Professional Gamblers: Jack Ramsden

OK, YOU GO FIRST...
Jack Ramsden quit his job as a stockbroker in 1980 and since then has had 13 consecutive winning years as a professional punter. His successful punting like so many other professional punters is based around speed figures and race times.

He recently stated I cannot stress too strongly the importance of race times. They bind my whole approach together. There are fewer good times recorded over jumps but everyone seems to know about those horses and they are too short to back. Join our professional gambler newsletter by clicking here



Even cutting out the endless looking up of form books, I still spend two or three hours every day working out my bets. Jack continues, I'm constantly on the look out for the 3/1 chance that starts at 8/1. There are 30 or 40 of them a year and they are there to be seen. At those prices, you don't have to be right all the time! His premise is that while a good horse is capable of doing a bad time, no bad horse is capable of doing a good time.


He is unusual in that he has his own bookmaker, Colin Webster. There relationship is indeed unique, Colin pays Ramsden £5,000 a year for his advice and also has the job of getting his bets on with other bookmakers. Another unusual trait of Jack Ramsden is his liking for the multiple bets. His reasoning is that they are an extension of his policy to go for large prices and he reckons that on 4 occasions he has won over £200,000 on multiple bets.


Another piece of advice from Ramsden is regarding each-way bets. His advice is to ditch them. He states: I analysed my betting a couple of years ago and found that if I had doubled my win stakes instead of having each way bets, I would have been much better off. I think all punters would benefit by cutting out all each-way bets and sticking to singles.





Jack met his wife Lynda Ramsden when she worked at the Epsom yard of John Sutcliffe Snr, where Jack, one of Barry Hills's first owners, had horses. Ramsden was working in the City, but the City wasn't working for him. "I was a pretty useless stockbroker," he admitted. The Couple married in 1977 and then started training racehorses in the Isle of Man. I few years later moving over to England and North Yorkshire where they  trained for many years.


More pro gambler tales:


Dave Nevison

Phill Bull
A Tale Of A Pro Gambler

Thistlecrack to face Cue Card on Boxing Day

Thistlecrack
Having embarked on a chasing career following his World Hurdle win at the Cheltenham Festival back in March, Thistlecrack has now been handed the opportunity to add to his ever-growing reputation by taking on stablemate Cue Card in the King George VI Chase at Kempton on Boxing Day. Having won his first three outings for Colin Tizzard, the trainer faced a dilemma as to whether to pit the duo against one another, with Cue Card entering the famous race as the defending champion. Cue Card is hunting his second win of the £1 million steeplechasing Triple Crown, having already claimed victory in the Betfair Chase at Haydock in November.


With Thistlecrack having already won races at Chepstow, Newbury and Cheltenham in October and November, the duo look set to be among the frontrunners for both the King George VI Chase as well as the Cheltenham Gold Cup in 2017. With Thistlecrack set to be ridden by Tom Scudamore and Cue Card by Paddy Brennan, there is little to separate the two famous horses among the bookies. With such little to choose between the two, it may be better to try and horse racing game at LadyLucks Casino, with mobile slots becoming more and more popular among punters.


Meanwhile, 2015 Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Coneygree will miss the King George VI Chase on Boxing Day, with trainer Mark Bradstock choosing to withdraw the nine-year-old having underperformed in a recent gallop. Coneygree only returned to action after a year away from the track to finish second to Cue Card at Haydock, although his most recent setback has only served to increase his odds for the Gold Cup next year.


For those of you who are lucky enough to pick a winner in the famous Kind George VI at the end of this year, it may well be worth trying your luck on some of the best mobile slots at Lady Luck, with their casino offering the perfect opportunity to kick the new year off with a bang. Champion trainer Willie Mullins will be hoping to pull off a surprise win on Boxing Day, with Vroum Vroum Mag undoubtedly his best hope at Kempton. With Faugheen also having been ruled out, the likes of Yanworth, The New One and My Tent Or Yours have all been entered for the race, with the King George VI Chase having originally attracted just five entries.


Cheltenham Festival Betting 2017 is underway

The Cheltenham Festival is the focal point of the National Hunt racing season and come the Christmas period and early New Year, action begins for Cheltenham Festival betting 2017 as punters go in search of the early value. 

The 2017 Cheltenham Festival begins on Tuesday 14th of March and the first day - Champion Hurdle day - is one of the most eagerly anticipated days of racing on the calendar. The day begins with the famous roar for the opening Supreme Novices Hurdle, and progresses to the showpiece Champion Hurdle itself, which will see 2016 champion Annie Power defend her crown in the two mile contest.

Day 2 sees the Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase take centre stage, where the Willie Mullins trained Douvan is sure to be a hot favourite to fulfill his destiny and become the two mile steeplechase King. The seven-year-old has been near-flawless through his novice hurdle and chase campaigns to date and is just a very special talent who we should enjoy every time he performs on the track. 

The Sun Bets Stayers Hurdle could also see a Willie Mullins horse dominate, with both Vroum Vroum Mag and former Champion Hurdler Faugheen in the picture for top honours in this division, which following the departure of King George and 2016 winner Thistlecrack is now open for a new star to fill his shoes. 

The Ryanair Chase is always a highly competitive Grade 1 chase on St Patrick’s Day Thursday of the Cheltenham Festival, but attentions then turn to the fourth and final day, where the Cheltenham Gold Cup provides the highlight race of the week for fans of National Hunt racing. 

The blue riband steeplechase is a highly charged betting heat and Colin Tizzard has a strong hand with Thistlecrack the favourite backed up by Cue Card and the hugely progressive stayer Native River. 

Willie Mullins will be represented by Valseur Lido and/or Djakadam and you can be sure plenty of dark horses will emerge on the day. Cheltenham Festival betting 2017 is underway, so make sure you keep an eye on the markets for some stand out prices as we build toward March. Bookmakers are always offering enhanced odds prices on the big name horses too, so look out for those and ‘non-runner no bet’ concessions as well. Good luck!

The Gambler's Mindset: Luck

Successful pros like Joe Hachem may seem to have more to smile about, but it's a chicken-and-egg situation. You might not be able to magic up a lottery win, but you can certainly increase your chances of being one of life’s winners. Lucky people smile twice as often as the unlucky, and engage in more eye contact. In our everyday experience it can seem that some people ‘have all the luck’ and others appear to be jinxed.

We can all think of lucky people who seem to be in the right place at the right time, meet the right people, win all the money at the gaming tables and go from one success to another. I recently read a news story on the internet highlighting that luck is indeed about being in the right place at the right time. The story concerned a waitress at a Las Vegas casino who won $35 million (£20m) during her lunch break. After playing for 15 minutes, she won the largest slot jackpot payout ever. However, only three months later, her car was hit by a drunk driver who had 17 previous arrests for drunk driving. She was seriously injured and her older sister was killed. This time she was in the wrong place at the wrong time.


McGambling’s golden arches


When applied to the world of gambling, our belief in luck has huge political and financial ramifications. Until 1978, Nevada was the only US state where gambling was legal. By 2005, almost all states had a lottery (although ironically not Nevada), and today, casinos have even sprung up on Indian reservations. This ‘domino effect’ phenomenon has been described by media commentators as the ‘McGambling’ and ‘Las Vegasing’ of the US. In short, politicians view legalised gambling and people’s belief in luck as a magic bullet to cure ailing state economies that are motivated by the ‘pathology of hope’. The UK doesn’t appear to be that far behind.


Given people’s widespread beliefs about luck, there’s been relatively little psychological research on the subject. Professor Richard Wiseman at the University of Hertfordshire has spent many years studying luck and believes he’s discovered four principles of luck and knows how to help people improve their good fortune. The results of this work reveal that people aren’t born lucky. Instead, lucky people are unconsciously using four basic principles to create good fortune in their lives. These could also be applied to gambling situations. Wiseman’s research has involved him being with those who define themselves as either lucky or unlucky, and examining the reasons why. Wiseman started by asking randomly chosen UK shoppers whether they had been lucky or unlucky in several different areas of their lives, including their careers, relationships, home life, health and financial matters. Of those adults he surveyed, 50% considered themselves lucky and 16% unlucky. Those lucky or unlucky in one area were more likely to report the same in other areas. Most experienced either consistent good or bad fortune. Professor Wiseman therefore concluded that luck could not simply be the outcome of chance events.


So what do lucky people do that is different from unlucky people? Lucky people are skilled at creating, noticing and acting upon chance opportunities by networking, adopting a relaxed attitude to life and by being open to new experiences. Also, lucky people listen to lucky hunches. They make effective decisions by listening to their intuition and gut feelings. For example, they take steps to actively boost their intuitive abilities by meditating and clearing their mind of other thoughts. Thirdly, lucky people expect good fortune. They are certain that the future is going to be full of good fortune. These expectations become self-fulfilling prophecies by helping lucky people persist in the face of failure, and shape their interactions with others in a positive way. Finally, lucky people turn bad luck into good. They employ various psychological techniques to cope with, and often even thrive upon the ill fortune that comes their way. For example, they spontaneously imagine how things could have been worse, do not dwell on the ill fortune, and take control of the situation.


So can ‘lucky’ people win at gambling without trying? Professor Wiseman tested this proposition by getting 700 people to gamble on the National Lottery. The ‘lucky’ participants were twice as confident of winning as the ‘unlucky’ ones. However, results showed that only 36 participants actually won any money, and these were split evenly between the two groups. The study showed that being lucky doesn’t change the laws of probability!


Luck is a mindset


Research has also shown lucky people use body language and facial expressions that other people find attractive, smiling twice as often as the unlucky and engaging in more eye contact. Also, they’re more likely to have a broad network of friends and take advantage of favourable opportunities. Lucky people view misfortune as shortlived and overcome it quickly. Those who expect to fail may not even try. Lucky people try to achieve their goals even when the odds are against them. Luck isn’t a magical ability or a gift from the gods. It is a mind-set, a way of perceiving and dealing with life. This is something gamblers should know and try to apply to their daily gambling activity.




2:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (22nd Dec) 32RED CASINO MEDIAN AUCTION MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

horse trainer directory, Ed McMahon, Horse racing, A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 5f 20y on standard going. A restricted race type which, in theory, shouldn't take too much winning. 

Seven two-year-olds take part: all raced bar one debutante for Mark Brisbourne which is priced a 50/1 outsider. 

Most of these two-year-olds have been given plenty of chances to win and a number have been placed if not runner-up. Connections will be hopeful. We can guarantee someone will be leaving a wintry racecourse with a seasonal Christmas glow. 

The main focus of attention will be afforded to The Daley Express, trained by Ed McMahon and ridden by Dale Swift. This bay son of Elzaam is well bred out of a durable mare, Seraphina, who went close to winning a number of top-class races. It's interesting to note that McMahon recently purchased this colt for just £1,500. Considering this was a £30,000 yearling purchase it is slightly strange.

However, the price tag wasn't an issue on his first or second start which showed promise. The Daley Express has run over the minimum trip on each of his three starts to date. An outsider on debut at Leicester. He hinted ability. 

To be fair, he was a very unlikely loser next start when backed at this course. Touching 1.01 on the exchanges in-running it took a flying finish from Rozy Boys, who was trailing at the back of the field until Pegasus came into view. 

Racing over course and distance last time out, he was made 11/8f. In many ways, that looked a disappointing effort but time may tell he was beaten by two better horses. The winner, Cajmare, was very well backed for Tom Dascombe's stable, while the second, Her Terms, was an expensive yearling purchase [330,000G] who hasn't achieved what the price tag presumed. 

However, that was a maiden race which varies considerably to these lesser race types which often get branded as maidens but in actual fact are often similar to plating class. This race isn't a seller in disguise although a number of horses here have official ratings less than 70 which suggests they are pretty moderate. 

The Daley Express didn't have much luck last time out being hampered and then found trouble in running. 

This race is a drop in class. From a low draw, I expect Swift [jockey] to take the race by the scruff of the neck and try to lead all the way. 

If you are lucky, you may get even money. It isn't beyond the realms he will drift in the betting but, conversely, it wouldn't be a surprise to see an odds-on shot. 

Definity the horse to beat. Whether you want to take a short price is a matter for debate.  

Betting Tips from Professional Gamblers like Dave Nevison

Betting, professional gamblers, pro gamblers, betting, dave nevison, harry findlay,
Professional gambling. Plenty of everyday punters would love to give it a go. In fact, it's a subject matter which captures the imagination of many gamblers who fancy they can beat their bookie. 

High-Class Equine has many a varied professional gambler stories. You can read highlights here with this article: Top 10 Professional Gamblers in the UK

But what are we to make of these pro gamblers? I read an article mentioning Harry Findlay who was very much in the limelight not so many years ago. He was a larger than life character and big gambler. Was he an investor? Well, he was declared bankrupt in 2013. So, perhaps, that answered its own question. 

We have seen gamblers who clearly made a lot of money within their expertise. I'm sure readers will remember Terry Ramsden. A man from very humble beginnings who became a multi-millionaire with his company Glen International. When his Japanese stocks crashed and his betting losses were totaled there were few winners. He was made bankrupt in 1992 with debts of £100m. Terry was quoted as saying that betting was his hobby. It was an expensive past time when you consider he made colossal bets up to £1m. 

Quote: A spokesman for Ramsden said that his client was confident of settling with both J Investments and Hoodless Brennan. "Both cases are in the hands of his solicitors," he said. Ramsden made his fortune transforming investment firm Glen International. At his peak the bond trader, who left school at 16, reportedly owned two helicopters, a Gulfstream jet, 27 cars, a dozen houses, 120 racehorses, a 30 per cent share of Chelsea Football Club and the whole of Walsall FC. But when the Japanese market collapsed in 1987, so did Glen International and Ramsden's fortune. Ladbrokes alone was owed £58m.

Dave Nevison is another professional gambler who I suspect was much better at media than actual winning bets. He had years of winning but his biggest success was reminiscing his gambling stories which saw two publications including A Bloody Good Winner No Easy Money written by Nevison and the excellent wordsmith David Ashforth. 

Nevison's interest in gambling has turned into a role of a pundit these days. No doubt it offers a guaranteed return rather than betting. 

It is interesting to note that reading many professional gambler stories they have very contrasting approaches. You can find opposing views from Phil Bull to modern successes such as Patrick Veitch. 

What does this tell us? 

There is no right or wrong approach. What most of the very successful gamblers detailed is a niche. For Phil Bull it was something as simple as a stopwatch and recording of times. Clearly, these gamblers worked tirelessly to learn their craft. The discipline of betting in its practice is as important as the knowledge and insight of the selection itself. In that I mean it is important to reinforce a positive approach without bad habits. I would go so far to say that some of the best gamblers and biggest winners didn't enjoy the thrill of the betting at all. It was a means to an end. It was work. It wasn't about fun. Betting as a professional is a business that winners take seriously. It isn't about being the best. It is about being that little better than most and for some that led to incredible riches. 

My Adventure Into Lay Betting: Trying To Miss The Giraffe...

One of my favourite quotes is that even a broken watch is right twice a day. As a gambler I think most of us would like to have a better strike rate! Damn Watch.

Rambling...


Nothing changes, hey. I'm either quiet or you suffer from unending prose. The blog timeline details: spam, nothing, more spam, and My Adventure Into Lay Betting: Trying To Miss The Giraffe. [written 2013]


That latter topic sounds much more interesting. This adventure related to my laying horses to lose. That's two-year-old horses. I don't  understand anything else. Now, I'm not going to talk too much about my approach or the philosophy behind my laying tactics because it is a work in progress and rather boring in its written form. 

I must admit I don't find any form of gambling particularly pleasurable. My reasoning is that I have the odds in my favour. As every speculator will appreciate, that betting slip (in mind if not in hand) often morphs into a stick of dynamite.  The fuse burning too damn quick. Lay betting can feel rather daunting. When you've laid the rag and it's travelling with the zeal of a six-to-four jolly it makes the eyes bulge, the heart race, and your pocket has a kind of lost empty feel. Not very jovial. Well, that's the nature of the beast. Equine. You know, those things the commentator keeps talking about. 


So how did the season go?


Well, I was amazed. I know what you are thinking? Is that a good or bad amazing? I just took a double-take to see if my hand had been blown off. 


For the most part it was amazingly good - with a slight disaster at the finish.


I started small laying juveniles to win five pounds a time. That may seem a pittance but it can be a costly affair if a 20/1 shot has an exceptionally long neck. I'm pretty sure I laid a couple of giraffe this year.Last time I go to the bloody zoo and say what lovely creatures. I'm not against laying a good few horses in the same field. Races would come and go. I'd be winning ten, twenty, fifty pound a race. Everything was going well. Amazingly so. After winning several hundred pounds I considered it was time to lay each horse for twenty pounds. I knew it was a risk but time is money and all that. It made me a little nervous. The  bets ranged from laying favourites to huge outsiders. It can be slightly unnerving to lay a horse which could cost a couple of thousand. I always hope they fall out of the stalls and as fat as a pig. In that moment my potential terror of what could be turns to joy. Righteousness. Being right rather than religious. Obviously, there is good reason why I lay such horses. There is understanding, reason, professionalism. I'm not pinning the tail on the donkey - just trying to find it. However, that doesn't mean any horse cannot win. They do. The beasts. Those chestnut giraffe can be killers. 


To be fair I laid an incredible run of losers. In a matter of months I had turned my five pounds to four thousand. In a sizable field of maidens I would win up to two hundred a race. However, this approach doesn't allow you to just take any old race and wave my stick of dynamite. For starters, on many days there would be a limited number of two-year-old races. Certain race types were ignored.


I had a feeling of confidence.


For a moment I considered however fast that fuse burned if I filled my lungs with joyous - winning - air I could blow away that hellish spark.


On occasions I got my fingers burned. You have to remember that although I follow a professional approach there is something very different about working in practice to paper trailing. Thankfully I wasn't hit by a 100/1 shot. That would have been hard to swallow. But if you lay a bet you should never be surprised if it wins. It is probably sensible to imagine it will blow your socks off. I laid a couple of horses which won at 20/1. Not good. Although from my understanding I wasn't wrong in my approach. Horses win, horses lose, that's how it works. I must admit that in those early months of laying what must have been a hundred plus losers on the trot it all seemed ''amazingly'' straight forward. At the back of my mind (often at the front...and certainly in my pocket) I didn't believe it would last. I didn't expect it to follow a scenic path. I've watched  The Wizard of Oz. You have to meet a scarecrow, tin man, lion and a couple of flying monkeys before you get a chance to melt a green-faced witch and steal her bloody shoes. Although - thinking about it -hadn't she already lost them? 


I hit another couple of winners. A few bets cost a good few hundred. Financially it wasn't a problem but psychologically it was tougher. The next few lay bets made me really need them to lose. With a few winning days under my belt I shrugged off the loss and by a week or two I was back to an all-time high. 


However, little by little I hit a plateau. The four thousand pound mark became a wall. Each time I would climb the ladder to look over the other side I would be beaten to it by a giraffe who stuck out an incredibly long tongue. Sure the thing blew a raspberry before it came into view. I went from four thousand. Three thousand. Back to four thousand. Kicked in the nuts by wilder beast. It was a struggle. I didn't feel the approach was wrong. A few of the decisions come down to a photo finish. Prolonged agony. I realised that I needed a tweak here and there. Knock a few trainers on the head because they had done my brain in. That learning curve felt as though it was tying me up in knots. I'm sure that watch stopped when I wasn't looking.


The end of the two-year-old season was on the horizon and I was looking forward to a rest. One of the last bets was a killer blow. It didn't finish me off but it dampened my spirits which were already low. Of all days. I had been to the funeral of my aunt and switched on the races to see a Luca Cumani debutant which I laid for twenty pounds. The favourite struggled. In turn I had an uneasy feeling...which continued to cause concern. The beast travelled like a gazelle. I gave up trying to work out whether its neck was long or short. Its legs moved fast. It hit the front, cruising Kempton's final bend and lengthened clear into the straight. The loss I had expected materialised costing nearly eight hundred pounds. It wasn't the best of feelings. 


I'll be back next year with my tranquilizer dart.



Debating Betting Odds: What's the Shortest Price You'd Bet?

Betting. It's a subject that has fascinated the everyday gambler to the greatest philosophers. I wonder if many readers have heard of Pascal's Wager? 

Pascal's Wager is an argument in apologetic philosophy devised by the seventeenth-century French philosopher, mathematician and physicist Blaise Pascal (1623–62). It posits that humans all bet with their lives either that God exists or that he does not. Pascal argues that a rational person should live as though God exists and seek to believe in God. If God does actually exist, such a person will have only a finite loss (some pleasures, luxury, etc.), whereas they stand to receive infinite gains (as represented by eternity in Heaven) and avoid infinite losses (eternity in Hell).

Pascal's Wager was based on the idea of the Christian God, though similar arguments have occurred in other religious traditions. The original wager was set out in section 233 of Pascal's posthumously published Pensées ("Thoughts"). These previously unpublished notes were assembled to form an incomplete treatise on Christian apologetics.

Historically, Pascal's Wager was groundbreaking because it charted new territory in probability theory, marked the first formal use of decision theory, and anticipated future philosophies such as existentialism, pragmatism and voluntarism.

Source: Wikipedia

I guess most of us who like a flutter aren't musing if we should back heaven or hell unless they are the names of two greyhounds in a race at Wimbledon. Perhaps we should! 

However, it is interesting to consider the logic of Pascal's wager because have you ever questioned the types of bets you choose? Making the right or wrong bet could well be the difference between winning and losing. 

You could be a budding philosopher.

I'm sure you have been chatting with a friend about a bet and they haven't so much questioned your selection(s) but the bet itself, especially the price. It is interesting because most gamblers are creatures of habit and often find it difficult to break or perhaps even notice they stick with a given bet which by its very nature dictates a certain mindset. Perhaps it isn't broken or in need of change.

There's one thing you can guarantee - everyone has an opinion. 

I have often placed an each-way treble and been criticised for having an even money shot perched somewhere in the three. Comments of ''Good luck with that...'' clearly showing an element of disdain or bemusement of thinking they or the royal we knows better. 

It's a tricky subject. Well, it might be. Perhaps it isn't an issue at all. Definitely ''No bet!'' It's definitely ''Bet!'' 

It's all about opinion. 

Who is to say what is a good or bad bet? I'm sure someone will be thinking, even myself included, that doesn't look a good bet. 

However, how do we measure any bet? By one criterion - long-term profits. If you have what many would consider the most ridiculous bet ever placed but you are in profit year on year. I'd say those laughing should, with wisdom, be laughing at themselves. Perhaps in ten years time, they will be laughing at you because you have been proven to be a loser.

If I placed a £50 each-treble on:

2:30 Romford: He's Lucky 4/1

4:50 Chester:  That's Too Short 1/1
6:00 Goodwood: Icing On The Cake 7/1

Who likes or dislikes the 1/1?  Without know the horse, form, tipster quality....which way the wind is blowing that day. I can guarantee a number of people will be citicising the even-money jolly. 

''Each-way even money? That must be wrong! 

One-fifth of the odds 0.2 for a place. 

Criminal!!!!!!

But what about the man who bet a place on Betfair at the same odds? What about the gambler who bets at 1.01 in-running?  

It's a matter of debate. Perhaps, when it wins, you'll say that's one hell of a god bet. 

At the end of the day if you are in long-term profit isn't that the true test of whether a bet is correct win or lose.

Feel free to comment. 

5:10 Kempton Racing Tips (14th Dec) 32RED/BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (Div II) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

horse racing tips, betting tips, gambling and betting,
An EBF Maiden Stakes over  7f on Standard to Slow going.

Twelve runners. Ten colts and two fillies. Eight lightly raced two-year-olds with four debutantes. 

Daschas made his debut at Kempton, trained by Amanda Perrett for K Abdullah. This homebred son of Oasis Dream wasn't best fancied on debut over course and distance. He was priced 16-1 when finishing third behind easy victor Leshlaa. In many respects, that wasn't the strongest of maidens behind the winner. Although the second and fourth have either won or placed since. This stable's juveniles often improve for the run and he holds each-way claims if prices allow.  

The Horse Racing Tips at Tipster Review highlight that he is certainly one to watch. 

Screaming Gemini has run two times priced 14-1 on both starts. This son of Shamardal cost 95,000G at the yearling sales. This bay colt stepped up in distance second start but couldn't reach the leaders giving the impression this drop in trip may test his mettle. However, this juvenile is fancied in the betting which suggests the opposition is nothing out of the ordinary.

Ed Walker is a class trainer and Know Your Limit was backed on his second start but given a stiff challenge when held up in the rear. This chestnut son of Tamayuz was similarly slow on debut. A wide draw isn't ideal.    

I've been disappointed by the performance of many Richard Hughes juveniles this season. Footman is a son of Cacique and owned by Highclere Thoroughbred Racing. This March foal was relatively fancied on debut at Kempton over one mile but never involved probably not helped by an awkward start and then not much room when on heels entering the straight. If backed may be of interest.   

Caracas has a wide draw. This son of Cacique is trained by Roger Charlton. He was withdrawn from the sales as a yearling but comes from a decent family. Charlton can win with his debutantes, often at bigger prices than most would expect. If priced 13/2 & less SP it would add to the confidence. 

Jamie Osborne had a lovely two-year-old winner in Royal Opera House and Brother In Arms is well owned by Michael Buckley. This son of Kodiac was a breeze-up purchase for £80,000. I often find Osborne's debutantes are better for the run and I would take a watching brief.   

Raspberry Princess, Millie May, GreyjoySunovarebel, Mr Mac & Mister Freeze are best watched.  

Conclusion: A tricky race to assess. Daschas should progress with racing and if priced 13/2 & less SP has sound each-way claims. Caracas is interesting. If backed it would bring greater confidence. 

8 Top Tips for Becoming a Professional Gambler by Keith Driscoll

Most folk are under the assumption that professional gamblers have one bet, play one game of poker, or most other form of betting, and then collect the winnings and go back to their castle in the country for a few months rest, before having another gamble!!

I wish it was like that, but in legitimate life it is vastly different. I personally work 10-12 hours a day, 360 days a year, and still do a bit on the days off, including Christmas day. When you see professional poker players they are spending 3-5 days at a table in a tournament every week, sometimes sitting for 12 hours, and when they are not doing that, they are at home playing poker on the computer.

So if you are looking for a relaxing life, do not take up gambling as a profession. Yes it can pay well, very well, but you need to put in a lot of work, and it can be 2-3 years before you are making any meaningful money. Anyone who tells you otherwise is in all likelihood lying just to receive your hard cash.

When you see tipping advertisers stating things like "We made $26,000 to $100 stakes in the last 12 months", it looks breathtaking. However, they need to receive your attention as a 1/8th ad in a paper costs around $500, and they need that funds back before turning a profit. And how many average gamblers have $100 to bet, especially when you need a betting bank, and with $100 stakes, the cash you need before you even place one bet is around $3,500, any less and you can easily blow it all. Then divide the $26,000 by the $100 to work out how countless points you make a year, and that is 260, then divide by 52 to see how numerous points profit a week, and that comes to 5pts a week. Wow!! If you are just starting off you are likely to only be using a realistic $5, so that is $25 a week average. That may not sound much but you have to learn to walk before you can run. If you cannot profit with 10c bets, how the hell will you profit with $100 bets?

Also think why various tipsters advertise every day. This is because they have such a large turnover; they need to keep renewing the customer base. This does not always mean the tipster is rubbish, in various cases they may be profitable long term, but the average Joe Punter always wants profit NOW and every day, and average Joe points more than 5 points per week, whereas a full time professional would be happy with that.

If you are going to gamble to profit, then for the initial few months this should be your basic training were you will be doing a lot of work for little return, but you will also learn how to handle losing runs, how to cope with mistakes, and if it does all go improper and you lose the betting bank, you should have learnt a lot from it for as little loss as possible, as you should only ever bet what you can afford to lose, especially while proving to yourself you can profit. You may have a spare $10,000 available, but prove you can profit with a $1000 bank maiden, and then add to the bank monthly.

So here are the 8 tips you need to learn, and stick to religiously if you want to stand a chance of ever profiting from betting.

1. Patience: If you want big profits now, try the lottery. Building up you betting banks takes time a lot of time.

2. Betting Banks: If you do not have a betting bank to inception with, and you are just betting from whatever is in your pocket, you will never make a profit. It is as simple as that. Most punters lie to themselves that they are breaking even. Do not do that, be truthful.

3. Staking: You see betting plans for sale on EBay, most of them may make you a few dollars quickly, but it is 100% guaranteed they will bust your bank as these are designed by amateurs who have no understanding of betting maths in the actual world. Always inception with levels, if you cannot make bankroll with that simple staking plan you will not make money with anything more complicated. Once you have proven over a few months you can turn a profit with level stakes, and then you can switch to each bet being between 1%-3% of the bank. Most professionals will emergence at 3%, but get it down to 1% as the bank grows.

4. Bank Management: Managing banks is not just staking, it also involves listing every bet on a spreadsheet so you can monitor things like average odds, strike rate, losing runs, etc. If you do not list every bet, you will have no idea where you stand, and no way of having data to look back and learn from.

5. Risk Management: Most people follow one tipster, or one system. This is usually suicide, you do not see the big boys in the city markets investing everything in one stock do you? No. They spread it around, and so should you. Use a number of systems, proven tipsters, method bets, etc. And ensure you have a separate betting bank for each (you can use the same betting account, as the spreadsheets you keep will explain you the amount which is in each bank).

6. Alcohol: NEVER drink while gambling, you will bet more than you should, you will bust banks, you will play bets you would never do when sober.

7. Forums: Join a forum where you can bite ideas, this can prove a huge facilitate, but make sure it is a good one, and not full of idiots just spouting off how good they are!

8. Fun Bets: You are often told not to do any 'fun bets' if you wish to turn professional, but this will not happen, as it is hard to break kind of habits at earliest. The best way to treat fun bets is to handle them as you would any pro bets. Separate betting bank, list all bets, and it will not be long before you lose the bank and realise how wonderful your own tipping is!

This advice goes for betting in any country, on horseracing, greyhounds, soccer, NFL, poker, etc.

You can also find various free horse racing systems, staking systems, poker systems, on the web, ignore them, they are only free for a reason, as they lose hard cash.

These days it is possible to get horseracing software, poker software, etc that can benefit you, they will only make you hard cash if you are already doing so, they just enhance your skills, not make them. Search the internet for reviews on every product before parting with any bankroll; ask people on forums which software is the best.

Keith Driscoll has been a professional gambler since the late nineties, and now runs many sites, forums and blogs as Managing Director of Win2Win Limited. You can visit my site at http://www.win2win.co.uk Free Horse Racing Tips

5:25 Chelmsford 2YO Racing Tips (24th Nov) TOTEPOOLLIVEINFO.COM FOR RACING RESULTS MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)

2yo racing tips, betting tips, 2yo racing,
A Maiden Fillies Stakes (Plus 10) over 7f on Standard going.

Quite a large field of thirteen juveniles which I will cut down in number. 

Hugo Palmer fields Al Mayda. This chestnut filly is a daughter of Distorted Humor. This American-bred wasn't sent through the sales ring and adorns the familiar silks of Al Shaqab Racing Ltd. She started her career at Newcastle when racing over 7f. Pretty weak in the betting for such a big stable, which was due to a couple of well-fancied horses in opposition. There was a lot to like about that racecourse bow. From a statistical point of view, this filly holds decent each-way claims. 

A few in opposition. 

Cercle D'or wasn't fancied in the betting when making her debut at Kempton over one mile. This daughter of Acclamation wasn't beaten far although it was something of a blanket finish. Being related to Golden Horn is no bad starting point and racing in the Sangster silks will tug at the heartstrings of many a punter of old. Not the easiest filly to assess. If in need of the debut and today priced 13/2 & less SP could be in the mix. If weak in the betting I would take a watching brief. 

Ebqaa is a home-bred daughter of Cape Cross. I always take a second glance when Marcus Tregoning trains one for Hamdan Al Maktoum although he isn't a handler I associate with debut winners. Mind you, it isn't beyond the realms. If a true talent, this juvenile may have claims but I suspect this bay will need the run. If seriously backed it would bring greater hope although he still offers a pretty poor win race to be fair. 

Sir Michael Stoute fields Freediver who makes her second start after being relatively fancied on debut at Leicester. A slow start didn't help her cause, then tiring into ninth at the line. More is needed here. If strong in the betting, this daughter of Bated Breath may have a fighting chance. However, if priced bigger than 13/2 & less SP I would expect others to prevail.

Amanda Perrett's two-year-olds have been showing some promise this latter part of the season and My Lady Marie belied her odds of 66/1 when finishing fifth. If seriously backed I would take note. However, if priced in double figures I'd consider those at the head of the betting.

John Gosden has My Rosie to accompany Cercle D'or. Interesting to note she is owned by Lord Lloyd-Webber who doesn't have too many hopeless cases in his string. This bay filly is a daughter of Redoute's Choice costing 400,000G at the yearling sales. The mare, My Branch, was a talented horse being placed at Group 1. My Rosie was half fancied on debut but always in rear - finishing last. It is strange principle but I often say that the worse a horse looks on debut often the better they turn out to be. This April foal needs to find ample improvement but it's possible. At present, she is a 14/1 shot. However, if backed I would take note because such a large price tag and significant ownership tell me this bay filly may show more today. 

Interesting to note Oberyn was priced 5/2 on debut for Sylvester Kirk. The stable have done exceptionally well with their juveniles this season. This daughter of Holy Roman Emperor finished last when making her debut at Newcastle although not beaten too far. In truth, that was a poor race with the winner having an official rating of just 55. It was an auction race which is a markedly lower class than this race type. This looks a stiff ask.

Godolphin has plenty of horses to race and most are bred to be winners. Pure Shores is a daughter of Dubawi who cost a whopping 700,000G at the yearling sales. The mare was a very consistent horse, winning at Listed class but placed numerous times at Group level. Charlie Appleby can ready a debutante and you have to consider that many of these blue-blooded horses are sent out this time to win rather than gain valuable experience [obviously both are important]. Definitely a horse with an exceptional price tag. Worthy of respect. 

Conclusion: At the time of writing, this looks an open race and although horse racing tipsters will have picked out their favourites I would definitely let the betting settle before getting stuck in unless you are taking a big price and convinced your selection will be backed. 

The betting should eek out a few weak links. 

Al Mayda is likely to go well and if available at each-way odds would be a fair bet. Gosden's two are worthy of note. Cercle D'or has claims if priced 13/2 & less SP. I would definitely keep an eye on the betting for My Rosie. Well owned and very expensive purchase. That debut was too bad to be true. If drifting to big odds on the exchanges it may be worth placing a bet in the hope she is seriously backed. If the money comes, I'd expect to see a transformation. 

The betting should tell the story for Freediver and My Lady Marie. If priced 13/2 & less each hold each-way claims. I get a feeling both will be bigger odds. 

It is always difficult assessing the potential of a debutante and inexperience can be a stumbling block for the best juveniles. Pure Shores cost a huge sum and have a pedigree to suggest she has an ability. I doubt Appleby is sending her out for a run just to gain experience and I would put this filly high on the shortlist. 

Al Mayda and Pure Shores look the most likely. The former is worth an each-way if prices allow. My Rosie may be worth a speculative punt at big odds.