aragon Rock have a mountain to climb, while Log Out Island is set a stern test to beat such promising opponents on debut. All have it to prove. It looks a duel between Gifted Master & Buratino. Enjoy.       

  

  

Sunday, 12 April 2015

1:40 Windsor Racing Tips (13th April) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)


An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f 10y on good going. Eight debutante two year olds take part: six colts and two fillies. A varied mix of horse trainers. Last year, this race was won by odds-on shot Magic Roundabout, trained by Richard Hannon, who proved to be a very disappointing horse thereafter. 

Windsor is a popular hunting ground for Richard Hannon. Fit is one of two fillies in the line up - a daughter of Kodiac. The mare didn't race until three but won on her second start, trained by Hannon Snr. This bay filly is an early foal [20th January] and racing in the familiar silks of Mrs Julie Wood. She was purchased as a foal for 12,000eur. The stable have a 23% win rate with their juveniles here over the last five years [9 from 40]. Subsequently, their two year olds at this course are often priced to chance and, perhaps, not great value. It often takes a fair filly to beat the colts but a horse to give worthy consideration.

Mark Johnston has continued his flying start to the two year old campaign with Delizia who won on Saturday. Beaverbrook is a home bred colt from Darley. The mare won a couple of races over a trip. Kingsley House Stables are in the limelight and with an increased string of two year olds will be fancied in the betting. On breeding, this bay colt may appreciate 6f. I'd take a watching brief.      

Rod Millman fields two colts: Concur is an Irish bred son of Approve out of an unraced mare.This April foal cost £24,000 at the yearling sales purchased by Geoffrey Howson and Rod Millman. 

Handytalk is also Irish bred, a son of Lilbourne Lad out of an unraced mare. This bay colt cost £32,000 at the yearling sales. In general, Rod Millman has a poor strike rate with his debutantes with around 3 winners in 130 or so two year olds since 2007. However, two of those victories came in recent years with Master Carpenter (2013) & Bonnie Grey (2014). The former was a class horse, which can often defy the stats. The tissue price [Sporting Life] suggests they will be relatively fancied in the betting. I would have to take a watching brief because they usually improve for race experience. 

Interesting to see Marcus Tregoning with an early juvenile. Port Gaverne is an American bred in the ownership of the trainer. This bay colt is a son of Lord Shanakil out of a poor mare who needed a trip. He cost 15,000eur at the yearling sales. This stable can win on debut when priced 14/1 & less. They feature fair place claims when priced at 13/2 & less although the win rate is poor. On balance, I'd take a watching brief. 

Raj To Riches could well be a dark horse. David Evans is a canny old stick and this horse was one of two who were engaged to run in the Brocklesby Stakes [Silver Wings]. This chestnut colt, a son Iffraaj, cost 60,000euro as a foal.The trainer and jockey have decent statistics at this course. If priced 13/2 & less has fair win and place claims.     

Zeeoneandonly looks to be second string for the trainer.                   

Arlecchino's Rock cost £21,000 when purchased at the yearling sales by Oliver St Lawrence Bloodstock. This chestnut colt is bred to need further and Mark Usher's juveniles are likely to need the run.  

Conclusion: Interesting to see how the ground goes with regard to what could be a good or bad draw. An intriguing race. Richard Hannon does well here and even though Fit is a filly taking on colts she should be respected. It can be difficult to pick the wheat from the chaff but one for the shortlist. Beaverbrook hails from a stable who can do little wrong. I find Johnston's two year olds difficult to assess - the classic easy winner or poor loser. The breeding of this colt suggests he will be better over 6f+. I would take a watching brief. Concur, Handytalk and Port Gaverne come from stables who are better second start. It doesn't mean they cannot win but I wouldn't back them. Raj To Riches catches the eye and his entry for the Brocklesby Stakes may be a pointer to ability. This colt cost 60,000euros at the sales and entered to race at Newbury [Friday]. The trainer and jockey have fair win and place claims at this course and feature a decent strike rate when priced 13/2 & less. Evans always has a fair early horse but whether this is it only time will tell. I would have to consider Fit & Raj To Riches as most likely with the latter most intriguing, especially if backed. 

Monday, 6 April 2015

3:10 Lingfield Racing Tips (7th April) ORPHEUS CENTRE MEDIAN AUCTION MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)


A Median Auction Stakes over 5f 6y on standard going. A very restricted race type. This race was won last year by Cheerio Sweetie who showed good early form, made favourite for the Lily Agnes Conditions, before proving disappointing. 

Five two-year-olds take part: two colts and three fillies, a couple once-raced, which on the face of it looks limited form.

Lingfield Lass and Ojai finished fourth and fifth respectively behind Rah Rah [trained by Mark Johnston] and the form has been franked to some degree by Anwar who finished second on her subsequent start. 

Lingfield Lass is an Irish bred bay filly trained by John Best. A February foal, out of the poor sire Mullionmileanhour, who won a maiden race and was placed at Listed class. This horse didn't go through the sales and heralds from Best Breeding. Racing in the silks of Lingfield Park Owners Group, she made a satisfactory debut at odds of 16/1 when ridden by today's pilot Kieran Fox. This bay was given time to find her stride and ran on in the closing stages without threatening the lead. Experience is always a positive but improvement is needed. With such a small field betting guides may be conflicting although the stable's juveniles hold fair win and place claims when priced 5/1 & less on their second start. 

Ojai was one place behind Lingfield Lass and more fancied in the betting at odds of 8/1. This brown filly was quite an early foal [18th February] sired by Big Bad Bob out of a once-race mare. Sold at the yearling sales for 16,000EUR, bought-in by Anthony Stroud Bloodstock who bred this juvenile with J Hanley & T Stewart. Ojai comes from a decent family including half-sister Dream Date. A few of the siblings have sold for good money. Now racing in the silks of Wood Hall Stud Ltd. Dean Ivory is a handler who knows how to win. This juvenile wasn't best away on debut and crossed by one of its opponents which meant she was a few lengths adrift, although pushed to be half competitive, then ran wide on the bend. She looked inexperienced and physically a touch weak. In addition, she has a slightly pronounced action. Fillies come in all shapes and sizes and not the easiest to assess but she looked like time would see her well. Dean Ivory's juveniles can improve a good deal for their first run and if starting on terms looks a similar standard to John Best's horse. Harper Lodge Farm can win on their second start and a few have done so at big odds. However, on balance, I'd have to take a watching brief.

The debutantes look most likely to take this contest. The problem with such cheap buys [if not lesser-bred juveniles] is that they are unlikely to be world beaters. 

Ower Fly is a home bred son of Pastoral Pursuits out of a nine times winning handicap mare. This bay colt is drawn in stall one and hails from Richard Hannon's stable. It is difficult to access the likely standard of this horse although it wouldn't have to achieve a great deal to be competitive. Turning courses are never the easiest to handle for debutantes and a slow start or running wide on the bend are always a concern. One of the more likely contenders.

Mark Johnston has been in flying form with his early two-year-olds and could well come here with a firm grip of the form needed to prevail. This son of Fast Company is a home bred. Rogue's Gallery  is ridden by 3lb apprentice Michael J M Murphy. As I have said before, I find Johnston's debutantes difficult to assess: they are either easy winners or poor losers and I will stick with that appraisal. I'd have to take a watching brief although fearful especially if starting favourite.

Robert Eddery is a trainer who I rate although he doesn't have a very good strike rate with his debutantes even those quite fancied in the betting. Priory is a bay filly and daughter of Mullionmileanhour [who doesn't inspire as a sire] out of a once-raced mare. This April foal is owned by the trainer.

Conclusion: These restricted races are often akin to plating class and it wouldn't be a surprise to see some entered at that grade in the next few months. I would often favour form horses at this level but Lingfield Lass and Ojai didn't inspire confidence on their racecourse bow. It is a difficult one because they have valuable experience and likely to improve for the race and most importantly connections will be aiming to win. The betting guides are somewhat conflicting as such a small field doesn't help asses the market. John Best has a fair win and place rate at 5/1 & less, while Dean Ivory's juveniles can find huge improvement from first to second start. Their success depends on the ability of those making their formative steps. Rogue's Gallery and Ower Fly would have to be favoured to take this contest. The former is trained by Mark Johnston and if strongly fancied in the betting it could be significant with winning two-year-olds aplenty. I find this stable difficult to predict. Ower Fly has fair breeding for this level and is taking after the dam will be a wiry character. I would give this horse the edge if pressed but at the odds there will be better more confident bets to come. Priory hails from a stable who often like a gamble but their strike rate on debut is poor. I would have to watch this race rather than bet.


Monday, 2 February 2015

2:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (2nd February) LADBROKES MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (3yo+)


A Maiden Stakes over 1m 1y on standard going for three and four-year-old colts & fillies. Eight lightly-raced thoroughbreds take part from leading stables. A difficult race to assess with a good few likely to progress with experience - but one horse does have some appeal. Wajeeh should make a bold show after a promising debut over course and distance. This three-year-old chestnut gelding is trained by Richard Hannon, racing in the colours of Al Shaqab Racing. A son of Raven's Pass, he cost 250,000gns at Tattersalls October Sales 2013. This January foal finished a respectable third on debut when ridden by Martin Dwyer and should improve on that first start. It is a plus to see Frankie Dettori takes the ride, his only mount of the day. Silent Thunder is one of the main dangers, being fancied to go well on all three starts to date but chopping and changing distance suggests William Haggis' colt is just ordinary and an official rating of 70 reflects that opinion. Looking at the exchanges, Wajeeh is shorter than the tissue prices suggested (9/4) - most likely odds-on. Remember it pays to look at bookmaker prices and especially free bets. Use this promo code to get a free £25 matched bet at William Hill. The betting suggests this expensive purchase will be very hard to beat. 

Sunday, 2 November 2014

3:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (3rd November) 32RED MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (TAPETA) (CLASS 6) (2yo)


A maiden auction stakes over 1m 141y on standard going. Nine two-year-olds take part in this restricted race type comprising: one colt, a solitary gelding and seven fillies. All juveniles are lightly race with a debutante from James Tate. 

Burma Bridge, trained by Richard Hannon, has progressed with racing after clearly needing his debut run at Newbury when finishing last at odds of 66/1. This home bred son of Avonbridge showed marked improvement when placed on his second start, then suffered narrow head-bob loser at Brighton when slugging it out in the mud. This gelding is likely to set the pace and could well take some pegging back against what is predominantly a field of fillies. 

Twice Certain showed promise on debut then disappointing second start at Leicester when relatively fancied in the betting. Ed Walker's daughter of Lawman finished second last time out at Lingfield when 20/1. In truth that was a poor race where the winner had something in hand. 

Quest For Wonder, the debutante of the field, wouldn't need to be anything out of the ordinary to prevail against form horses which have official ratings in the low 70s at best. This bay filly by Makfi out of a winning mare cost 20,000gns at the yearling sales. It is never easy for a juvenile to win on debut but Tate is one of a few handlers who can hit the mark at the first time of asking.

The most experienced horse in the field sees Edge Of Heaven trying to make it sixth time lucky. In truth this daughter of Pastoral Pursuits has been consistently hitting the frame but never quite mastering the opposition. Johnny Portman has done well with his two-year-olds this season but with an official rating of just 65 (plating class) she may place once more but for victory others may need to fail. 

Of the others Resolve was fancied on debut but showed little and less so next start. Unless substantially backed, best watched.

A number of horses are making their second start after showing little ability on debut: Space Sheriff, Missandei, Callendula & Rum Swizzel. The betting is the best guide. If priced 13/2 & less all fair win and place claims. However, the tissue betting suggests this is very unlikely. 

Conclusion: A difficult race to assess. The form horses are limited although this race type doesn't set a high bar for success. Burma Bridge will most likely set the pace and say: ''Catch me if you can...'' The horse to beat. Twice Certain and Edge Of Heaven look to have their limitations but hold place claims. Quest For Wonder heralds from a stable which send out debut winners. If available at each way price may be worth a small bet but betting first time out can make a fool of the best trainers at times. I'd be tempted to have a small bet on Burma Bridge with a view to laying at shorter odds in-running. Hannon's gelding should set the pace and hope to hold that lead. 

Tuesday, 21 October 2014

Richard Hannon Hailed The New Champion With Record Prize Money


There are still almost three weeks left of the domestic season, but, while Richard Hannon's team drew a blank at last week's big meetings at Ascot and Newmarket, they still amassed plenty of prize money from the placed horses, so Richard's haul of £4,620,792 gives him a cushion of more than £460,000 over John Gosden. 

With next Saturday's Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster being the final Group 1 of the season and all the really valuable handicaps done and dusted, the fat lady has been on her feet since last week-end, acclaiming Richard Hannon as champion trainer in his very first season at the helm.

Furthermore, Richard's tally beats his father's record prize money from last year by more than £68,000, though they can both claim 16 Group winners each on home soil, so junior will be anxious to inch ahead some time between now and November 8. 

No Pattern prizes up for grabs until the week-end, but seven of the eight races at Newmarket tomorrow are two-year-old affairs, and the stable are well represented at HQ, with Crafty Choice flying the flag in the feature event, the 10-furlong Zetland Stakes. 

Hannon said:"Crafty Choice is on a roll, having won three off the spin, and he was going away at the finish when revelling in the soft ground at Nottingham last time, so neither the extra furlong nor the testing conditions will be a problem." 

Wednesday, 30 July 2014

2:35 Goodwood (31st July) Ivawood: Winning Money This Easy Is Pornographic


The Qatar Bloodstock Richmond Stakes Group 2 for colts and geldings over 6f on good to firm ground. Nine two-year-olds take part: all raced and winners. This contest could well be about one horse - Ivawood.

This son of first season sire Zebedee cost 220,000gns when purchased at Tattersalls October Sales 2013 (Book 1) Lot 472, by Mrs A Skiffington. This February foal, a bay colt, out of a poor multiple-winning mare [Keene's Royale, trained by Ralphe Beckett] has won both starts to date. 

Richard Hannon has a wealth of talented two-year-old horses in his two stables but Ivawood was very much a talking horse on debut when racing over the minimum trip on debut at Sandown [5f]. Racing in the familiar silks of owners Carmicheal Jennings, this good-looking juvenile was sent off 8/11f when making a taking debut win over Magical Memory, who proved victorious at Leicester next start. 

Every inch a confidence rider, Richard Hughes won in unhurried fashion when taking the July Stakes Group 2 at Newmarket over 6f, going away in the final 100 yard to win readily by two-and-half lengths. 

Other race entries include: Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2), Champagne Stakes (Group 2), Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2). The Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) & Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) are likely to be on the agenda come the end of the season.

Both trainer and jockey have spoken of this horse in glowing terms and it is already one of the favourites for next year's 2,000 Guineas. 

It would be a major surprise if this 4/9f doesn't arouse a winner's cheer at Glorious Goodwood. 

Monday, 28 July 2014

2:30 Goodwood (29th July) BET365 MOLECOMB STAKES (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (2yo)


A Group 3 Class 1 Stakes race over 5f on good going. Eight two-year-olds take part: seven colts and one filly. All juveniles have multiple race experience, winners bar one colt trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam. A fascinating race featuring some of the best juvenile sprinters.

Beacon has shone brightly since losing on debut when strongly fancied. It is interesting to consider that Richard Hughes [jockey] said this son of Paco Boy was better than another of their stars Kool Kompany who has won five of his six races, twice at Group 2. In fairness, Beacon has something to prove to match that talent but this January foal has caught the eye with a progressive profile, seemingly taking a major step forward last start when winning the Dragon Stakes Listed Race at Sandown over the minimum trip. This bay colt was a great yearling buy at £52,000 and a supreme acquisition for the familiar racing silks of Highclere Thoroughbred Racing (Albany). This good-looking juvenile won well last start and was favoured by Hughes' hold-up tactics. In some respects the Sandown race fell a part with Mukhmal & Snap Shot setting the pace. That approach has proven the downfall of the former when giving what could only be described as a ridiculous ride in the Norfolk Stakes Group 2 at Royal Ascot. If this turns into a tactical affair, Mark Johnston's juvenile may prove a tougher nut to crack if ridden with more restraint.

However, you can guarantee Hughes will sit off the pace and play a waiting game with Beacon, to pounce in the final furlong. 

Cotai Glory looked a difficult horse horse to control on his first three starts and moody when winning at Bath in the hands of George Baker. I had fears this son of Exceed And Excell would spit the dummy out when racing at Listed class, stepping up to 6f. In truth, he ran well and showed a professional attitude. Although beaten in fair style by Limato, time may tell that unbeaten horse trained by Henry Candy is smart. Dropped back to the minimum trip there will be no fears about him getting the distance but whether these fractions will have this chestnut colt slightly struggling for pace only time will tell. 

Dougal hails from the Hannon stable, which always impress at Goodwood. This son of Zebedee was outclassed when a 25/1 shot when well behind the stable's star turn Ivawood. There may be strength in numbers but more is needed today. 

Fast Act is a winner trained by Kevin Ryan and ridden by Jamie Spencer. A fair juvenile but may need the favourites to disappoint to prove victorious.

Union Rose seemingly ran a superb race when second in the Windsor Castle Listed Race at Royal Ascot but looking flattered when beaten with ease by Beacon at Sandown. He needs an excuse and a return to those dizzy heights, which doesn't seem likely. 

Spirit Of Xian is the only filly in the field, one of three runners for Richard Hannon. The blinkers are applied in hope of finding improvement which is needs against the boys. 

Burning The Clocks doesn't look good enough. 

Summary: Beacon looks the logical horse after beating Mukhmal last start at Sandown. However, it would be interesting if Hanagan could play a more tactical role and restraint rather than blast off too fast on Mark Johnston's two-year-old. He hasn't had a chance to show his true ability on these last two starts. Beacon will make a late charge and could well be a class act. Hughes rides this horse and track well and the one to beat. Cotai Glory has ability but whether this drop in distance will suit is a matter of opinion. Although well behaved last time out he could boil over if his temperament shows and one to watch until the off for those who fancy a bet. Beacon should take all the beating.
   

Friday, 13 June 2014

Night Of Thunder Set To Take On Kingman Again


Night of Thunder goes into the St James’s Palace Stakes next looking to build on his victory in the 2000 Guineas where he had two future Classic winners in behind him in the form of Kingman and Australia.

Richard Hannon’s colt has not been seen since his success at Newmarket where he was the surprise 40/1 winner with Betfair for the opening Classic of the year. Despite drifting to the left of the course in the closing stages of the Guineas, he was able to get up by half a length under jockey Kieren Fallon.

Australia boosted the form of Night of Thunder when he won the Derby at Epsom at the weekend to the delight of Betfair backers.

The John Gosden trained Kingman was the horse who finished directly behind Night of Thunder on that mile contest and will get his opportunity to put the record straight in their rematch in the St James’s Palace Stakes.

It did not take Gosden’s runner long to make up for his 2000 Guineas defeat as he won the Irish equivalent at the Curragh a few of weeks later. On that occasion he went off as a warm favourite with Betfair at 4/5 in the betting. The soft to heavy ground did not prove to be a problem for the British horse as he scored by five lengths.

Ryan Moore has been confirmed as the jockey who will board Toormore. He opened up with a victory in the Craven Stakes at Newmarket when bearing The Grey Gatsby in the Group Three contest.


Toormore also lined up in the 2000 Guineas where he was disappointing in seventh place. That was the first defeat of the colt’s career after going through his two-year old campaign unbeaten. He is currently third best in the market for next week’s race.

Thursday, 5 June 2014

6:35 Goodwood (6th June) ADVANCED RESOURCE MANAGERS EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)


An EBF Maiden Stakes over 6f on good ground. Thirteen two-year-olds take part: all colts bar a solitary filly. Four horses have race experience.

Richard Hannon has been in fantastic form this new season and his establishment with a number of significant owners can only add strength to depth. Al Shaqab Racing have proven a potent force with retained jockey Frankie Dettori. Alediad was sent off a hot favourite for his Newbury debut, won in style by leading Coventry Stakes Group 2 hopeful Adaay. 

This January foal, a son of Acclamation, was purchased by Pier House Stud for 100,000euros as a foal. A good-looking colt, he is held in high regard by connections given Curragh race entries including: The GAIN Railway Stakes Group 2,  Keeneland Phoenix Stakes Group 1 & National Stakes Group 1. It would be no surprise to hear connections have ambitions to attend Royal Ascot, which this race comes in timely fashion. 

There was much to like about this youngster's debut performance. Dettori didn't press too many buttons and gave a considerate introduction. In truth a wide draw didn't help, with the pace of the race coming from those higher drawn. It wouldn't be a surprise to learn Alediad ran down the slower part of the track. Looking inexperienced, picking his ears at the two pole, he threatened to challenge but then eased in the final furlong when the winner had flown. 

That initial experience will see a more professional race today, A high draw against the rail should see a bold show and this horse will be primed. I would expect this youngster to travel very well and it will take a fair sort to deny this colt. He could well improve over further as the dam enjoyed a trip. 

There will be very little meat left on the bone as far as price is concerned. 

A watching brief.  

Thursday, 10 April 2014

2:00 Newbury Racing Tip (11th April) AL BASTI EQUIWORLD EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN STAKES (Bobis Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)


An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f34y on good to soft going. Fair prize money for this fourteen-strong field of twelve colts and two fillies, one raced. A number of leading stables represented and starting point for a good few talented horses. 

David Elsworth won this contest last year with Justice Day. This multiple-winning two-year-old colt proved consistent -  including an outstanding third in the Middle Park Stakes (Group 1).

David Elsworth has his first two-year-old runner, similarly owned in the silks of Robert Ng. Justice Good is a March foal by Acclamation who cost 65,000gns at the yearling sales. This bay colt is out of a winning mare, who didn't race at two. It could be the case that Elsworth targets this race with his precocious juveniles. However, he features a poor strike rate with his debutantes. The stable's youngsters can win if priced 10/1 & less on debut but they can be very hit and miss. This will be a competitive betting heat I would consider a bold show if strongly fancied. If weak in the markets this horse may need the run.

Richard Hannon has sent out three two-year-old horses this season and all have won. The stable have a wealth of talented juveniles and they have done well in this race. Last year they had the runner-up in Steventon Star, Malachim Mist (8th) & Biography (12th). All went on to win, the two former winning at Stakes class. 

Be Bold is a son of Assertive out of a poor mare, which cost £20,000 at the yearling sales. This February foal was quoted by Hannon as ''working well up at Everleigh on Tuesday''. *Crafty Choice is ridden by Ryan Moore. Similarly purchased by Peter & Ross Doyle Bloodstock Ltd, this bay colt cost 70,000gns. This March foal isn't quite two and sired by Intikhab out of a a talented five-time winning mare, trained by Hannon Snr. The betting is the best guide to their respective chances and the most favoured in the betting should have sound each way claims.

Another talented trainer of two-year-olds is Richard Fahey. Ballymore Castle is a brown colt by Invincible Spirit out of a Group 3 winning mare who liked a trip. The betting is the best guide and if priced 13/2 & less has fair win and place claims.

John Gosden is represented by his first two-year-old runner of the season. Kasb is an exceptionally well bred son of Arcano out of a fantastic mare, Cape Columbine, who may have only one win in her career but competed at Group 1 level on four occasions. This horse is wearing the second colours for Hamdan Al Maktoum. The second string often go well for this owner. The stable have respectable win and place claims with horses priced 13/2 & less, especially if strongly fancied. 

It is interesting to see Paul Hanagan booked to ride Kibaar, trained by John Hills. This son of Pastoral Pursuits rose in price from 16,000gns as a foal to a 100,000gns yearling. Hills doesn't inspire confidence with his debutnates although on the other side of the coin he has few juveniles fancied on their racecourse bow. If strongly fancied I would take this horse as having ability. 

Mick Channon has been a little slow with his juveniles this early part of the season (not that there has been many races) and King Crimson has a wide draw (1) which isn't the best starting point. Channon's debutantes have fair win and place claims if priced 8/1 & less but few horses win outside this guide. 

Kennet Valley Thoroughbred Ltd are a syndicate who are always worthy of respect - they have the knack of finding talented two-year-olds. This son of first season sire Zebedee looks a good purchase at 35,000euros. Charlie Hills said: ''Magical Memory has always been forward at home and done enough to do himself justice.'' [Information found via Horse Trainer Directory]. The stable have fair each way claims when their juveniles are priced 13/2 & less on debut.     

I'm a big fan of Olly Steven's stable. He made a huge impact on his formative season and his first juvenile of this campaign is The Paco Kid. From a small sample it is still quite difficult to get a handle on Robin Farm Racing. However, they were represented by Green Door in this race last year who went on to win the Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2). If priced 13/2 & less would be high on the short list.     

The only form horse in this field is one of two fillies, trained by David Evans. This handler has his juveniles fit and forward. He is a canny trainer and should be respected. This daughter of Hellvelyn was a cheap buy at just £3,000. This bay finished second on debut at Kempton, although hammered by Tiggy Wiggy. Richard Hannon said they were surprised their winner had such a decisive success.  A talented horse without doubt. It is difficult to assess the merit of Charlie's Star. She will be fit and most probably set the pace but not a horse I would back because this will be a stiffer task.  

Diamond Sam is a home bred son of Compton Place out of a Group raced mare, who run in the same silks as Mrs Philip Snow. Sylvester Kirk has a poor strike rate with debutantes and unless seriously backed is best watched.  

Arlecchino's Leap is trained by Mark Usher and cost 20,000gns at the yearling sales. The stable have a poor strike rate with debutantes although their first runner, Spindle, ran well when second at Southwell. 

Royal Street & Now Say Boooom are best watched. 

Conclusion: A difficult race to be too dogmatic. The betting will need to settle to give a better understanding of these leading trainers. The likes of Hannon, Fahey, Gosden, Channon, Hills & Olly Stevens are all capable of sending out debut winners. In addition, David Elsworth may earmark this race for a decent early type. All have fair win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less. It's intriguing to see John Hills' Kibaar racing in the first colours. There is conflict with the trainer having a poor strike rate on debut although he doesn't have many at short odds. A difficult horse to assess. A fascinating race but a watching brief.  

*NR [Crafty Choice]
     

      

Sunday, 28 July 2013

6:30 Windsor (29th July) Free Horse Racing Tips


A Maiden Fillies' Stakes over 5f 10y on good to firm ground. Nine two-year-olds take part, all race bar one debutante. Oriel has been a talking horse for Richard Hannon's stable and by all accounts a frustrating juvenile for those who have backed her. A beaten favourite on three occasions and relatively short odds when contending the Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) at Royal Ascot have proven costly. This bay filly, a daughter of Fastnet Rock, was purchase as a yearling for 60,000gns and in the ownership of Highclere Thoroughbred Racing  - Petrushka. This February foal was expected to win on debut at Ascot but bumped into a true talent in Rizeena. She had no luck in running behind Alutiq, then put in her place in the Queen Mary Stakes, thereafter a creditable third at Newmarket when stepping up to 6f for the first time. Connections will be expecting a win today although with a run of bad luck there will be plenty of layers who consider the misery will be prolonged. A wide draw isn't ideal but experience should see her well. Not my kind of betting at short odds but a talented juvenile who deserves a win. 

Wednesday, 10 July 2013

2:10 Newmarket (11th July) Free Horse Racing Tips


The July Stakes (Group 2) for colts & geldings over 6f on good to firm ground. Eleven two-year-olds take part, all raced, winners bar one horse who has finished runner-up twice. A first prize of over £45,000 sees a trio of juveniles head straight here from Royal Ascot. Added to this a number of up-and-coming talents who will be hoping they can make a name for themselves. 

Sir John Hawkins sets the standard on form after finishing third at Royal Ascot when competing in the Coventry Stakes (Group 2) over 6f. This Irish raider was fancied to go well that day and Ryan Moore keeps the ride for Michael Tabor's juvenile's, trained by Aidan O'Brien. Their stable mate - War Command - won that contest impressively. This may have been a reflection on those in behind: fair horses without star quality. It will be interesting to see whether he can take this race. 

Jallota finished 5th in the Coventry and looks held by the above mentioned. In ways the proximity of Mick Channon's bay colt gives hope to a few of these have have direct form lines. 

Kevin Ryan fields Astaire who ground out a win when making his debut at York. Jallota run well that day in third place. This son of Intense Focus was a £70,000 breeze-up purchase, so he was wiser than not for his racecourse bow. However, there is likely to be further improvement from this April foal. Ryan has been patient with this colt as connections considered Royal Ascot holding an entry for the Coventry Stakes (Group 2). On the exchanges, this bay colt is fancied in the betting. As with many debut winners, it is difficult to assess their potential or future achievements. It is best to appraise horses on proven form rather than pie in the sky. Most do not come close to such lofty aspirations of the mind. It would be fair to say he should hold Jallota. But whether his form merits being such a short price brings some doubt. Improvement could well be on the cards but more will be needed today.

Others horses fitting a similar profile with one win from one outing are Figure Of Speech and Canyari

The former trained by Saeed Bin Suroor won well over course and distance, which is a plus at  this higher level. The stable have a wealth of talents and I respects their decisions and for this to be the only horse entered for this contest could be a pointer in itself. Figure Of Speech won his maiden in good style, leaving Whaleweigh Station struggling up the hill. He holds the aces over that individual. Much more is needed but the reputation of the stable brings this bay colt into the reckoning.

Canyari hails from Richard Fahey's stable which has a powerful string of two-year-olds. There was much to like about the way punished Rising Legend by five lengths on debut in a small race. This son of Dandy Man is best judged by the success of the youngster he defeated and that colt has won at Stakes class and far from disgraced when contesting the Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) at Royal Ascot. In truth, the drop down to the minimum trip may not have been in his favour. Canyari looks to have potential and connections will be hopeful. 

Richard Hannon has two representatives in Anjaal and Brown Sugar. 

Anjaal disappointed on debut when starting favourite. He was very well backed at Beverley on his second start and connections must have been pretty sure of s bomb-proof victory that day. He trotted up. This 105,000gns yearling purchase is also entered for the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2). The form of that victory amounts to little but full of promise. This step up in distance is a positive. The stable won this race last year for Hamdan Al Maktoum. A horse which is probably much better than we have seen so far. 

Brown Sugar is a horse that catches my eye and could make a fair each way bet. This son  of Tamayuz won in style when taking apart a maiden at Salisbury. However, it was his debut over course and distance which really impressed. It is intriguing to consider whether this bay colt was a surprise when runner-up on his race course bow or just priced at huge odds because he was viewed as second string. I would consider the latter. Brown Sugar finished with zeal and would have won impressively if more experienced. He was catching Jallota fast. This will be no easy feat for any horse stepping up in grade but I would be tempted to have a few pounds each way on this colt, especially if available at double figures on the exchanges.  

Of the others Intermath won on his first start and then unseated his rider when jumping a path at Salisbury. Connections deserve an ounce of luck after that unfortunate episode but he looks to have a stiff task and best watched. 

Bahamian Heights, Master Carpenter & Whaleweigh Station all need to improve markedly. 

Conclusion: In truth, these contests are difficult to assess. So many horses have displayed sparkling victories but appreciating their ability is no easy task. Sir John Hawkins has the most proven form although he didn't leave Jallota trailing in his wake and that could mean this race is a little more open that some would imagine. Brown Sugar showed real vim on debut and that performance stuck in my mind. How far could he beat Jallota now? I think he will beat Channon's juvenile with ease and that form could be enough to have fair win and place claims. A tricky race. 

Friday, 28 June 2013

2:20 Newmarket (29th June) Free Horse Racing Tips


The Empress Stakes Listed Race for fillies over 6f on good ground. Twelve two-year-olds take part, all raced. A mix of juveniles from limited horses to a couple of proven performers who make a return after racing at Royal Ascot. Fig Roll and Ventura Mist competed in the Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2), finishing fourth and eighth respectively. The former, a daughter of Bahamian Bounty, trained by Richard Hannon, may be a small bay filly but she is a determined soul. I would expect her to hold Ventura Mist even over this extra furlong. 

Olly Stevens has made a superb start to his training career and there is little doubt Peter Winkworth has been working his magic behind the scenes. Hoku was expected to win on debut but a wide draw and a stiff race dampened the spirits of connections. This February foal made her return at Listed class when running a fine race at York, beaten by Beldale Memory, who probably disappointed at Royal Ascot. This daughter of Holy Roman Emperor was an exceptional yearling purchase at £14,000. Make no mistake this bay filly is held in high regard and bred to enjoy this distance. It could well be telling that connections didn't go to the Royal meeting as she had the class to be competitive. Although those mentioned above set the standard, Sheikh Suhaim Al Thani horse could be a real danger and has each way claims.


A number of the opposition have the potential to be talents with stylish wins. 


Majeyda made an eye catching debut at Leicester over 6f. This daughter of Street Cry is a big, strong filly who looked to be struggling mid race but ran on with real verve to eclipse the opposition. There was a lot to like about that display and this home bred from Godolphin is out of a Group class mare. As an individual she could prove to be a talent and it was encouraging how this January foal finished strongly. However, the form of that race was probably fair at best. Worthy of respect but needs to progress at this grade.


Sunny Harbour was another who impressed on debut when winning an auction race at Redcar. That was decent contest for the grade and what appealed was the way David O'Meara's filly plugged on from off the pace to shoot ahead in stylish fashion. The placed horses are of a winning level and this daughter of Indian Haven could improve for this second start. Once again, this will be a stiff ask and a good few lengths need to be found to trouble the favourites. I wouldn't back this horse if priced in single figures because value looks thin on the ground.


Lady Chantilly is a good-looking daughter of Kodiac and showed a willing attitude to win on debut. The second prevailed next start to frank the form. Jo Hughes' youngster wasn't fancied in the betting that day and the leaders went a stride too fast. There is a slight fear she was flattered. Much more is needed.


Lady Lydia has been handle with great care by Michael Wigham and the booking of Frankie Dettori is a positive. A cheap purchase she may have been, but a beautifully strong filly who will put many of these in the shade. A capable sort but a tough ask.


Love In The Desert won well enough at Thirsk but another who doesn't look value at the prices.


Disko will improve for this step up in class but it would be a surprise to threaten the leading lights.


Jive, Rough CourteSweet Alibi look outclassed.

Conclusion: Fig Roll sets the standard and one of two horses who have been dropped in class. A small filly, she bellies her stature with gutsy performances and if touching each way prices should hit the frame. Ventura Mist is another who deserves respect. There is a chance this extra furlong will bring further improvement and being beaten by Hannon's charge she will be much bigger odds, which could make a fair value bet. Hoku will enjoy this new trip and bypassing Royal Ascot speaks well for Olly Steven's two-year-old. Could be the dark horse of the field. Majeyda will probably start favourite. Godolpin's winner could be a class act but she needs to improve and at short odds would have to be a watching brief. Sunny Harbour has potential but there looks little value at relatively short odds. Fig Roll would get my vote if touching each way prices. 


Monday, 17 June 2013

4:25 Royal Ascot (18th June) Coventry Stakes (Group 2)


Sixteen two-year-olds take part in this prestigious race which has been a source of future Classic winners. All horses have run bar one debutante. 

The majority of the field, including a number of winners, have a stiff task and the leading lights will be considered. 

Aidan O'Brien has a fine record in this race and fields three exciting juveniles: Stubbs, Sir John Hawkins & War Command. Joseph O'Brien rides the tissue favourite who won a Listed race at Naas, his third start. Being no expert on Irish racing, my analysis will detail the home contenders.

Thunder Strike has progressed with racing and one of three runners for Richard Hannon. This chestnut son of Sakhee's Secret was a great yearling purchase for £40,000 [an acquisition of Peter & Ross Doyle]. His latest victory in the Woodcote Stakes Listed race was particularly noteworthy. This February foal travelled with supreme ease against a number of talented juveniles and then kicked on when many of the leaders floundered. There was a lot to like about that performance and one of the proven form horses. 

In the same contest, Riverboat Springs ran a remarkable race. Not enjoying the Epsom Downs or pace at the head of the field, this son of Bushranger finished with such verve that taking second place looked next to an impossibility. Mick Channon's charge showed a similar style on debut beating a fair horse  in Money Team. A recent purchase by Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum, connections will be hoping that finishing dash comes to the fore. There is little doubt this bay colt has ability and may well be a class act. However, I still have slight concerns he was flattered at Epsom. I can see him being outpaced in the first few furlongs and bigger odds could well be available in running.

Championship is held in high regard by the stable and owned by Mrs Julie Wood who has the Midas touch. His ready victory at Newbury was eye catching and a number of horses in behind have received lofty entries for Royal Ascot. The difficultly in trying to assess such horses is that we have to delve into the realms of hyperbole rather than outstanding form. The betting is probably the best guide and it could well be telling if he starts as the Hannon number one. 

Wahaab was sent off a short priced favourite at Goodwood but that was a pretty ordinary race and he will need to have learned a lot from that initial start. Plenty of raw ability but a horse I would rather watch.

Others who need to improve include Parbold, Mawfoor & Lanark

Conclusion: Generally this race goes to a fancied horse and quite often a true talent. The Irish raiders deserve respect and their leading light will go well. Thunder Strike has set a good standard of form and in many ways a tough nut to crack. It is - in some respects - a negative that Frankie Dettori takes the ride which suggests Richard Hughes fancies the chances of Championship. It could be the case there isn't a great deal between their entrants but it would be wise to consider Julie Wood's youngster is the pick of the bunch. 

Wednesday, 29 May 2013

6:40 Sandown (30th May) Free Horse Racing Tips


The Cantor Fitzgerald Equities National Stakes Listed race over 5f 6y on good ground. Seven two-year-olds takes part, predominantly colts with the exception of a couple of fillies. All winners bar one colt who has been placed on two occasions. Decent prize money on offer with a purse of almost £15,000. On the face of it, not the easiest race to assess with a number of winners & progressive juveniles. 

Steventon Star is a talented colt, only deprived on debut by another precocious youngster in the shape of David Elsworth's Justice Day. An effortless victory came at Windsor followed by a gutsy win at York. Hughes is a canny rider and it is to his credit the way he nurtures and builds the confidence of the Hannon youngsters to enjoy their racing. By all accounts that was a strong race. This bay colt, a son of Pastoral Pursuits, sets the standard for others to achieve. His trainer has a brilliant string of juveniles so the stable have their pick of candidates for this contest. A wide draw could be problematic or a blessing. Hughes will probably take a handy position and pounce in his normal, waiting, style. The horse to beat. However, whether I would jump in at short odds is another matter. 

A number of the opposition have shown ability and could improve significantly. On the other side of the coin, they need to progress to have a fighting chance.

In true Clive Brittain style, Rizeena is set a challenge by being one of two fillies to take on the colts. That is never an easy task. This daughter of Iffraaj showed great promise on debut in a hot Newmarket maiden. Saeed Manana's bay filly finished as if her tail was on fire! Readers know I fancied her to win at Ascot, and so she did in ready fashion. I have little doubt the runner-up is held in high regard by Hannon's. Things haven't gone right for Oriel. Rizeena could well be a talented juvenile but needs to improve. At this grade, it is difficult to be confident she is up to this class. A horse I will be rooting for but taking a watching brief.

Eastern Impact was set what looked to be a stiff task when competing at Stakes class on debut. Richard Fahey has a vast string of two-year-olds and the stable must have fancied their chances that day because this colt was well backed. An impressive victory was seen, which gives hope of better things to come. However, in retrospect, the form of that race was quite weak, more like a maiden [if that makes sense] and improvement is needed. Such a stylish win gives opportunity but more is needed.

Roger Varian is a true talent and although a little slow with the juveniles this season they are a force to be reckoned. Andhesontherun looked inexperienced on debut at Leicester and although winning I don't believe the stable thought this son of Captain Rio would lead the way as he needed the run. However, with Capitulate disappointing, that race fell apart and this son of a Group-raced mare picked up the pieces to beat Atlantic Affair. Considering Rizeena left Mark Johnston's horse trailing he has much to prove. On the plus side, this February foal should leave that form well behind. Another two-year-old who needs substantial improvement but not one to judge on that basic form.

*Zalzilah was fancied to run well on debut - he had been entered to run at Stakes class before he made his debut - but failed miserably, albeit behind a decent horse in Extortionist. James Tate must have been smiling at Beverely because I have little doubt they went there with view to winning. Make no mistake that was an impressive victory. Look back to fifth placed Lily Rules [who was beaten by Eastern Impact] and the third & fourth have both run well since. An easy six-length victory over those capable horses puts this bay colt pretty high in the pecking order for the better juveniles seen this season. I would take this horse seriously. He is priced at pretty fancy odds on the exchanges this evening [Wednesday]. If drifting to speculative odds, he could be worth an each way bet. 

The other filly in this field is *Autumns Blush, trained by Jeremy Noseda. This daughter of Kheleyf finished behind Rizeena in that hot Newmarket maiden but I was left with the impression that was a day to learn rather than win. The money came for her at Yarmouth where she was seriously backed. That may have been a small race and it is perhaps too easy to consider it was nothing more that a run-of-the-mill event. Time may tell that was the case but it is worth noting that the word was out before that race this bay filly was already going to Royal Ascot. That confidence probably tells the story that ample improvement had been noted from first to second start. Fallon done little more than push her out with hands and heels. It is worth noting that the second horse - Bush Beauty - is held in high regard by Clive Brittain and the third looks up to winning a maiden. 

Urban Dreamer needs to improve after two fair efforts but this will be a much tougher test.

Conclusion: A fascinating race simply for the fact that a number of winners take each other on but feature such varied profiles with a mix of achievements to date. The proven horse is Steventon Star. A wide draw may be a slight concern but he is a decent horse who could well show these what a winning is all about. However, the price looks very short with a number of unexposed, winning, juveniles with something to prove. Zalzilah may just slip under the radar after a poor debut. Many a punter may consider his win at Beverley was simply due to limited opposition. I don't think that was the case and time may tell this is a class horse. If touching speculative odds, he could be a worth a small each way bet. Rizeena is progressive and should finish this race with purpose, which is no bad move at Sandown. I'm a big fan of Clive Brittain and I will be cheering her home. Eastern Impact & to a greater extent Hesontherun need to improve for their first victory. They are likely to do just that but it is difficult to assess such horses and these concerns always make me tread careful, especially at relatively short odds. Autumns Blush is another unknown quantity. She is a strong sort and hails from a trainer who knows what it takes to win a race of this nature. I wouldn't be tempted to bet in this race and just enjoy the spectacle. Steventon Star sets the standard. If looking for value, Zalzilah may be the surprise package at fancy odds.

*NR