Saturday Tipping Competition

It's that time again - the Saturday Tipping Competition. An exciting month. Jodonovan (pro) protected his lead with another winner and sits proudly at the top of the table with 29.5pts. Fred Pippage (free) snaffled a tasty 11/1 shot to hold second place 24pts. Clint (pro) has third place with 23pts, KeeJayPee (pro) fourth with 22pts. Next places go to a host of free players Danny 20pts, Uncle Keith/Paul 18pts, Emanuel 14pts, Stephenson 11.6pts. Next best sees two pro players Bird 8.3pts & HCE 6.5pts. We still have another week to go so plenty of time to ruffle a few feathers. As they say it's not over until the rotund woman warbles. Good luck to all. 1PM Deadline [No late entries]

Tipster selections:   

1:25 Haydock    - Subcontinent 2pt w (Danny) Unp
1:25 Haydock    - Subcontinent 2pt w (Emanuel) Unp
2:00 Haydock    - Taws 2pt w (Capt Heathcliffe) Unp
2:25 Catterick    - Ayresome Angel 2pt w (HCE) 2nd
2:35 Haydock    - Billy Slater 2pt w (Uncle Keith/Paul) Unp
2:35 Haydock    - *Mutarakez 2pt w (Stephenson) 1st (6pts)
3:15 Beverley    - New Road Side 2pt w (Me Old Mum) Unp
3:15 Beverley    - Majestic Bond 2pt w (Gareth) Unp
3:15 Beverley    - Arranmore Girl 2pt w (Bobby Talk) Unp
3:15 Beverley    - Holy Grail 2pt w (Glueythepig) Unp
3:20 Curragh     - Gleneagles 2pt w (Jodonovan)  1st (2.8pts)
3:20 Curragh     - Carbon Dating 1pt ew (Racing Mama) Unp 
3:45 Haydock    - Hot Streak 2pt w (Clint) Unp
4:05 Goodwood - Quest For More 2pt w (KeeJayPee) 1st (11pts)
4:05 Goodwood - Continuum 2pt w (Shukman) Unp
4:10 Catterick    - Fieldgunner Kirkup 2pt w (Davidson) 1st (26pts)
4:10 Catterick    - Gold Hunter 2pt w (Rawnsley) Unp
4:20 Haydock    - Right Touch 2pt w (Betmanmike) Unp
4:30 Curragh     - Hurricane Cass 2pt w (OneEyeEnos) Unp
4:40 Goodwood - Divine Call 2pt w (Winter) 1st (42pts)
6:05 Salisbury   - Operative 2pt w (Longbow) 2nd
6:05 Salisbury   - Sweet Taboo 2pt w (Inittowinit) 5th
6:05 Salisbury   - Kyllukey 2pt w (Fred Pippage) 3rd
6:35 Salisbury   - Mambo Spirit 2pt w (Eric Winner) Unp
6:35 Salisbury   - Archie Steven 1pt ew (Bird) 5th

Good luck to all

*I missed Stephenson's tip - it can be verified - so uploaded late.  

Table Toppers

42pts Winter
33pts Keejaypee 
32,3pts Jodonovan
26pts Davidson 
24pts Fred Pippage 
23pts Clint
20pts Danny
18pts Uncle Keith/Paul 
17.6 Stephenson

2:10 Goodwood Racing Tips (21st May) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 6f on good going. Eight two-year-olds: two with race experience and mix of well-touted debutantes from leading stables. I will try to keep this brief [famous last words]. 

In Haste sets a fair standard after a unlucky defeat on debut and not best suited by Chester when competing in the Lily Agnes Conditional Stakes. Eve Johnson Houghton's grey colt ran on well that day and will appreciate this extra furlong. If available at each-way prices must have good claims. 

Captainthunderbolt is interesting from a statistical point of view. He was a beaten favourite on debut at Bath in what was a very restricted race type. He wasn't pressed when headed and gave the impression there would be ample improvement. On that basic form he needs to find something. This extra furlong will help. If fancied in the betting, he has a high strike rate. Not sure if this youngster will drift in the betting. On the stats if priced 13/2 & less should be noted.

In many respects In Haste should have most debutantes struggling to compete. He may well do just that but it is worth noting a number of these juveniles have reputations as talented two year olds. War Whisper, Bobby WheelerWelford have been given Stakes entries, which suggests they are winners in waiting. I'd be surprised if this trio didn't win soon. 

Noble Peace, George WilliamWillsy are best watched. The latter may have claims if priced 10/1 & less.

Conclusion: In Haste & Captainthunderbolt ave strong claims if priced 13/2 & less. The former will almost certainly be in that betting guide and if available at each way prices is worth a bet. Not quite sure what to think about the betting on the other mentioned trained by Brian Meehan. If fancied has similarly lofty claims. The three major debutantes: War Whisper, Bobby Wheeler & Welford could well prove worth opposition. A fascinating race. 

2:20 Ayr Racing Tips (20th May) EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 6f on soft going. Seven two-year-old take part: six colts & one gelding. A solitary juvenile with race experience. I won't review each horse but detail a debutante which is likely to be fancied in the betting. Most readers will know where I am going with this post as last year this race was won by a very special talent: The Wow Signal. 

This bay colt, a son of Starspangledbanner out of an unraced mare, won this race in great style by nine lengths, beating a strong field, then winning the Coventry Stakes (Group 2) at Royal Ascot. His crowning glory taking the Darley Prix Morny (Group 1) in Deauville, France. He beat another Royal Ascot victor Hootenanny, trained by globetrotter American-based Wesley Ward. Hootenanny went on to win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf in Santa Anita, USA. 

That's a long introduction to detail tomorrows debutante Ancient Astronaut, trained by John Quinn. Handlers are often creatures of habit so the word is out that this son of Kodiac out of an unraced mare has ability. This bay colt cost 80,000 GNS at the Tattersalls October Sale 2014 [70,000 GNS foal]. To follow in the hoof prints of The Wow Signal is an unenviable task, which by anyone's measure is likely to disappoint. So far this year, Quinn has struggled with the juveniles which have made their debut. However, it is worth noting Ancient Astronaut has been given a Stakes entry which garners some confidence. 

Two-year-old horses racing - more than any age - is built on hopes and dreams. However remote the chance many will be watching in anticipation that a horse of class will make his presence felt in an ordinary race. 


6:35 Windsor Racing Tips (18th May) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race)

An EBF Maiden fillies Stakes over 5f 10y on good going. Ten runners: three raced, debutantes from a mix of trainers. 

Dream Dreamer is a good-looking daughter of first-season sire Dream Ahead out of a Listed placed and group raced mare. This February foal looks a bargain yearling buy at £35,000. Jamie Osborne always buys a good, physical specimen and this bay is held in some regard by connections. There was talk of this juvenile going to the Marygate Listed Stakes at York so this looks an realistic detour. She ran well on debut over course and distance in a fair race and then a little keen when setting the pace for a long way in a strong Ascot maiden. If available at each-way price is a decent bet. 

John Bridger doesn't train many two-year-olds but a capable handler when given the ammunition. Stormflower has ability but too keen to do herself justice on both starts to date. Temperamental horses can be hard work and betting on them is something you should only consider only at big odds. It will be intriguing to see which tactics are employed as stall one is a perfect draw to try and lead all the way. This daughter of Arcano has the pace to give a bold show but it would greatly improve her chances if settled. That looks unlikely, which is a shame as she has enough ability to win a small race. The tissue odds on Sporting Life detail she will be a 13/2 shot. That doesn't inspire. I would rather lay this horse at 1.01 in-running and hope she gains an impressive lead and tires rapidly. 

Nidnod hasn't been seen on course since making her debut at Newmarket over 5f. Hugo Palmer does well with his two-year-old string and talented. This Irish-bred daughter of Myboycharlie cost 30,000GNS at the yearling sales. She was quite fancied on debut, showing good pace before being bumped and eased in the closing stages. The most prominent thought from that day is that she is a very small filly. The form of that race has been franked in some respects. A difficult filly to assess. Hugo Palmer does pretty well with his juveniles when fancied on their second start when priced 13/2 & less. If within this betting guide this horses would have fair each way claims but if weak in the market I would take a watching brief. 

The first juvenile of the season for Hughie Morrison. It is interesting to see him have an early two-year-old because they have proven to be future winners although very few win on debut. Cinders is a daughter of Lilborne Lad and cost 62,000eur at the yearling sales [70,000gns foal]. The only exception to the rule that this stable's juvenile debutantes can win is if they are priced 14/1 & less in the betting if not 10/1 & less. They have a fighting chance. In addition, it is worth noting that just about all of Morrison's early horses go on to win in their two-year-old careers. I would definitely take note of this juvenile on its second start at any odds.     

One trainer who can be a powerhouse with debutantes is Roger Varian. Gwendolyn, a January foal sired by Invincible Spirit out of a twice-listed winning mare was fancied in the betting when making her debut at Ascot in a very hot race. She was withdrawn after refusing to go in the stalls. I would be surprised if this bay filly didn't have ability. If priced 13/2 & less has sound each way claims.   

Richard Hannon needs little introduction at this course - it's a hunting ground for winners. Stroke Of Midnight is a daughter of Dark Angel owned by Kennet Valley Thoroughbreds who always register with top-flight horses. They are not the kind of people to have two-year-olds in training unless they can win. This yearling cost 45,000euro. A wide draw isn't ideal but a stable to respect.      

Robert Eddery is a canny trainer and is worth noting with his two-year-olds. He has fielded one debut winner this season. Bedazzling Lady was purchased by the trainer at the Breeze-up sales for £16,000. In general, the stable doesn't have first time out winners and unless seriously backed I'd take a watching brief. 

Bourne Symphony, Clever Divya & Q Ten Girl are best watched. 


Conclusion: A fascinating race. Dream Dreamer sets a decent standard and if prices allow is a sound each-way bet. Gwendolyn wasn't on her best behaviour at Ascot when withdrawn. However, we have an opportunity that day to glean she was one of the major fancies. I can't imagine Varian sending her there without knowing she has ability. If priced 13/2 & less I'd be quite fearful of this juvenile. Difficult to assess Bedazzling Lady but respected. Cinders is worth noting for the future. Nidnod may have each way claims if 13/2 & less. A small horse who is difficult to assess. I'd lay Stormflower in-running at short odds. If an huge outsider I may have backed her to win but at short odds this horse looks a good lay bet to me [1.2 & less]. Dream Dreamer & Gwendolyn look the best bets.  

Saturday Tipping Competition

The third week of the tipping competition. Jodonovan (pro) found a nice winner and heads the leader board with 22pts. Uncle Keith/Paul (free) sit in second with 18pts, while Clint (pro) moved up nicely on the rail with 14pts. Emanuel (free) is level pegging with Mr Smith. New Pro player KeeJayPee has 12pts, while Stephenson (free) has 11.6pts, a gnat's whisker ahead of Danny (free) 11pts. Bird (pro) has found a couple of placed efforts with 8.3pts, HCE (pro) have 6.5pts & Shukman (pro) 3.8pts. 1PM Deadline so get those tips in (earlier the better). Good luck to all.

2:10 York Racing Tips (15th May) LANGLEYS SOLICITORS EBF MARYGATE FILLIES´ STAKES (Listed Race)

A busy weekend on the horizon. I had intended to get to York on Friday but a change of plans sees me head to the Norfolk coast to enjoy sun, sea breeze and flutter at the casino at Great Yarmouth. Believe it or not, this resplendent building was a regular haunt of Edward VII [son of Queen Victoria]. For those of you who love their classic online games from poker, roulette, black Jack, slots and more take a look at www.casinomidas.com.au for a great experience.

Well, we have a race to savour. The EBF Marygate Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) over 5f on good going. By class of race, this is the best two-year-old contest of the season thus far. Excellent win prize money over £22,000. Eleven juveniles take part: ten raced, including six winners, four unbeaten, and solitary newcomer. On balance, a competitive race with fillies of abundant potential.  

One of the major fancies is Irish raider Athas An Bhean, trained by Adrian Paul Keatley. He hails from Dunlavin, County Kildare. This daughter of Royal Applause is out of a group-raced mare. A bargain buy, she was sold for just 1,500GNS at the yearling sales. She won in comfortable fashion on debut at Cork, in testing conditions, by four lengths.  

Mark Johnston has been in tremendous form with a powerful string of juveniles. Delizia put up a professional display when victorious on debut at Wolverhampton. This daughter of Dark Angel was sent off a well-backed favourite, beating a couple of talented horses. It is difficult to limit a winning horse. Kingsley House Stables have such a wealth of horses that Delizia must be respected. 

I've always rooted for the underdog and in many respects Mel Brittain fits that bill as a relatively small trainer. French is owned, trained and bred by the handler. She impressed on debut when sauntering past her rivals. This chestnut filly was bought-in by Brittain at the yearling sales for a paltry £800. Sired by Monsieur Bond, she is a good-looking horse with size and scope to progress with racing. The style of that first race favoured her, where rivals battled for the lead, as she finished with zeal winning by one-and-a-half lengths. There is a chance this March foal was flattered although I would give her the benefit of the doubt. There was something about that debut which gives hope.  

Tony Coyle is a canny trainer and there is little doubt New Road Side left the stable with big expectations first start. This bay daughter of Paco Boy is another bargain buy at just £11,000. She was purchased by the trainer for Morecool Racing & Partner. The form of that debut effort is nothing to talk about but she trounced the field. In additional, this youngster is good looking with size and strength. Coyle has taken his time, waiting for this Listed contest, and clearly has her future planned. If going close connections will be heading to Royal Ascot. 

Silk Bow showed good pace on debut in the Brocklesby Stakes, but tired rapidly at the furlong maker, finishing down the field in eighth. James Givens had two horses in that race for owners The Cool Silk Partnership. It would seem likely this daughter of Elusive City was second string that day and in need of the run. The way she won on her second start at Chelmsford City gives evidence to that opinion. That was a taking performance, travelling well and easing clear to win by two-and-a-half lengths. The second horse, Fashionable Spirit, was placed in the Lily Agnes Stakes, to bolster the form. The third, Anwar, is capable, while the fourth, Princess Kodia, showed good speed in a hot race at Ascot. I was impressed with this filly and left with the impression there's more to come.  

Since Noel Quinlan gave up the ghost on his training aspirations, Lil's Joy has changed stables and now housed with Giles Bravery. This filly was fancied on debut - what turned out to be a strong contest. This daughter of Lilbourne Lad ran well next start at Nottingham and somewhat unlucky to fall prey to another Fahey talent in Kept Under Wraps. Lil's Joy isn't the biggest of fillies and may find one or two better class.  

Richard Fahey has been in exceptional form with his two year olds this season detailing a win strike rate that would be the envy of all trainers. Considering he has a strong hand it is interesting to see Sadie Babes comes here after a nice introduction. The winner, Furiant, is held in high regard. The form of that race is difficult to assess. However, it must be an endorsement for her trainer to race at this level.  

Abberley Dancer & Sakhee's Jem finished first and third, respectively, at Chelmsford City. The winner, trained by Stan Moore, has size and scope but this looks a step up in class and I would take a watching brief on both. 

It's interesting that Brian Ellison sends Baby Ballerina here after a disappointing effort at Beverley. I was surprised this daughter of Kheleyf was such a big price that day, which implied she has limitations. In truth, I don't think the tactics employed favoured this bay filly because she was on the back foot at Musselburgh. Perhaps connections expected more that day. Her chances would be improved if held up off the pace to finish the race. I have doubts at this class.  

The only debutante in the field is White Bullet. This daughter of Exceed And Excel is a recent Breeze-up purchase for £30,000 [45,000GNS yearling]. Kevin Ryan does well with his juveniles but it would be a superb effort to win this contest on her racecourse bow. A horse that is likely to win this season but would have to be a watching brief.  

Conclusion: A difficult race to be too dogmatic. Connections will have their sights set on Royal Ascot. Four unbeaten fillies make this a difficult race to assess. Many have the potential to shine. Mark Johnston has a good string of juveniles so that speaks well for Delizia. French would be a dream come true for Mel Brittain. New Road Side beat little on debut but is a good-looking filly who could hold claims. Sadie Babes has to be respected simply because Richard Fahey has a lot of winners in his stable to make a fair judgement. Silk Bow showed a touch of class to win on her second start and at the double-figure odds would be a tentative each-way selection.     

5:15 Bath Racing Tips (13th May) ARC RACING SYNDICATES MEDIAN AUCTION MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 6) (2yo)

A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 5f 161y on good to firm going. Ten two year olds: eight colts and two fillies. Four juveniles have race experience. Quite a restricted race type which generally benefits those with form although those candidates, for the most part, look limited.

Richard Hannon has been rather hit and miss with his juveniles this season but Receding Waves has been made short odds on the tissue prices. This son  of Dick Turpin cost 22,000GNS at the yearling sales. The stable have a good strike rate at this course with their youngsters. It is worth noting this bay colt has been given a stakes entry, which gives confidence. He is well drawn in stall one. A horse to respect if starting favourite.

R A Green is a significant owner for Gary Moore and this combination have fielded some talented juveniles in their time. Art Collection is a son of Shakespearean out on an unraced mare. This bay colt didn't go through the sales. The trainer does have winners on debut and they have a good strike rate when priced 13/2 & less SP. Strangely, they either win or unplaced - so all or nothing. Definitely one for the short list. They can win up to 10/1 & less so worth noting. If outside these guides - best watched.

Another fancies runner in the betting is Brian Meehan's Tawdheef. This brown colt, a son of Zebedee out of a talented group-placed mare.For such a restricted race type this yearling cost a substantial sum at £92,000. If priced 7/2 & less, this Hamdan Al Maktoum-owned colt have respectable win and place claims. This stable often go well with horses priced 8/1 & less and an interesting contender. Again, this outfit go well at this course. 

Gandvik hails from a trainer who have few winner priced over 10/1. If fancied in the betting, his chances would be improved considerably. If weak in the betting - best watched. 

York Minster and Lady Fontenail are best watch and likely to improve for their debut.

An outsider who is worth a second glance is Rio Glamourous who finished last on debut at Leicester, looking uncontrollable, wild from start to finish. This son of Aussie Rule was a big price on debut and most likely needed the experience. However, although a cheap purchase he is quite well bred out of a group-raced mare. Could go well at a price if keeping under control!

Conclusion: The betting will give the best guide. Receding Wave looks to be fancied in the betting and Hannon's two year olds go well at a short price. It is encouraging he has been given a stakes race entry. I'd bet this horse goes well if starting favourite. Art Collection & Tawdheef have fair claims if priced 8/1 & less SP, which is likely to be the case. The former has strong claims if priced 13/2 & less. Tawdheef cost a lot of money for this grade. Rio Glamourous could have claims at astronomical odds.       
  
    

5:50 Windsor Racing Tips (11th May) Alaskan Phantom To Chill Rivals For Daniel Kubler

A Maiden Fillies Stakes over 5f 10y on good going. A mix of top trainers with three two-year-olds with race experience. Alaskan Phantom is trained by Daniel Kubler in the ownership of J-P Lim & Partners. This daughter of Kodiac was purchased for 30,000 at the yearling sales and she is a well-built juvenile who is likely to progress with racing. This bay filly had a prime draw on debut over course and distance but it didn't add to her chances after a tardy start losing a number of lengths. In fairness, she ran exceptional well, cutting through the field, and held by a fair juvenile in the shape of Great Page [trained by Richard Hannon]. That initial experience will count for a lot and if starting well could take advantage of this course which suits those with pace. The form of that race has been franked and although only an maiden auction - in practice this is a step up in grade - Kubler's charge is likely to improve and has each way claims. 

Saturday Tipping Competition

The second week of the tipping competition. Uncle Keith/Paul lead the free competition with 18pts. New pro tipster KeeJayPee proved why you should pay your entry fee with a winning start sitting at the top of the pro rank with 12pts. In third place we see free contestant Stephenson with 11.6thpts. Second best of the pro players is HCE 6.5pts. Joint third on the pro circuit is Bird & Shukman 3.8pts. With a long month (5 weeks) there is plenty to get your teeth into. 1PM Deadline. Good luck to all.     

2:10 Chester Racing Tips (6th May) STELLAR GROUP LILY AGNES CONDITIONS STAKES (Plus 10 Race)

A Conditions Stakes race over 5f 16y on good to soft going. Good prize money with £20,000 guaranteed and over £12,000 to the victor. From an original thirteen entrants nine take part: six colts, three fillies. Half a dozen winners, a trio unbeaten.

Last year Mukhmal won this race on his second start after victorious on debut. Mark Johnston's colt was made 4/1 for the Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) at Royal Ascot but disappointed. His best performance came in the Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) when fourth, beaten less than three lengths.

Astley Hall defied his inexperience on debut at Redcar to win in the style of a fair juvenile. Racing in the colours of David Armstrong, this chestnut son of Dutch Art is a home bred out of a winning mare similarly owned and trained. Richard Fahey trains his two year olds to run well on debut - a point exemplified by his statistics. However, this February foal veered markedly to his left [from a wide draw] at Redcar but had the talent to catch his foe and although looking rather unaware of what racing is all about ran to the line with purpose. The form of that race has been franked. Furthermore, this good-looking colt is likely to improve. A low draw is particularly important on Chester's turning track and stall five is just fair. He most certainly wouldn't want to be tardy from the stalls but those cobwebs are likely to have been blown away on that racecourse bow. 

Rah Rah hasn't been seen for over one month since winning over 5f on debut at Kempton. It was a day where Mark Johnston's stable made the headlines with three two year old winners. Clearly Kingsley House have made it their business - with a larger string of juveniles - to show the way. This stable have a lot of very expensive horses and it shows in their physicality - big, strong, beautiful. This daughter of Lonhro (AUS) out of a Group placed mare. She won well on debut by just under four lengths. The form of that race has taken a knock with the second struggling to win. A filly with ability.

Silver Swings was very well backed on debut and won in a race that will turn out a few winners. David Evans grey colt, a son of Zebedee, has a plum draw in stall one and was sharp away at Windsor on his first start so he is most likely to take advantage of this favoured position. He looks a great purchase at 17,000 [yearling]. Connections have high hopes this two year old is heading for Royal Ascot and a bold show will be needed to justify those ambitions. 

Lone Irish raider An Duine Uasal heads from County Kildare to the Roodee. Adrian Keatley is owner-trainer and a cheap yearling buy at just 5,000. This bay colt won on his second start and wouldn't have any problems with the ground. The blinkers have been applied for the first time no doubt in an effort to hit the gates running. 

Bill Turner hasn't made a mark with this year's crop of two year olds and the majority have shown limited ability. Thee And Me wasn't fancied on debut and after showing pace faded out of contention. The form of that race has been franked to some extent. This son of Canford Cliffs was a big drifter in the betting second start in a four-horse race at Wolverhampton. It looked a poor race for a maiden. Turner's charge travelled with panache, winning with ease at odds of 18/1. He won in something next to a canter which sounds impressive however I just think it was a akin to an egg and spoon race. The betting suggests bookmakers have similar thoughts. I'd take a watching brief. 

Mick Appleby is a talented trainer, the type to prove he can go places and City Of Stars jumped in the deep end when making his debut at Stakes class, taking on a previous winner in Ravehoe, trained by Mark Johnston. This Irish bred son of Lilbourne Lad was well backed that day and I have little doubt the stable fancied him to go very well. He was bustled along for mot of the way and given a pretty hard race for a horse having its formative start. I wouldn't expected this bay colt to improve a great deal. The form looks fair although I just wonder if he will be quite pacey enough to stick with a few of these and a wide draw doesn't help. 

Eve Johnson Houghton knows her horses and always has a fair two year old in the ranks. In Haste is an Irish bred son of Clodovil out of a winning mare who was trounced when tried at Group class. This grey colt was purchased by the trainer at the yearling sales for 16,000. The debut at Bath was in a very restricted race type and pretty ordinary contest. I imagine connections were disappointed not to win that day because I'm sure they expected a tidy victory. In Haste had little luck stuck behind a wall of horses and rallied well in the closing stages with John Fahey vigorous in the saddle, realising he could win if not running out of time. He finished an unlucky second. This is a rise in class and more is needed. 

Fashionable Spirit is an Irish bred daughter of Invincible Spirit who cost 85,000 at the yearling sales. She ran well on debut at Chelmsford City behind Silk Bow, who won well but showed little on debut in the Brocklesby Stakes. Time may tell that was a fair race, and finishing second, in front of Anwar who was beaten easily by Rah Rah, shows ability although this is a stiff contest.

David Evans has a second representative in Nag's Wag who ran at the weekend at Stakes level after a debut win at Bath at odds of 16/1. This daughter of Approve ran well at Salisbury, Sunday, if not showing a little too much pace and perhaps not finishing her race. This January foal is a compact horse, with a fluent stride. She has a wide draw but could well hold a decent position. 

Conclusion: A tricky race to make me want to rush down the bookmakers for a mega bet. Stakes races are difficult to assess with progressive juveniles, winners that have not been tested. Chester throws into the mix a draw that can define your chance - win, lose or draw. A low stall can be a marked advantage to a horse with pace. Silver Wings is likely to hold his rail position and if a few of the fancied runners with wide draws have any issues it will make their life difficult. Astley Hall is a good-looking colt and could be a nice two year old but needs to be wiser today. A tardy start would make this a tall order. Rah Rah has a good draw and will be battling for the lead. A watching race to enjoy. 

2:40 Salisbury Racing Tips (3rd May) BETFRED "RACING´S BIGGEST SUPPORTER" FILLIES´ CONDITIONS STAKES

A Fillies' Conditions Stakes over 5f  on firm going. Six two year olds take part: three raced, including two debut winners, and a trio on their race course bow . Interesting that the winners carry no penalty for winning at class 5, while those making their race course debutes have a three pound allowance. Both winners have been entered to run in the Lily Agnes (6th May), which they are unlikely to compete [although you can never quite tell with David Evans]. 

Last year this race was won by Tiggy Wiggy [pictured] on her second start after an effortless victory at Kempton on the first day of the 2014 Flat season. Her greatest achievement - from a string of wins - came when taking the Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1). Ultimately, crowned Cartier Champion Two-Year-Old Filly. An exceptional talent.  

Great Page will start a short priced favourite after a stylish debut win at Windsor two weeks ago. This bay filly was made market leader that day and although it was seemingly a lowly race judge by class I could well turn out to be a fair juvenile contest. There were a number of nice physical specimens, which says something as fillies look good, bad and ugly. This Irish bred daughter of Roderic O'Connor ran well, held up just off the page, which was set by one of today's opposition, a good number too keen throughout the race. Middleham Park Racing will be holding their breath in hope she can emulate last year's victress. It is never wise to limit the talent of a winning thoroughbred. Great Page showed ample promise at Windsor and if aspiration of Royal Ascot are to be realised she will need to win well. 

Hannon has a second representative, Illuminate, a debutante sired by Zoffany out of an unraced mare. She was purchased at the yearling sales by Peter & Ross Doyle Bloodstock for £95,000. This bay filly is in the ownership Denford Stud. Hannon has been known to pull a few aces from his sleeves when it comes to talented ''second strings'' turning up to spoil the party of favourite backers. It is unlikely to be the case today but if seriously backed take note.

John Bridger isn't known for training two year olds and those which could be termed as talented are very very few. Wait long enough and a good horse may come along, I can imagine connections hold those thoughts about Stormflower. This daughter of Arcano may have been a cheap yearling purchase at 4,200GNS. She looks a good purchase. A filly with size and scope to progress with racing, her Achilles' heal was her delight in pulling for the majority of the race. Make no mistake, this juvenile has ability and if learning to settle could make her presence felt. The betting will be skewed because Great Page gave his April foal a fair beating. In addition, being trained by what some would consider a ''less fashionable stable'' she could well be tagged as the outsider of the field. Stakes races can be competitive affairs - you can never quite tell who is eyeing-up the prize. If huge odds are available on the exchanges I'd be tempted to have a small bet and try and lay at considerably sorter odds in-running. Interesting.

David Evans is a shrewd trainer who knows the strength and weakness of his juveniles. Nag's Wag is an Irish bred daughter of Approve and purchased cheaply by the trainer at the yearling sales. This January foal wasn't fancied in the betting on debut at Bath but showed a professional attitude, always in front rank and battled to regain the lead in the closing stages. That was a very restricted race type which may hold the form down. The second that day - Rogue's Gallery - was second next start but it was a similarly race type, although the winner is fair. Once again, it is difficult to limit a winning horse. On balance, I would imagine Nag's Wag is set a fair test by the likely favourite. 

Charlie Hills has sent out a couple of two year olds to date and it is interesting Komedy is starting her career at stakes class. It is probably a sign his daughter of Kodiac will be victorious this formative season. She is half-sister to Jane's Memory, trained by Rae Guest, who has been placed at Group 2. Komedy cost 70,000eur at the yearling sales. The betting is the best guide and if priced 13/2 & less has fair win and place claims.

Sixties Sue is trained by Mick Channon, who has been relatively quiet this early season. This daughter of Sixties Icon is out of a mare similarly trained and full sister to Scargill who wasn't the best talent but a gritty character winning twice at plating class. Sixties Sue cost 40,000gns at the yearling sales. The betting is the best guide. If priced over 8/1 I would take a watching brief. 

Conclusion: A fascinating race. Stakes race can often seem predictably straight forward - other times an enigma. Great Page could well start 1/2f. She sets the standard and after a stylish debut could be earmarked for Roayl Ascot. She is a good-looking filly and with Tiggy Wiggy winning this race last punters will have a bee in their bonnet. The horse to beat but not one I would back at odds-on. Nag's Wag didn't win a great race on debut but win she did. On balance, I would consider she has something to prove but it pays to respect a winner. The debutantes are best watched, especially if priced outside 13/2 SP. Stormflower is one of those horses that excites and traumatises in equal measure when betting. John Bridger may have a horse with an element of ability but will she pull keenly as seen on debut? That wouldn't help her cause. She has pace and if stealing an easy lead could take some catching. If touching fancy odds on the exchanges she must be worth a small bet and try to lay your stake in-running and hope the wind is blowing in the right direction. Being beaten by Great Page predicts she could be over priced [contrast theory]. It would be a speculative punt at 20/1+.