Saturday Tipping Competition

The final week of this month's competition and it has been a mighty fine points scoring bonanza. Me Old Mum had been quiet and then like a witch on a broomstick appears with a flash of black smoke and finds the Scottish National winner and bags 52pts. She heads the free competition. Alan Winter has shone like a star with the Grand National winner and last week second in the Scottish. He sits proudly at the top of the pro ranks with 38.25pts. Bobby Talk (pro) sits in second with 23.145pts, while Long Bow (free) 22pts holds third position. Eric (pro) has 16.5ps in fourth place, while Jodonovan (pro) has 12pts, just ahead of Jerry Banks (pro) 10pts. Best of the rest is Clint (pro) and Waterhouse (free) on 5.75pts. Still all to play for. 1:30pm Deadline. Please get those tips in on time. Good luck to all. 

Tipster selections:

2:15 Ripon Racing Tips (25th April) Can First Bombardment Blow The Socks Off Opposition?

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f on good ground. Eight two year olds take part including seven colts and one filly. Three colts have race experience. The restricted nature of this race type indicates that those horses with form hold advantage. 

Last year this race was won by Sarista, trained by David Barron. This filly proved victorious on her second start and far from disgraced when racing twice at Listed class.    

First Bombardment, trained by David O'Meara, has raced twice and finished runner-up on both starts. This bay colt has been unlucky not to win but equally frustrating to backers who probably feel they should have collected by now. Make no mistake this son of Pastoral Pursuits has plenty of pace - enough to have most horses on the back foot. 

He ran a sterling race on debut when competing in the Brocklesby Stakes at Doncaster, losing in a photo finish with Ravenhoe, who didn't have much luck second start when fourth behind the talented Gifted Master. The form of that first race is nothing out of the ordinary but it has been held up in some respects - the first five horses are likely to win this season. 

Northern Hart Racing & Partner must have been optimistic when making his second start in the Scottish Brocklesby Stakes. Starting even-money favourite, with valuable race experience and seven-pound apprentice it would take a fair juvenile to beat this youngster. By all accounts, the winner, Tribesman, is reputed held in high regard by David Brown and owner John Fretwell. They have this colt penciled in for the Coventry Stakes (Group 2) at Royal Ascot. The third, Sixth Sense, has run well since, while the fifth, Smart Mover, has disappointed although may have been slightly flattered that first race. 

First Bombardment's Achilles's heel is his enthusiasm to pull. He showed good pace at Musselburgh and probably done too much on the soft ground with a time almost eight seconds slow. 

This April foal, who is still one day shy of his second birthday, was far too keen and pressed for the lead, then tired markedly in the final furlong. Doyle [jockey] had the sense to simply push hands and heels realising this colt had run his race and done well to hang on to second place. In truth, things didn't go his way that day and although unlikely to beat the comfortable winner that performance didn't show him to his best. 

Daniel Tudhope takes the ride today and this race type and faster ground will help. He has a relatively wide draw which isn't ideal but the pace to gain a prominent position if wanted. After pulling too hard on both starts, especially the latter, it will be interesting to see what tactics connections employ. Will they try to gain an easy lead or sit in behind and hope to finish with purpose? 

First Bombardment has been priced the tissue favourite on Sporting Life (11/8). Unless drifting in the betting, there is little meat on the bone. This colt sets the standard and if settling I would be surprised if he is beaten. The concern is that if he is too keen will he not finish the race? If struggling to do that you can almost guarantee that glint will shine in the chasing field and one will fancy their chance. At short odds you cannot afford to be overly generous with your money. This is a fascinating horse but at the odds I'd have to take a watching brief. If betting, lay your stake in running at short odds because if going clear you will not have to worry about the wheels falling off in the final furlong. I suspect this horse will take all the beating but others feature, too.

Ann Duffield has increased her string year on year and this season has thirty two-year-olds. Sun Hill Stables know the score with their juveniles and Risk Adjusted showed real promise on debut when finishing strongly. This Irish son of Bushranger out of a multiple-winning mare who ran once at Group 3 level. 

This bay colt was purchased by Ann Duffiled at the yearling sales for 15,000 and looks a bargain buy. Often races at Redcar are pretty limited, however, the first three horses that day all seemed fancied and although that form is yet to be tested it could be fair. This horse ran well on his racecourse bow and was ridden, and whipped, in the closing stages, finishing with verve. That was encouraging. 

While experience can transform a horse it is worth noting Risk Adjusted was outpaced mid race before running on. These characteristics could reappear today and it doesn't pay to think with that first race run it will not be a problem. It may not be the case but that is the gamble which must be factored. If Duffield's charge is outpaced while First Bombardment forges clear it may well be mission impossible to claw back the ground. The stable have fair win and place claims with fancied juveniles on their second start. I like this colt but wonder if a stiff five furlongs or six furlong would be better. If betting, I'd be tempted to bet in running at bigger odds because if struggling for pace then cross your fingers for a strong finish. He will finish well but you can't afford to give too much ground. Duffield's prospect holds each-way claims but I would have concerns about being outpaced mid race. 

Association finished behind Risk Adjustment on debut and needs to find improvement. Best watched. 

The nature of this race type affords prominence to form horses although a few debutantes are worthy of note.

Richard Fahey has a couple of debutantes, a course he holds a fair strike rate. 

Imshi' Little Bro is an Irish bred son of first-season sire Lilbourne Lad out of a twice-winning mare who raced to Listed class and liked a trip. This bay colt cost 18,000 at the yearling sales. 

The stable field Lady Argentum the only filly. This daughter of Kodiac out of a multiple-winning mare who was a fair horse. A February foal, she was sold at the yearling sales for 16,000 racing in the familiar silks of Middleham Park Racing. An extreme draw in stall one is not ideal as debutantes often run into space.     

The betting is the best guide to their respective chances and if priced 8/1 and less hold fair win and place claims.   

David Brown and John Fret field the Irish bred Sing Something. This grey colt is a February foal costing just £14,000 at the yearling sales purchased by the owner. The connections have a line with the favourite via Tribesman. The stable/owner combination have fair win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less. If the money comes for this horse it could be significant sign.   

The oldest two year old in this field [26th Jan] is Excessable trained by Tim Easterby. This chestnut colt is sired by Sakhee's out of a twice-winning mare who liked to sprint. He cost £6,000 at the yearling sales when bought by the trainer. The stable have often used the garden racecourse as a starting point for a number of talented debutantes. It isn't beyond the realms this colt could be one of them although the general win rate of their horses making their debut is poor. Claims if priced 13/2 & less but unless fancied best watched.   

Mr Lucas is sired by Le Cadre Noir out of a poor mare and cost £5,500 at the yearling sales.Peter Nivan isn't known as a two year old trainer and best watched.    

Conclusion: First Bombardment is the most interesting horse. His pace could have most of these in trouble. This faster ground will help but his pulling is a concern. It is intriguing to consider what tactics will be employed. If settling, this twice-race juvenile has good claims. If priced about 2/1+ there is some meat on the bone but without question I would try to lay the stake in-running at big odds-on if possible. The horse to beat. Risk Adjustment looks a fair horse although the form has yet to be tested. I would have slight concerns this youngster may be outpaced mid race which would make life more difficult especially if the favourite gains an easy lead. He run well on debut but may be much bigger odds in running if tapped for toe. Definitely has each-way claims if prices allow. The Fahey pair are difficult to assess but worthy of respect if priced 8/1 & less. Sing Something is another debutante who has each-way claims if priced 13/2 & less. If seriously backed it would make more appeal. On balance, First Bombardment will take some beating and if settling could have these on the ropes. 

Crisford Ready to Run With First Two Year Old

Simon Crisford may be a new name to the training ranks but a familiar face being the former racing manager with Godolphin.

Renting a yard at Carlsberg Stables in Newmarket owned by Clive Brittain he has received Maktoum family backing for his new venture with six juveniles owned by Hamdan Al Maktoum. 

Crisford joins a roster of trainers for Sheikh Hamdan for the 2015 Flat season that also includes his new neighbours Sir Michael Stoute and John Gosden. 

The owner's racing manager Angus Gold said: "Sheikh Hamdan was keen to support Simon and has sent him six youngsters who are a mixture of homebreds and some who were bought on his behalf at the sales. 

Crisford has his first two year old engaged to run (Monday/Tuesday). First Selection, a son of Diktat is out of a winning mare. This February foal was recently purchase (1st April) from Brightwell's Ascot Select Breeze Up 2015 by the trainer for £42,000. This bay races under the ownership of Adulla Al Mansoori.

Crisford, who saddles his first runner in the shape of the Qatar Racing-owned Knavery is also expected to receive support from his former boss Sheikh Mohammed.

In total, he has 47 horses in training comprising 8 older horses, 3 three-year-olds and 35 two-year-olds. Of the juveniles he has a number of expensive buys including Daafik £220,000, Lucky Lot £130,952 & Zanjabeel £210,000. Paddy Power offer odds of 6-1 for Crisford to saddle a British two-year-old Group 1 winner in 2015.

4:40 Brighton Racing Tips (20th April) PIGLETSPANTRY.CO.UK MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Stakes over 5f 59y on good to firm going. Six two year olds: two colt and four fillies. Silver Springs ran at 4:55 Windsor [Monday] so unlikely to take part. 

A couple of juveniles have race experience including one from Ireland. 

Last year, this race was won on debut by Bronze Marquette, shooting clear by five lengths, Gary Moore's filly had a trio of victories on her formative season. The most prestigious being at Listed class, while unplaced in the Flying Childers (Group 2), She attained an official rating of 104. 

Taexali hails from Irish-based trainer John Patrick Shanahan. This is his first Great British runner of the season. However, this County Kilkenny handler has fielded 75 runners over the last five years with twelve winners. This February foal, a bay colt, is a son of Raven's Pass is out of a four-time-winning mare who won at Listed class, while unplaced six times at Group level. Taexali finished a respectable fifth on debut at the Curragh on heavy going.That first race had win prize of almost £10,000 and Plus 10 Bonus. He led but tired in the closing stages, beaten three lengths. By all account that was a promising debut and he sets the standard. On breeding a stiffer test of stamina may be needed and the ground is markedly different from his racecourse bow. 

Jet Setting is one of four fillies taking on the boys. Richard Hannon has seen a few juveniles go well this Flat season although a little quiet in some respects. This Irish-bred filly is sired by First Company out of a winning mare. A February foal, she races in the familiar silks of Mrs Julie Woods, a bargain buy at just 7,000eur [foal]. She finished fourth on debut when relatively fancied. It is difficult to assess the standard of that maiden although Gin In The Inn won easily and looks a talent. The second [Twisting Hay] and third [Willytheconqueror] were both fancied and money for the latter named. Clearly, this is a matter of opinion and with all early-juvenile form you are taking a gamble. However, time may tell this filly has enough ability to win a small race. 

Bill Turner fielded what is likely to be his best two year old in the Brocklesby and while Just That Lord finished fourth [has just about enough ability to win a race] it does temper my enthusiasm for his string who may be lesser types. Certainly, many of his juveniles to race this season have proved limited. Mustn't Grumble is sired by Intense Focus out of a four-time winning mare [Lough Mist (IRE)] who disappointed at Listed class. This chestnut colt was purchased at the yearling sales by the trainer for 14,000eur. He races in the familiar red & white silks of E A Brook. That gives some aspect of hope. Ryan While takes off a valuable 5lb claim. Although Turner is reputed as a good trainer with juveniles first start their statistics are relatively poor. After a few disappointments, I'd take a watching brief. 

No Body's Fool is owned and bred by T Taplin who has horses with a number of trainers - his best horse Pedro Pete. This chestnut filly, a daughter of Sixties Icon out of a multiple-winning mare [Ownership of Taplin] won her first two starts for Mick Channon, placed in the Hilary Needler Trophy, then halfway down the field in the Albany Stakes (Group 3).  Not bad breeding at all. Michael Madgwick has a small string of just five two year old. He had one winner in 2012 when Multitask prevailed, comfortably, at odds of 100/1. 

The last filly of the field is Just Emma. This home bred was interestingly sent through the sales ring for just £1,100 [to gain entry to auction races]. Owner A A Byrne has had a good few winners with Joseph Tuite. I have a lot of time for this trainer. This handler from Great Shefford, Berkshire, has six two year olds in training. The stable's youngsters can go well on debut and worth noting in the betting, if supported.           

Silver Springs is likely to be a non runner so analysis will not be given. 

Conclusion: Interesting race in its own way with all horses having some aspects worth noting. Taexali is difficult to assess with not only early-season form but coming across the Irish sea. That was most likely a fair race with regard to prize money and he showed speed before tiring. On breeding this colt may need further and a marked difference in going is a question mark. Jet Setting was beaten by a potentially class colt on debut and time may tell those placed are up to winning standard. I wouldn't back Mustn't Grumble as the stable's juveniles have been poor beyond the Brocklesby fourth. The two outsiders do have aspects of interest and at huge odds may figure if this race if no more than average. A watching brief.     

2:10 Pontefract Racing Tips (20th April) RACING UK PROFITS RETURNED TO RACING MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A maiden Stakes over 5f on good ground. Just five two year olds: three colts, two fillies, including one horse with race experience. 

Tawakkol showed promise on debut, although a beaten favourite. He is trained by Mark Johnston who has made a sparkling start to the season. 

This son of Firebreak is out of Listed-raced mare purchased at the yearling sales by Shadwell Estate for £70,000.

Make no mistake this bay colt is a beautiful specimen - with size and scope to progress with racing. Turning tracks are far from ideal for debutantes, especially when racing against horses with experience. Tardy from the stalls, this youngster took strides to gather pace, losing a good few lengths. In search of space, he ran wide on the bend, making headway in the final furlong, but never quite getting on terms. In many respects he would be better over 6f. Johnston's charge is sure to benefit from that first start and with over two weeks off course a more professional display should be seen. It is a sign of confidence that Tawakkol was made favourite on his racecourse bow and notably entered for a stakes race before setting foot on a track. The form of that debut is fair. This stiffer course will suit this resolute galloper who will run to the line. A handsome colt, he ticks a lot of boxes although, ideally, would appreciate further. 

Four debutantes make stiff opposition - trainers big and small. 

Richard Fahey has started this new flat turf season in a similar vein as Mark Johnston in both numbers of runners and success. Black Magic is a grey son of first-season sire Poet's Voice out of a talented French mare [Centifolia] who won four times including the Criterium De Maisons-Laffitte (Group 2) at two. She raced once at Group 1 the following season but disappointed at the highest level. Mrs H Steel is a loyal owner and this colt was purchased as a yearling by R F Racing for 45,000eur. It is worth noting that this colt has been entered to run in a stakes race, which often pinpoints future winners. The stable have a good strike rate at this course and a healthy points profit [a few big-priced winners]. They feature good win and place statistics with debutantes. Black Magic gives away valuable experience but there are indicators this horse has ability.

John Quinn made a name for himself as a two year old trainer last season with the mighty efforts of The Wow Signal - achieving Group 1 success. Racing Venture was bred by Clive Cox and purchased at the yearling sales for £25,000. This Irish son of first-season sire Lilbourne Lad is out of an unraced mare. I have always considered this course a place where Quinn has started a number of talented horses although his two year old strike rate here is relatively poor. The stable have fair win and place claims with debutantes priced 13/2 & less. With such a small field such betting guides are likely to be skewed and difficult to appreciate. 

Two fillies complete the field. 

Tom Dascombe has run a couple of fancied two year olds and both have shown good pace before tiring, providing poor displays. Manor House Stables must have been disappointed by those lackluster efforts and it does bring some question to today's debutante Four's Company. This January foal, the eldest in this field, is an Irish-bred daughter of Fast Company out of a winning mare and a relatively cheap yearling purchase at 13,000eur. This stable have fair win and place claims with debutantes priced 7/1 & less (most win at 11/2 & less). 

Sharon Watt has a small string of horses and from reviewing Horses in Training 2015 this is her sole two year old. Calpurnia is a daughter of Sleeping Indian out of a limited mare. This home bred looks to have a lot to prove. Major E J Watt [owner/father of trainer] was successful with Bee Brave who won on debut at 50/1 in 2012. 

Conclusion: An interesting race where the once-raced Tawakkol will be many punters idea of the winner. This handsome colt will probably make these look lesser by comparison and sure to improve for his debut. This stiffer test will help but and extra furlong may be even better. The horse to beat but at the odds I would have to watch. Black Magic hails from a top two year old stable who can ready a juvenile on their racecourse bow. Being entered for a stakes race is a sign of confidence. Racing Venture & Four's Company hold fair claims if priced at 13/2 & less. However, with a small field this betting guide doesn't help identify weakness. The latter, trained by Tom Dascombe, has sent out a couple of juvenile which done little. I would take a watching brief on this filly. Calpurnia has a lot to prove. A watching brief on this race.         

Saturday Tipping Competition

The third week of the tipping competition. A short month so every point counts. Winter hit the lead with a lovely National winner and was floating on many Clouds. A great victory which saw him zoom to the top of the pro ranks with 33.25pts. Bobby Talk (pro) tried to play it safe with the shortest priced each-bet on earth and holds second place with 23.145pts. Jodonovan (pro) has 12pts, while Eric (pro) & Jerry Banks (pro) have 10pts each. Still all to play for so get those tips it. 1PM Deadline. Good luck to all. 

4:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (18th April) WATCH RACINGUK ON SKY CHANNEL 432 MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Stakes over 5f 13y on good to firm ground. Seven two year olds take part: six colts and one filly. Two horses have race experience. Last year, this race was won by Burtonwood on his second start. His best effort came in the Woodcote Stakes (Listed) at Epson, where he finished fourth behind Baitha Alga. 

Raj To Riches, trained by David Evans, was an unlucky loser of debut at Windsor when caught on the line. This son of Iffraaj makes a quick return in what could be a more competitive race. This chestnut colt was well backed that day. It was a significant pointer being entered to run in the Brocklesby Stakes. Raj To Riches looked primed to go on debut, on his toes in the paddock and behind the stalls, athletic if not sparingly made. Flying from the stalls, this speedy type looked certain to win but showed signs of inexperience in the closing two furlongs. It is difficult to assess the form of that race although I was left with the feeling that most needed the race. David Evans' runners have fair win and place claims on their second start when priced 7/2 & less. He looks the type of horse who will break well and hope to hold that advantage to the line. 

Sir Dudley ran in the Brocklesby Stakes, finishing someway down the field in fifth place. This Irish son of Arcano is out of a winning mare. Trained by James Given in the familiar silks of The Cool Silk Partnership, he was quite well backed with a starting price of 9/2. This February foal is a fair looking juvenile but ring rusty, outpaced and never in contention. It could well be a positive he was fancied in the betting but he needs to find ample improvement to figure here. The stable have a poor win and place strike rate with fancied horses on their second start.

Five debutantes make intriguing opposition from established stables. 

The only filly in the field is Caitie, trained by Paul Cole, owned by loyal patron A H Robinson. This bay daughter of first-season sire Canford Cliffs is out of a twice Listed-placed mare [The Shrew], She was unplaced in the 1000 Guineas. Caitie was purchased by Oliver Cole for 40,000gns at the yearling sales. The betting is the best guide. Debutantes from this stable have fair win and place claims when priced 8/1 & less. However, few horses win at bigger odds. 

Tom Dascombe is a talented trainer of two year olds and very much a gambling stable. Fresh Arugula is an early foal, a bay colt sired by Fast Company out of a twice-winning mare. He cost 55,000gns at the yearling sales. Manor House Stables often go well with horses making their racecourse bow and if priced 7/1 & less (generally 11/2 & less) they feature fair win and place claims. 

Gittan is a son of Kodiac out of a poor mare. This bay colt cost 55,000gns at the yearling sales, rising in value from a foal. Owners Saleh Al Homaizi & Imad Al Sagar have seen their racing silks adorn talents such as Danchai, Toofi & Justineo. Richard Hannon's stable has such a vast string of two year olds that they should always be respected. I find this stable difficult to call but if fancied in the betting has claims.

Mark Johnston is another trainer with a mighty string of juveniles. His team have been going well since the first day of the Flat turf season. Riflescope is a January foal sired by Raven's Pass out of a winning mare. This colt cost 130,000gns  [52,000gns foal] when purchased by John Ferguson Bloodstock at the yearling sales. Kingsley House Stable have plenty of form lines to asses their juveniles although I find them tricky to pinpoint on debut. On breeding, this bay colt may need further.

Godolphin have fielded three juveniles this season - all relatively fancied in the betting - but all have trailed home either last or second from last. Charlie Appleby has trained this lackluster trio but there may be hope with Seastrom. This son of Oasis Dream is out of a talented mare [Seta] who won on debut, third in May Hill Stakes (Goup 2), unplaced in the 1000 Guineas. She was highly tried at Group class, while winning three times at Listed. This colt was purchased at the yearling sales for 425,000gns. A beautifully bred juvenile who is worthy of respect.

Conclusion: A fascinating race. Raj To Riches sets the standard and bar a head-bob is a winner in a maiden race. There isn't much of this colt and he was primed for debut. Connections must have been peeved he lost that day and this looks a tougher race. The Windsor contest didn't look that competitive and most of the field needed the race. Evans two year old showed inexperienced when all but a winner, hanging and awkward in the closing stages. The apprentice is in the saddle to give every advantage. Evans is a canny stick and he will use their experience and set the pace hoping to gain an easy lead and hold all-comers at the death. If betting, I would lay your stake bet in-running at even money - praying you hold on! I would have concerns these may be better horses and experience will definitely be their trump card. It wouldn't surprise me if Sir Dudley has more ability than seen on debut in the Brocklesby. Given's stable have poor statistics with fancied runners on their second start which puts me off. I'd rather watch this horse and learn. With such a small field the betting may be skewed in trying to assess the debutantes. However, all should be respected if priced 7/1 & less. Godolphin's two year olds have looked poor this season but Seastrom is bred to be a decent colt and I would suspect he will go well. A watching brief for me. The main pointer is if backing Raj To Riches try and cover your bet if he gains an easy lead.   
Take a look at our other top websites:

Horse Trainer Directory
Eric Winner
High Class Equine 

2:20 Newbury Racing Tips (17th April) AL BASTI EQUIWORLD EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 4) (2yo)

An EBF Stallions Maidens Stakes over 5f 34y on good ground. Twelve two year olds take part: nine colts and three fillies. Two juveniles have race experience with a first outing. 

Last year, this race was won by Kasb, trained by John Gosden in the colours of Hamdan Al Maktoum. This colt went on to disappoint at Royal Ascot when competing in the Coventry Stakes (Group 2). He achieved an official rating of 95. 

This race has been won by a number of talented horses. For all your latest trainer news visit Horse Trainer Directory.    

Sixth Sense is a fair-looking juvenile who showed promise when finishing third in the Scottish Brocklesby. This son of Shamardal was fancied to go well that day and showed promise. The winner is held in high regard but difficult to use as a measure because he left the rest toiling in his wake. The fifth [Smart Mover] let the form down when unplaced at Ripon although I had fears she was slightly flattered when running on debut. 

Richard Fahey has been in good form with his juveniles and *Sanaadh is of particular interest. This chestnut colt is a son of Exceed And Excel out of the exceptional Queen's Logic, who retired from racing unbeaten in five races taking the Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2), Lowther Stakes (Group 2), Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) & Fred Darling Stakes (Group 3). Jaber Abdullah is a fantastic owner who often finds bargain buys but this colt would have fetched a huge price if he had gone through the sales. Sanaadh held an entry for the Brocklesby Stakes and received another similar entry of late. These are confident pointers of ability and with such a regal pedigree is worthy of note.

Ginger Joe is the first two year old to representative for Peter Chapple-Hyam. This son of Medicean is out of an unraced mare. He cost £32,000 at the yearling sales. Chapple-Hyam is an star trainer of juveniles. His debut statistics detail a good strike rate with fancied runners. The betting is important and if priced 13/2 & less has good win and place claims.

Another top trainer dipping his toe into the two year old racing pond for this season is Brian Meehan who fields Harvard Man. This February foal, is a bay colt sired by Equiano out of a Grade 1 winning mare [Fabulously Fast]. This horse was bred by Newsell Park Stud and owned by The Honourable Earle I Mack. The tissue price suggests this horse will be unfancied in the betting but he would be of interest if strong in the market. Manton House Estate can win at more speculative prices [10/1 - 12/1] although very few over 16/1. 

Charlie Appleby had a couple of two year olds race at Newmarket [yesterday] but neither showed much promise. Hawkbill is an American bred son of Kitten's Joy out of a mare who was a narrow loser on debut at Grade 2. Godolphin do not waver when it comes to money and this horse cost $355,000 at the Keeneland Yearling 2014 September Sales. I find this stable difficult to predict with debutantes but they field many winners. One for the shortlist. 

Another Boy hails from Ralph Beckett's stable who can go well when making their racecourse bow. This home bred son of Paco Boy is out of a Group-raced mare [similarly owned].This colt was sent through the sales for £5,500 [bought in by vendor]. 

Interesting to see Marcus Tregoning making a brisk start to the juvenile season, this being the second runner. Thaqaffa is a bay son of Kodiac out of a poor mare. He was purchased by Shadwell Estate Company [racing in the familiar ilks of Hamdan Al Matkoum] for 80,000GNS at the yearling sales. This stable have a relatively poor strike rate with debutantes but they can win when priced 14/1 & less. A wide draw is never ideal for a two year old making on its first start and best watched.

Finally the three fillies. Richard Hannon has been a touch quiet this early season but this race has been a very good hunting ground over the years. It has been used as a stepping stone for Royal Ascot. It is never easy for a filly to beat colts. Ring Of Truth is a bay filly sired by Royal Applause out of a debut-winning mare trained by Sir Michael Stoute, placed at Listed class and unplaced at Group 3. Racing in the Royal silks, this filly is owned & bred by The Queen. This stable often send a fair sort to contest this race and if priced 13/2 & less has fair claims. 

David Evans usually starts the Flat season all guns blazing but he has been a little more sedate this term. Sweet Taboo is sired by Approve out of a Listed-placed mare. This yearling was purchased by Wayne Clifford for 14,000eur. 

Evans fields the once-raced filly Zeeoneandonly who trailed home last when making her debut at Windosr when looking second string. Will be a huge price if you fancy a speculative punt. 

Aragon Knight & Sarky Jack are best watched.  

Conclusion: Let the betting settle before jumping in unless you fancy something at big odds and anticipate a gamble. This race has been won by some decent juveniles over the years and a good few winners will come from this contest. This looks a tough race to call but a few horses are worthy of note. Sanaadh is exceptionally well bred and a couple of entries for stakes races suggests this colt will go well. He was entered for the Brocklesby which suggests he has been on the gallops and ready to go. Few trainers have debut statistics like Richard Fahey. Must run a big race. The betting is the best guide for the others and if priced 13/2 & less Hawkbill, Ginger Joe & Ring Of Truth hold fair claims. A race to take note for future winners. 



An EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes race over 5f on good to soft ground. Nine fillies take part, two raced, from a mix of trainers. 

Smart Mover is an Irish-bred daughter of Fast Company. This bay filly must have been showing ability as John Quinn sent her to contest the Scottish Brocklesby on debut. Although a small field, it looked to be a competitive stakes race, and the winner, Tribesman, trained by David Brown, is reputed to be heading for the Coventry (Group 2). Smart Mover had a stiff task against the colts but showed good pace before losing her position then running on in the latter stages to finish fifth. The winner beat the opposition well and the the second definitely tired in the final so there is a possibility this filly and Zephyr Breeze were slightly flattered. Time may tell that race was pretty good and having an outing under her belt is a big positive. If priced 13/2 & less sp this horse has respectable win and place claims.

In the past years, Tim Easterby has pinpointed Ripon to send out his best two year olds, who often win on debut. Today, he fields two fillies: *Copacobana & Zeeda. Both horses were purchased by the trainer at the yearling purchases and cheap buys. Wide draws don't inspire confidence. In general, their juveniles are better second start although can win if priced 13/2 & less on debut. However, the place statistics are poor, which suggest they run well or unplaced.         

Mel Brittain is a canny trainer who can spring a surprise. French is a chestnut filly sired by Monsieur Bond out of a multiple-winning mare. She is bred, owned & trained by Brittain and was sent through the yearling sales for the paltry sum of £800. The stable have a poor win rate on debut and best watched.

Richard Fahey's stable have been in cracking form this season and Hyland Heather is owned by Mrs H Steel who does well with her two year olds. This daughter of Lilbourne Lad is out of an unraced mare. An 85,000euro yearling purchased, her price tag rose markedly from foal. Muse House Stables have a fantastic strike rate with debutantes which leaves most trainers hiding in shame. One for the shortlist.    

Karl Burke has an increased string of two year olds this season and from what I have seen so far it suggests he is in no rush with them. Spigot Lodge have Millennium Falcon racing in the familiar silks of Middleham Racing & part owned by Mrs E Burke. This American-bred daughter of Kheyleyf cost £13,000 at the yearling sales. This course has been a good hunting ground for the stable over the last five years with a high strike rate [4/9 - 44%]. If priced 10/1 & less this filly has fair win and place claims. A high draw is a plus.      

Passionateprincess is drawn well [against the rail] in stall nine. Ann Duffield is another trainer to prosper and has a much larger string of juveniles. A few have been placed and she buys a nice, physical type. Duffield often sends her youngster here to have a racecourse gallop and Sun Hill Stable feature a good strike rate. This daughter of Elnadim is out of a Listed-race mare who won four times in her career. This bay filly was purchased by the trainer as a yearling for 17,000eur. This stable have fair win and place claims with horses priced 13/2 & less SP although they can win at speculative prices, too.

Another trainer who slips under the radar is Michael Dods. His strike rate at this garden racecourse is nothing out of the ordinary but I feel it is a track Denton Hall send their better hopes. Richter Scale is a grey filly, an Irish-bred daughter of first season sire Lilbourne Lad  out of a poor mare. She was purchased by Dods at Goffs London 2-y-o Hit Sale for 50,000euro. 

Blue Smoke has race experience and trained by Bill Turner. This grey filly was relatively fancied on debut but showed little. The stable usually field their best two year old in the Brocklesby but Just That Lord looks average. This horse is often a guide to the general standard and other juveniles have performed poorly so far. 

Conclusion: Smart Mover ran well on debut, contesting a stakes race where the form may have some quality. It is difficult to assess the level of that form and whether John Quinn's two year old was slightly flattered. However, she has valuable experience and if priced 13/2 & less fair win and place claims. The betting is the best guide for the debutantes. It is advisable to let the market settle. Tim Easterby can send his better juveniles to this course. If fancied, they have fair claims although their two year olds either win or unplaced. Hyland Heather, Millennium Falcon, Passionateprincess & Ritcher Scale prevail from stables I rate and at a course they can go well. They all feature sound each ways claims. French and Blue Smoke are best watched. At this point of the season there is no point pressing to find bets - time to watch and learn. From a statistical point of view Smart Mover would just be favoured. A watching brief. 



An EBF Conditions Stakes over 5f on good going. A decent prize. Seven two year olds take part: six colts and solitary filly. Mark Johnston fields Ravenhoe who won the Brocklesby Stakes by a short head. 

Last year, this race was won impressively by debutante Mind Of Madness, trained by David Brown, racing in the lime-green silks of John Fretwell. This Irish bred son of Azamour was subsequently sold to Qatar Racing Ltd  [pictured]. This two year old was kept busy with nine starts: finishing a superb second at Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes (Group 2). Later noted efforts included winning the Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed) at York. A talent these juveniles will do well to emulate.

Ravenhoe hails from Mark Johnston's Kingsley House Stable, which has proven a power this early season with winning debutantes from an increased string of almost 130 two year olds. This chestnut son of Bahamian Bounty, owned by David Able, was well backed for the Brocklesby Stakes, stealing the glory in a tight finish. The second [First Bombardment] wasn't disgraced in the Scottish Brocklesby. The form of that race looks fair. Experience counts against a field of debutantes and even with a 5lb penalty this juvenile sets the standard. 

While winning experience gives good reason why this colt should take all the beating, it should be noted that horses entered or competing at stakes class are worthy of respect. It is often the case a trainer will pinpoint such a race type because they have ability. This race type shouldn't be viewed the same as a maiden - they can spring a surprise. 

What are we to make of the debutantes? On first sight two or three horses hail from trainers who are class acts

Karl Burke is a talented trainer. He has fielded a couple of two year olds this season but both have been weak in the betting - they are limited or needed the run. It could well be a significant pointer to see Haughmond making his debut at this class. Burke is a good judge and most stakes-entered juveniles achieve a win. This son of Kheleyf is out of an unraced mare. He was withdrawn from the Doncaster Premier Yearling Sale. However, this January foal was owned by Mrs M Burke (10th April), now racing in the silks of  T & P Hockenhull. It is intriguing that this bay was bred by Mrs Ruth Hockenhull. The betting is the best indicator and if priced 13/2 & less has fair win and place claims. 

Gifted Master has just turned two years old and trained by Hugo Palmer. Kremlin Cottage Stables had a fair mix of juveniles last season including Aktabantay who won the Solario Stakes (Group 3) at Sandown & New Providence, a consistent filly, who won the Dick Poole Fillies' Stakes (Group 3). Gifted Master is a bay son of Kodiac out of an unraced mare and cost 75,000GNS at the yearling sales. He races in the familiar silks of Dr Ali Ridha who is an established owner with a number of leading trainers. His best horse was the exceptional Dubai Surprise, trained by David Loder, placed at Group 1 level before being sold to Godolphin where it achieved further success. The stable done well last year with noted performers, which is an accolade for a relatively new trainer [started 2011]. In general, their two year olds progress with racing. Any talent can defy the stats. If priced 13/2 & less it would bring hope although I would take a watching brief. 

City Of Stars is trained by Michael Appleby, who has done well with his horses over the last year and Appleberry a lovely filly far from disgraced when finishing fourth at Listed class. This Irish bred bay colt is from first season sire Lilbourne Lad out of a winning mare costing 33,000GNS at the yearling sales now in the ownership of L C Bacon [noted horse - Donny Rover]. On balance, the stable have limited/fair juveniles but this colt is best watched. 

Nick Littmoden has a small string of horses but a respected trainer who knows a decent horse. Poplar is a bay colt sired by Hellvelyn out of a poor French mare. He was purchased by the trainer at the yearling sales at £24,000. The Franconson Partners & Nick Littmoden had similar lofty hopes last year with Tongue Twista who was tried at Group level although, perhaps, always slightly out of her depth. With connections starting Poplar here it would suggest they hold similar ambitions. 

The only filly in this field - taking on the boys. Swirral Edge is a bay daughter of Hellvelyn out of a poor, sprinting mare. She was purchased by for £10,500 at the yearling sales and still in the ownership of Brown. This factor could be a slight negative. The stable have fair win and place claims when priced 13/2 & less. Considering Tribesman beat First Bombardment in the Scottish Brocklesby [who lost narrowly to Ravenhoe on debut] connections could have a line to what it takes to beat the favourite. The booking of Atzeni is questionable as he has ridden very few times for this yard. However, he may have been ideal to make the 8-4 weight. There could be a few negatives regarding this horse. They would be dispelled if fancied in the betting. If weak in the market I would not bet.    
Salt Lake Sooty is sired by Arabian Gleam out of a poor mare. This grey colt wasn't sold when sent to the sales as a foal.Trainer Denis Quinn is based at Newmarket with just one two year old to race in the last five years. Noel Garbutt takes off a valuable 5lb. Best watched.   

Conclusion: In many respects this is a one-horse race with Ravenhoe achieving a winning level of ability. Mark Johnston had a few candidates for this race and although the Brocklesby form may not be outstanding he sets the level and will take some beating. A 5lb penalty may be negated by the opposition being debutantes. The betting is the best guide for those making their racecourse bow. If Haughmond, Swirral Edge & Gifted Master are priced 13/2 & less they all have each way claims. Poplar and Salt Lake Sooty are best watched.   

1:40 Windsor Racing Tips (13th April) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f 10y on good going. Eight debutante two year olds take part: six colts and two fillies. A varied mix of horse trainers. Last year, this race was won by odds-on shot Magic Roundabout, trained by Richard Hannon, who proved to be a very disappointing horse thereafter. 

Windsor is a popular hunting ground for Richard Hannon. Fit is one of two fillies in the line up - a daughter of Kodiac. The mare didn't race until three but won on her second start, trained by Hannon Snr. This bay filly is an early foal [20th January] and racing in the familiar silks of Mrs Julie Wood. She was purchased as a foal for 12,000eur. The stable have a 23% win rate with their juveniles here over the last five years [9 from 40]. Subsequently, their two year olds at this course are often priced to chance and, perhaps, not great value. It often takes a fair filly to beat the colts but a horse to give worthy consideration.

Mark Johnston has continued his flying start to the two year old campaign with Delizia who won on Saturday. Beaverbrook is a home bred colt from Darley. The mare won a couple of races over a trip. Kingsley House Stables are in the limelight and with an increased string of two year olds will be fancied in the betting. On breeding, this bay colt may appreciate 6f. I'd take a watching brief.      

Rod Millman fields two colts: Concur is an Irish bred son of Approve out of an unraced mare.This April foal cost £24,000 at the yearling sales purchased by Geoffrey Howson and Rod Millman. 

Handytalk is also Irish bred, a son of Lilbourne Lad out of an unraced mare. This bay colt cost £32,000 at the yearling sales. In general, Rod Millman has a poor strike rate with his debutantes with around 3 winners in 130 or so two year olds since 2007. However, two of those victories came in recent years with Master Carpenter (2013) & Bonnie Grey (2014). The former was a class horse, which can often defy the stats. The tissue price [Sporting Life] suggests they will be relatively fancied in the betting. I would have to take a watching brief because they usually improve for race experience. 

Interesting to see Marcus Tregoning with an early juvenile. Port Gaverne is an American bred in the ownership of the trainer. This bay colt is a son of Lord Shanakil out of a poor mare who needed a trip. He cost 15,000eur at the yearling sales. This stable can win on debut when priced 14/1 & less. They feature fair place claims when priced at 13/2 & less although the win rate is poor. On balance, I'd take a watching brief. 

Raj To Riches could well be a dark horse. David Evans is a canny old stick and this horse was one of two who were engaged to run in the Brocklesby Stakes [Silver Wings]. This chestnut colt, a son Iffraaj, cost 60,000euro as a foal.The trainer and jockey have decent statistics at this course. If priced 13/2 & less has fair win and place claims.     

Zeeoneandonly looks to be second string for the trainer.                   

Arlecchino's Rock cost £21,000 when purchased at the yearling sales by Oliver St Lawrence Bloodstock. This chestnut colt is bred to need further and Mark Usher's juveniles are likely to need the run.  

Conclusion: Interesting to see how the ground goes with regard to what could be a good or bad draw. An intriguing race. Richard Hannon does well here and even though Fit is a filly taking on colts she should be respected. It can be difficult to pick the wheat from the chaff but one for the shortlist. Beaverbrook hails from a stable who can do little wrong. I find Johnston's two year olds difficult to assess - the classic easy winner or poor loser. The breeding of this colt suggests he will be better over 6f+. I would take a watching brief. Concur, Handytalk and Port Gaverne come from stables who are better second start. It doesn't mean they cannot win but I wouldn't back them. Raj To Riches catches the eye and his entry for the Brocklesby Stakes may be a pointer to ability. This colt cost 60,000euros at the sales and entered to race at Newbury [Friday]. The trainer and jockey have fair win and place claims at this course and feature a decent strike rate when priced 13/2 & less. Evans always has a fair early horse but whether this is it only time will tell. I would have to consider Fit & Raj To Riches as most likely with the latter most intriguing, especially if backed.