Friday, 30 September 2011

Harbour to miss Middle Park

Harbour Watch will miss the Emaar Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday week after suffering a slight setback and is unlikely to run again this season.Trainer Richard Hannon will now aim to prepare him for a crack at the Qipco 2000 Guineas, for which he is favourite at a top-priced 8-1. "It's nothing serious. He'll be back, no problem. It's just that we won't have him right for the Middle Park," said the trainer's son and assistant, Richard Hannon jnr. "I would say that will be it for the year and we'll get him ready for the Guineas." Harbour Watch has impressed in winning all his three starts, culminating in an emphatic victory in the Richmond Stakes at Glorious Goodwood in July.

8:15 Wolverhampton - Result

The sole two-year-old race of the day. A restricted Maiden Auction Stakes over 1m 141y. Four horses are worthy of note. Presburg, a gelding by Balmont, was a relatively cheap purchase but a sturdy sort and a straightforward character. He has done Joseph Tuite proud on both starts, nearly springing a surprise on debut when an unlucky loser at 100/1. He ran a sound race at Epsom when second and wasn't hard pressed when the winner went on.

Paul Cole Blog Update: ''Handicappers Should Be Means Tested''

Silverheels is off to Redcar on Saturday for the Listed race over 6f subject to his work. Humungosaur is one of our nicest two year olds and goes for the 1m2f maiden at Pontefract on Monday, we have booked Paul Hanagan.

Thursday, 29 September 2011

A Wandering Mind: My Bets

Disappointing. I had a good each way bet on Yeeoow (4:30 Wolverhampton) and it was given as an Elite tip. These are our most selective tips and there was good reason to expect a big run and at odds of 14/1 early it was a great wager. Well, it's ''great'' if they manage to hit the frame. It was one of those races where nothing much went right. From a wide draw, Elliot looked to have a favourable position but he was then forced to run a touch wide, which is far from ideal. After being shuffled back, then short of room, he snaked to his right, while running on to finish 6th. Frustrating.

Greyhound who lost every race turns out to be BLIND

When Jack Sprat the greyhound came last in every race in which he competed, his owners thought they had a dud. But in fact, he did well to keep up with the pack at all because it turns out Jack is almost completely blind and couldn’t see the rabbit. The hound, who was born in Ireland, was entered into dog races in Wimbledon, London, last year after he hit speeds of 40mph in training. Despite his disability, Jack can still run 100 metres in just 6.39 seconds - considerably faster than athlete Usain Bolt who broke records with his 9.69 time. But three-year-old Jack, competing under the name Centurys Gunner, came sixth in both of his races at the Wimbledon Greyhound Stadium. 

His baffled owner, believing he just wasn't fast enough, retired him and handed him over to the Dogs' Trust in Snetterton, Norfolk, in July this year. Vets at the animal charity examined Jack and realised a rare condition had left him completely blind in his left eye and with only 20 per cent vision in his right. They diagnosed him with Chorioretinitis, a swelling and irritation of the middle layer of the eye, which is irreparable.

Kate Brewster, 27, of the Dogs' Trust, said Jack would have been 'terrified' racing with no vision in his left eye - used by dogs to follow the rabbit. She said: 'We don't think Jack's racing owner realised the severity of his blindness and it would have been terrifying for him to race because of the noise. 'He must have followed the other dogs or maybe used his sense of smell to get around the track. He clearly had no way of seeing the rabbit.'

At Wimbledon Jack had competed in the Shaun's Stag Doo Stakes and the Mike Davis Stag Memorial. He ran a personal best of 30.66 seconds in the Stag Doo Stakes - but that was almost two seconds slower than the winner Hollyoak Harris' time of 29.7. Miss Brewster said: 'Jack can still run very fast and now he knows where the fences are on the paddocks at the centre he gets up to impressive speeds. 'Like any dog he needs regular exercise but it is a myth that greyhounds need long walks because they are born sprinters.'We take on quite a few greyhounds but they often get overlooked because smaller dogs are in fashion. 'It's a shame because they are very gentle dogs and like a lot of affection. Jack is lucky as he is very handsome and has beautiful markings. He would make a lovely pet.'

The Dogs' Trust is hoping to re-home Jack but recommend that his new owners have children over the age of 11 and don't have small pets he could chase. Miss Brewster added: 'Things that catch Jack unaware like unexpected movements or big cuddles can make him nervous. 'We think he may compensate for his loss of sight with his other senses. For example he likes to be on the left side of the person taking him for a walk so he can sense where they are. 'He needs to get used to his surroundings but once he is familiar in his new home he will be a perfect pet.'

4:30 Wolverhampton - Result

A Maiden Stakes over 5f20y. A selection of colts and fillies with form but all have something to prove. Chillie Billie has been dropped back to 5f after showing good speed at 6f where he has touched big odds on in-running only to falter in the final furlong. The blinkers are employed and drawn next to the rail is likely to try and lead the way.

Get Motivated...

Doug Larson

Some of the world's greatest feats were accomplished by people not smart enough to know they were impossible.

Wednesday, 28 September 2011

A Wandering Mind: My Bets

A busy day with thirteen two-year-old races to consider at four different tracks. And there was me saying it was quiet! It is strange how even though it was such a hectic day there was little interest with regard to betting opportunities. I had a win and place bet on Lady Kashaan (2:40 Newcastle). With odds of 33/1 on Betfair it didn't take much money to have a wager worth a few thousand. I was concerned - like most debutantes - that Swinbank's youngster would be slow away. But she ran up with the pace, which gave some hope.

2:40 Newcastle - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f on good ground. Talk Of The North caught the eye on her last start when finding trouble in running at Lingfield. Hugo Palmer's two-year-old went off a well backed favourite but had little luck when short of room. She finished strongly and was counted as an unlucky loser by many. This daughter of Haafdh drops in distance today. This filly has an element of ability although the form of both starts is only fair and perhaps one to be careful with at shortish odds.

Sholaan ran in what looked to be a weak race at Chester. William Haggis' juvenile was made favourite but never really got competitive after a tardy start. Mcvicar won going away and has quite a lowly official rating, which brings question marks against the form. The third - Sir Trevor - has since won. Many juveniles falter at Chester, not taking to the course, and it just might be the case Sholaan is capable of better over this straight 7f. An interesting runner.

With the majority of the field debutantes, the experience  of the above noted could well give them leading claims. However, one juvenile which may have place claims on her race course bow is Lady Kashaan. Alan Swinbank is a canny trainer and although many of his juveniles go better on their second start, he can win at the first time of asking. Newcastle is quite a successful hunting ground and I can see this youngster being backed from speculative prices (28/1). Betting on debutantes is never straightforward because inexperience brings many confounding elements. But the plus side is that a big price might just be there for the taking.

Conclusion: Talk Of The North caught the eye last time when having no luck in running but there looks little value at the price. Sholaan could be a dark horse because I can't believe more wasn't expected last time. This straight 7f could see an improved performance although you have to take a chance at relatively short odds which tempers enthusiasm. Lady Kashaan is worth a speculative punt at fancy prices but may be more of a place candidate. 

HCE: ''The first two went a long way clear of the field and the unfancied Saeed Bin Suroor debutante, Al Saham, held the edge over Sholaan, who ran much better today although looked awkward in the last furlong. Talk Of The North took third. Lady Kashaan was up with the pace but faded from halfway and probably needed the race.''

Tuesday, 27 September 2011

McCririck Chomping At The Whip

John McCririck has hit out at the BHA's new whip rules and says the governing body has "ducked the issue". The Channel 4 pundit has long been in favour of the abolition of the whip but says that the British Horseracing Authority's new directive is simply the latest in a series of compromises.


When major catastrophes strike, like the recent Asian earthquake and tsunami, the mass deaths can lead one to think that natural disasters are the most likely way people can die. Not by a long shot.

According to the National Center for Health Statistics, the leading causes of death in the United States are, in this order, heart disease, cancer, stroke, chronic lower respiratory diseases, and "accidental injury," a broad category that includes a lot of stuff that just happens.

2:40 Ayr - Result

A restricted Maiden Auction Stakes over 6f on soft ground. I don't have the strongest opinion on this contest bar one horse from a statistical point and why it may pay to review HCE Stat Bets. Mistress Of Rome sets the standard after three placed efforts. To all purposes this is a drop in class. However, this daughter of Holy Roman Emperor is limited and her chance is very much dependent on whether any of the opposition have a glimmer of ability. At the price, on very testing conditions, I would rather take a watching brief with her.

Monday, 26 September 2011

Affiliate Programs: Selling Ice Cubes To Eskimos

Selling ice cubes to Eskimos. Inuits - being politically correct.That's how it feels. You may have guessed what I am talking about? (The picture was a help!) Affiliate marketing programs. Clearly, a subject close to many a blogger's heart. Bookmakers. Exchanges. I even saw someone trying to sell women's fashion! Those ads pop up like mushrooms. Everywhere. To be fair, I'm not against anyone making a few bob. Good luck: that's what I say. For the effort it takes to update a blog/website on a regular basis people deserve a return. It can be a thankless task this blogging lark. Very few last the test of time. Bloggers statistically die young. I mean, their blogs die young. That's it. Yes.

My bets

Another quiet day on the two-year-old racing front. However, I did have a bet. The 2:20 Ffos Las was the venue. Sheer Vanity was only 2/1 tissue price but steadily drifted in the betting as money came for Million Faces & Gabriel's Bounty. McMahon's youngster, in the Fretwell lime green silks, touched 4/1, which caught my attention. This horse is a perfect example of why HCE Stat Bets ''Live'' is ideal. One moment this horse wasn't a bet - the next it was. 

God Loves Ugly...

I have a couple of religious followers on HCE. It surprised me at first. Thought I was either a potential candidate to be converted or someone to use as an example to point the error of my ways. I have come to the conclusion that religion is a good move for any would-be blogger as they have a few thousand followers. Just think what I could do with a couple of grands worth of followers? It must be similar to being Dave Nevison. OK...I've gone off on a tangent. It's easily done once I start rambling on...

2:20 Ffos Las - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f on soft ground. This looks a pretty moderate contest. Sheer Vanity ran with promise on debut after a slow start. In an exciting three-way finish, this daughter of Dixie Union flew home to lose in a photo. On balance, that wasn't the best of races but McMahon's juvenile gave the impression there would be better to come. The stable is in a fine vein of form and this two-year-old will be primed today.

Sunday, 25 September 2011

HCE Humour: The Importance of Utilizing Rug Cleansing Industry experts

Thanks to Hunter Mills,

I checked my traffic source for HCE and found this gem.     

Non-hygienic floor rugs could quickly lead to respiratory infections as dust and dirt get trapped between the fibers as nicely as pests and molds receiving into the rug, which can be threatening to your wellness. For this purpose, it is essential to consistently clean your rugs. Rug cleansing procedures will count predominantly on the good quality of the rug as there are people which have to have professional intervention.

Inittowinit Wins It....

Also, one lucky entrant will win McCoy: A Racing Post Celebration by Brough Scott

Well, we all know Me Old Mum won the dosh for this month's tipping competition. However, there was still a little ray of sunshine for one lucky entrant. I delved my hand deep into my extended top hat and pulled out the name...Inittowinit. You follow in the footsteps of two other lucky entrants Neil & Tecbet who have supreme bedtime reading thanks to HCE. (We are talking racing publications.)  

It Has All Gone Very Quiet...

With Saturday's racing squeezed into such a time frame that there is barely time to take a breath between each race, Sunday is relaxed, refined...and boring.

To be fair, I quite like a rest day and with just three two-year-old races - nothing inspiring - I have taken the decision to not write a racing analysis post today. There is little point writing something to fill a space when I have no great opinion on today's events. So we concluded the month's tipping competition with Me Old Mum victorious. She will be revelling in the fact she keeps beating the boys.

Saturday, 24 September 2011

Me Old Mum Wins The Month

She is the scourge of the neighbourhood but Me Old Mum continues to show she's a top tipster in the HCE Monthly Competition. Late this evening, as the flying monkeys circled high above, she was crowned winner with 28pts. She takes no prisoners. Laughs in the face of her opposition who she calls ''Those Auntie M's'' and stirs her cauldron with contempt at those who mock her skills. It's Hallow e'en next month. It will take a brave soul to think they can steal her glory as top tipster with two winning months. ''Now, pretties''

1:40 Haydock (24th September) - Result

An EBF Fillies' Maiden Stakes over 1m on good to soft ground.

It often pays to follow a stable in form and Andrew Balding's juveniles are going very well at present. Miss Cap Estel ran a fair race on debut at Salisbury - a course where the stable often send their better juveniles - and this home bred, a daughter of Hernando, should come on for that initial start. A respectable each way selection. 

Friday, 23 September 2011

3:35 Newmarket (23rd September)

An EBF Maiden Stakes for colts & one filly over 7f on good to firm ground. A selection of form horses in a field of debutantes. Andrew Balding's two-year-olds have hit form in the last few weeks and Spiritual Star will be primed for a big run today. This bay colt by Soviet Star is a handsome juvenile with a fluent stride. He showed promise on debut at Newbury over 7f, up with the pace, holding every chance until tiring in the final furlong.

Thursday, 22 September 2011

Art & Humour


6:00 Wolverhampton (22nd September) - Result

A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 5f 216y.

Ashbina is a progressive filly. This daughter of Royal Applause was fancied on debut but clearly needed the experience. An improved performance came on her second start at Folkestone in a fair maiden. Further progress was seen at Epsom. This is a drop in class. The only concern is that 6f will be on the sharp side although she will run to the line, which is a strength at this level.

Wednesday, 21 September 2011

A Wandering Mind: Fickledom

I had a win and place bet on Silver Blaze. Disappointing to lose  in a photo although I have been lucky of late with a couple of bets that have gone my way when it looked unlikely. There is a small line between winning and losing. In many ways there is no logic to fortune in the course of a day. I laid some of the potential win bet on the photo and still had the place bet so won a few quid but nothing amazing. I have been reading a few blogs. Phoenix Racing is having a fine time of things and good luck to him.

2:15 Redcar (21st September) - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f on good to firm ground.
Silver Blaze didn't achieve a great deal on debut - in very testing conditions at Newcastle - but I would expect a much-improved performnace today. This son of Haafhd is an imposing gelding with plenty of size and scope to progress with racing. He is a handsome juvenile, strong through the neck, and I was quite taken by his appearence on debut. Swinbank often sends his better two-year-olds to run at Newcastle and this 21,000gns yearling was backed at the off. Conditions told that day and it was a real slog to get home and after showing some promise mid race, he wasn't overly pressed when his chance had gone.

Tuesday, 20 September 2011

The Horse Trainer Website Directory

You know, you've all been missing a trick!

You have something under your nose and you still haven't noticed its existence. Mystified? Well, so am I in a way because so few people make use of The Horse Trainer Website Directory. It's FREE. And probably the best source of insider information you are likely to find in a month of Sundays. Don't take my word for it, see what the trainers have to say. 

I know updating blogs with links can seem like a hassle when there is always something else to do but this is one link you cannot afford to miss. Add this link to your blog/website today because it's a valuable tool for all your readers. This is a vital portal to 100's of trainer websites/blogs/Twitter links. There waiting to open the door to your specific trainer's thoughts. I use it regularly when I am betting to get the inside knowledge. You would be surprised how honest some trainers can be!  Just imagine the time it would take to find these links one by one. I can tell you, it took me weeks to update this list and it sits in cyber space rusting away like a back axle of a Massey Ferguson tractor. 

This is what the blog says:  

The Horse Trainer Website Directory

Whether you are a potential racehorse owner, racing fan or want to hear the latest news straight from the horse's mouth, this websites is a vital portal to 100s of Flat and National Hunt trainer websites. Why BOOKMARK individual sites when you only need one: The Horse Trainer Website Directory

Click on the link below and take a look. Better still, add this link to your blog/website because I can guarantee your readers will thank you.

Note: you will notice on viewing the directory I have added a blog list which features everyone in our community, so I would be most grateful if The Horse Trainer Website Directory could be added to your blog/website. Many thanks.

3:30 Beverley (20th September) - Result

A restricted auction maiden stakes over 5f on good to firm ground. 

Many of these have been placed but that elusive win has evaded all.  

Half A Billion is one of the few who could get his head in front. This gelding by Acclamation is quite a strong, handsome juvenile and in his own way a consistent type. At the start of his career, 5f seemed a little on the sharp side but it may be the key to better fortunes today. He pulled far too hard last time at Thirsk and this minimum trip may help him settle. In a race which will not take much winning he has a good each way chance and should run to the line.

Red Shadow, Economic Crisis & Trust Fund Babe have similar credentials on their running at Ripon. Red Shadow is a speedy type and likely to be up with the pace, while Economic Crisis will be off the bridle, plugging on under pressure. It may be a pointer to all three chances that David Allan has ditched Trust Fund Babe, now taking the ride on Just Like Heaven who was beaten by Half A Billion. On balance, I would have to look elsewhere because the Ripon event may have been a moderate race at best and Just Like Heaven needs an excuse to reverse the form.

At such a lowly level debutantes are worthy of respect simply because they do not need to set the highest level to win. However, on the opposite side of the coin inexperience can be their Achille's heal.

Tarquin catches the eye. Linda Studds does well with the limited number of juveniles she trains. Forevertheoptimist has done well for the stable and Ron Stubbs, chatting on RUK earlier in the year, said they have a few talented juveniles yet to race. Perhaps this son of Excellent Art is one of their leading lights because he is fancied on the betting exchanges. Stubbs can win with her debutantes, although over 5f, against experienced opposition, a tardy start may scupper any hope of victory. An interesting runner but a watching brief.

Paul Hanagan is an interesting jockey booking for Al Dain, trained by Kevin Ryan. The betting is probably the best indicator to her chances. At present, this bay filly is unfancied on the betting exchanges. If substantially backed, she should be respected.

Conclusion: The question to ask for many of these juveniles is 'how many chances can you give a horse?' Half A Billion should go well. Stepping back in trip will help him settle and finish his race. A good each way selection if prices allow. The debutantes are worthy of note. Tarquin could be a leading chance if one of the stable's better juveniles. However, I  have reservations about backing debutantes against experienced opposition, especially over the minimum trip. Al Dain is weak in the betting but Ryan's juveniles often go well if substantially back but another to tread careful with on her racecourse bow. 

HCE: ''A poor race and not many got invloved. A nice win for Ashpan Sam who finished his race, which is key at this level. I noticed that Bechers Brook gave the winner as a selection today and his blog is a good read (click). Half A Billion managed a place but even over this minimum trip failed to settle early, which knocks the finish out of him.''   

Monday, 19 September 2011

2:50 Leicester (19th September) - Result

A Fillies Nursery over 5f 218y on good ground.

A large field for this handicap. Alabanda may have claims after showing up well in a competitive nursery at Doncaster, where the likes of Elusive Flame, Poetic Dancer, Responsive & Roger Sez led the way. I was quite impressed how this filly ran. If not for a slightly awkward start, she would have been competitive. That tardiness left her with a lot of ground to make up, which she eroded in the closing stages. This drop in grade will suit. The main concern is that over 6f everything will happen too quickly. However, Easterby's youngster had shown good pace to win at Thirsk. Even if this daughter of Camacho struggles to go the pace it might be a blessing as often these nurseries are run at a frantic pace and she is likely to finish with purpose. 

Conclusion: A difficult race to assess but Alanbanda should be respected after being dropped 2lb and competing at this lower level. She is a consistent, determined filly who may, ideally, need 7f, but may have the pace over this shorter trip. If ridden with this shorter trip in mind, she could finish with spirit. At speculative odds (14/1 at present) and four places, she has fair each way claims.

HCE: ''Alice's Dancer showed an abundance f speed and had the field trailing in her wake at half way. Albanda was well backed but wasn't suited by this step back in distance, particularly being bustled along from the outset.''

Sunday, 18 September 2011

2:40 Hamilton (18th September) - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 1m 65y on soft ground.

Not the easiest of races to assess, especially in these testing conditions. I would stick with Hyperlink and Savanna Days

The former ran a great race at Chepstow when narrowly defeated but ran in a puzzling race at Chester last time when Mcvicar plugged on well to beat Johnston's juvenile. Perhaps he wasn't suited by the course and better should be seen today. 

Savanna Days looked to have good speed on her earlier starts and I was mildly surprise how well Channon's juvenile ran over 1m in a competitive race at Goodwood.By all accounts that was an effort which should see her go close today.

Both have fair win and place claims although ideally each way selections if price allows.

HCE: ''Gabrial's Star didn't look a winner in the making after a tardy start and bustled along but win he did, getting up close home. Choisan seemed to enjoy this step up in distance. A good looking horse, he will be winning soon. Savanna Days held every chance at the furlong pole but didn't quite finish her race after slogging away in these testing condition.''

Saturday, 17 September 2011

2:05 Catterick (17th September) - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f 212y on good to firm ground.

This looks a moderate race and although a wide draw is far from ideal, Glamorous Angel* should go well. A good-looking son of Dark Angel, with plenty of size and scope to progress with racing,he was strongly fancied on debut but failed to delivery. Swinbank's juvenile was backed at Carlisle to make amends and travelled well before being outpointed by the eventual winner trained by Sir Michael Stoute. Many of these will be toiling after a couple of furlongs. A decent win bet and if drifting in price to allow an each way wager would be a superb opportunity.


HCE: 'Disappointing to see Glamorous Angel a late non runner. Indego Blues took the spoils without too much fuss.'

Friday, 16 September 2011

A Wandering Mind...Sea Deer

A Wandering Mind...

Well, I survived my trip to Great Yarmouth races. It was good to go to Caister-on-sea, too. I had a win on Pickled Pelican who cruised up the rail to score by many lengths. A couple of losers, too. I can't say I had an outstanding selection, which generally happens when I venture to the track. I seem to have most of my major fancies when sitting at home watching tv. A highlight was seeing a familiar character at the course. It wasn't a person - a horse. I am talking about Sea Deer who was a prolific winner in his younger years at the course. And every year there is a nursery sponsored in his name. What I love best about the Sea Deer Nursery is that the good old boy comes to the course, his jockey wearing his racing silks, and he is walked to the furlong pole and to echoes of Tommo saying the quickest one-horse-race commentary on earth, Sea Deer gallops past the winning post to cheers and applause from the crowd. I must admit, being a sentimental old fool, it made me feel quite emotional. He looked in good order, clearly loving his day at the races. My brother asked how old he was. I imagined he was 15 years old but he is 22. In his career he ran over 100 times, had 16 wins and fittingly had his last win and run his last race at Great Yarmouth when trained by Chris Dwyer. To me, that is what horse racing is all about - the respect shown to a horse for life. 

2:10 Ayr (16th September) - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes for colts and fillies over 7f 50y on good to soft ground.

A few juveniles with proven form making this an interesting contest.

Strictly Silver has run well on his last two starts: looking a touch outpaced at Warwick over 7f and then struggling to last home at 1m when tiring in the closing stages at Kempton. Bailey holds this juvenile in some regard and this flashy grey colt has fair place claims.

Trail Blaze is a good-looking colt. He travelled well at Thirsk over 1m on soft ground but struggled over the last 100m. This drop back in distance will suit and he is likely to set the pace. With proven form on testing conditions, this son of Tagula has fair win and place claims.

Magic Destiny should enjoy this step up in distance after struggling, a touch, to go the pace at Haydock over 6f. The winner, Gusto, is a talented juvenile and by all accounts that was a decent maiden. Burke is a canny trainer and if improving a length or two for this trip, would be a leading each way chance at respectable odds.

Conclusion: Quite a competitive race and a few with a fighting chance. Trail Blaze is a handsome colt who always looks in superb condition. He is likely to set the pace and could take some pegging back if gaining an easy lead. Strictly Silver is a determined character. Bailey has his horses in good form. This colt should finish with some purpose although it would be a concern if slightly outpaced as seen at Warwick over the this distance. Magic Destiny is not the easiest to assess. She wasn't ideally suited by the 6f at Haydock and this step up in distance should be a plus. That was a decent maiden and I would expect better today. All three noted have fair each way claims.

HCE: 'Strictly Silver was settled off the pace and ran on well to beat the pace making Trail Blaze. Serene Oasis managed to catch the gritty Magic Destiny who looked to have a chance of winning but tired close home.'

Monday, 12 September 2011

A Quiet Few Days...

Look: Is That A Cloud? 
Just a quick note to say from tomorrow I'm going to the three-day meeting at Great Yarmouth and won't be updating the blog over this period. I was wrestling with the thought of doing so down the coast but taking a few days rest without excessive thinking, technology, gadgets and internet cafes seems the sensible solution. I simply want to enjoy gale-force winds, look as though I have just been rescued from twenty-foot waves if the rain comes down in buckets and watch my candy floss swirl across the north sea like a pink cloud. The joys of racing. I hope to back a winner or two. Sods Law there won't be anything of interest at Great Yarmouth but everywhere else will be opportunities abound. I can tell I will regret not going to Folkestone. Looking forward to visiting Caister. As a child I loved my summer holidays there. Innocent times. Beautiful days. Dad always loved his racing.

Be lucky.

4:10 Kempton (12th September)

A 0-65 rated handicap over 7f.

Not the easiest of day's racing on the two-year-old front. I've plumped for this lowly affair. Morning Muse may have each way claims, dropping into a nursery for the first time. With an official rating of 59, this is a fine chance to show a glimmer of ability. I am pretty sure connections have been disappointed by this youngster's performance so far. It was telling that she was made favourite on debut at Sandown but withdrawn when unseating Crowley on the way to the start. She was far too inexperienced to be competitive at Goodwood when behind Sunday Times. Her next two starts turned out to be pretty stiff races and although beaten some lengths this race will be much more suiting and seven furlongs a slower pace to sit handy. With Crowley in the saddle, I can imagine Winkworth is expecting a big run. A fair each way bet.

HCE: 'It was a long time coming but Outlaw Torn finally go off the mark, after not living up to the stable's hopes competiting in the Brocklesby. He is a fair-looking juvenile and made the most of this lowly level.'

Sunday, 11 September 2011

2:20 Ffos Las (11th September) - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 1m on good ground.

Roger Charlton has done well with his juveniles, especially a couple of potential stars under the ownership of HRH K Abdulla. Silver Lime showed promise on debut when given a considerate introduction. This colt by Mizzen Mast made ground in the closing stages giving the impression this step up to a mile would be ideal. A fair bet.

I'm interested to see how Mcdonald Mor progresses for changing stables. Mrs Fitri Hay must have had a falling out with Cole to see such an exodus of horses and Roger Varian and David Simcock have benefitted. After watching this bay colt on all three starts, I come to the conclusion he is best left alone as a betting proposition (unless you are a layer). He has ability, travels well on the bridle, but seems to have a dislike for being pressed in any shape or form. Perhaps this step up in distance - time off course - will bring about a more determined character but I would have my reservations. He is the kind of horse to travel well and falter when asked for more. 

City Dazzler is the only filly in the race. She battled well when finishing second last time. Hannon's juveniles have been in scintillating form and could well have each way claims.

Conclusion: Silver Lime has the look of a progressive juvenile and would be my selection. I couldn't bet on Mcdonald Mor. Perhaps a change of scenery and stepping up in distance will bring with it a gritty determination. However, he looks the type to buckle when pressed. City Dazzler is fair each way option but will most likely struggle to beat Silver Lime.

HCE: 'Couldn't see the race as they had a technical problem. Silver Lime seemed to be struggling, then won 'in command'. Journalistic ran much better today, while City Dazzler was a distant third.'

Saturday, 10 September 2011

A Wandering Mind...Who Is Bobby Talk?

A Wandering Mind...

Another long day. Not too many two-year-old races to consider from a betting point of view. I had one wager on Cherry Street (4:00 Goodwood). An HCE Elite Tip. I felt confident with three places and then a dreaded non runner and down to seven. For a fraction of a difference on the place bet, I would much rather have three places. Two places makes me feel nervous. Well, I had a few quid win and place on Betfair (3 places). Balding's juvenile ran well, held every chance at the furlong pole, but couldn't quite master John Gosden's winners. It seems unfair when he had such a good day! Surely, he can share a little of that victorious feeling around? (Joking, of course). Good luck to him. I would like to thank Mark of Patient Speculation blog for highlighting HCE Tipping Competition - under the spotlight. To be honest, I was pleased lots of new entrants didn't arrive because it can be quite time consuming. Our select gathering of tipsters are really very good judges. I am amazed how many horses run big races at fancy odds. As a little experiment I may run a profit and loss table just to see how we fair over the month. In fact, if you had backed all the selections as advised you would have had around 30pts profit today. I will keep a tally for the month just to see if these wise old owls keep a-hooting. Bobby Talk found a nice 10/1 winner. I do get an idea of the tipsters from the emails they send. Little hellos, morning, thank you - they all help build a picture of the people behind the names. Bobby Talk. Who are you? He is a newbie so not gleaned any insight from his emails just yet. It is great that each week the regulars arrive - tip in hand - to battle for the monthly prize. It's all good.   

4:00 Goodwood (10th September) - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes for colts & filly over 1m 1f192y on good to soft ground.

A test for these juveniles. Andrew Balding's two-year-olds have been quiet by his standards but there are signs the string is coming into form and Cherry Street ran well  on debut and should appreciate this trip. A good-looking colt by Alhaarth, this juvenile has good win and place claims.

HCE: 'A fair win for Daneking who added to a joyous day for John Gosden. Cherry Street done little wrong and for a stride or two held every hope but wasn't quite up to the challenge.'

Friday, 9 September 2011

2:00 Chester (9th September)

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f 122y on good ground.

Sholaan is likely to improve a good deal for his debut at Kempton. This bay colt by Invincible Spirit ran on with purpose and wasn't pressed when a creditable second and will enjoy this ground as he has quite a pronounce knee action. A fair win and place chance.

Hyperlink is likely to set the pace after showing similar tactics at Chepstow last time. The form of that race looks fair and he could well be a good bet to lay considering the major fancies will probably be held up.

McVicar has been running well in nursery races and comes back to try his luck in a maiden. On balance, he doesn't look to have the class. The major concern is the course. He is a rather awkward character who doesn't enjoy running with horses and the emphasis of this speedy track will not suit. I would be very surprised if he wasn't out paced and much bigger odds in-running. There is a chance he will run on in the closing stages. However, he is likely to have far too much ground to make up.

Sir Trevor wasn't fancied in the betting on debut but ran on with some encouragement. Money talks with the Dascombe stable and if strongly backed has claims.

Conclusion: Sholaan would be a good win and place bet if there were three places on offer. With two places, there isn't much room for manoeuvre but a fair sort who should run a big race.

HCE: Probably a poor race. McVicar proved my concerns all wrong and rallied well to take his first win. Hyperlink led but couldn't hold out. Sir Trevor finished third. A moderate affair.'

Thursday, 8 September 2011

A Wandering Mind...(Shot In The Dark)

A Wandering Mind...

Just the one bet today: Shot In The Dark, trained by Andrew Balding. I keep missing the best prices of late as this one was 10/1 on Betfair early. By the time I placed my bet it was half those odds. It looked a poor race and was hopeful of a big run and couldn't knock the performance. The winner was just too good. Quite a good day for the HCESTATBETS. Three selections given, all placed: 15/2, 5/1 & 4/1. It has been a very busy time of late and I have little time to do much else but focus on the racing. I will have a couple of days at Great Yarmouth next week, which will make a change to get to the races. Not sure if I will be able to update the blog on those days but time will tell.   

3:35 Doncaster (8th September) - Result

A Maiden Stakes over 1m on good ground.

I will keep this short and sweet as running behind time today. A decent field all chasing a sizable winning purse with a selection of form horses and debutantes from fashionable stables. Rawaafed - trained by Brian Meehan - is a good-looking colt by Invasor and cost $300,000 as a yearling. He was fancied to go well on debut but it could be telling that his trainer has opted to step up to a mile. If priced 13/2 & less a good each way bet.

HCE: 'A decent event with the first three pulling clear of the field.Perenial ran on well and could progress to a classy juvenile. The second, Encke, travelled with ease and touched short odds in-running, however, flattened out in the closing stages, or perhaps, two opponents which knuckled down. Rawaafed was niggled at the two pole but ran on in determined fashion. All three are worth noting.'

Wednesday, 7 September 2011

Eddie Straights Racin' World

£500 Last Man Standing Competition

Could you be that Last Man Standing & Pocket £500

6:50 Kempton (7th September) - Result

A restricted Maiden Auction Stakes over 6f, where racing experience is an advantage.

Hayward Girl hasn't been seen since mid-April, after an encouraging debut at Windsor. This attractive daughter of Bertolini would take all the beating if reproducing that form but there has to be some concerns why she has been absent for so long. Clearly there must have been a injury of some kind, which makes this return all the more difficult to assess. A wide draw is far from ideal, although experience should allow her to sit handy. Robert Eddery has proven himself to be a talented trainer with the few juveniles in his care and considering this filly looks a fair prospect I cannot imagine connections would run her unless fighting fit.

It has been all change for Molamento who failed to land a substantial gamble on debut by the narrowest of margins when owned/trained by Alan McCabe. Richard Green must have liked what he saw and probably paid a pretty penny for this daughter of Elusive City. Now stabled with Gary Moore, I can imagine connections will be expecting a big run in what looks to be a moderate event beyond the favourite. A second to Aquasulis was a fair effort on a turning track on debut and she is likely to appreciate this extra furlong. A fair each way bet, with concerns about the length absence regarding the favourite.

The debutantes will need to be fair types to trouble the leading lights, especially on a turning track, which makes inexperience doubly hard. They are best watched today.

Conclusion: Hayward Girl wouldn't need to show anymore ability than on her debut to make this a winning return. The gamble for those willing to take the short price is whether she is the same horse. Robert Eddery doesn't seem the type of trainer to rush his horses and I cannot imagine that one of his more talented juveniles would be running if not fit and well. I would fancy her to win although the price isn't tempting. Molamento looks a fair each way selection. Gary Moore has a good win and place rate with his fancied juveniles on their second start, which adds to its chances. In ways this seems a strange acquisition for Richard Green and it might just the case this youngster is much better than we have seen.

HCE: 'An easy win from Hayward Girl in a moderate race.'

Tuesday, 6 September 2011

Eddie Straights Racin' World

The Happy Punter Of Ally Pally (Part 6)

John Mort Green (Alias The Butterfly)

"Oh, sure," the man said disgustedly. "Hundreds of pounds."

Green turned quickly to a girl on the other side and said, "No good for the hair, this rainy weather, is it?" Then the caller informed us, "They're under starter's orders."

"Isn't it exhilarating?" the Butterfly said, flashing a happy smile. There were no further reports until the announcer informed us that "the delay is caused by Shylock, who's playing up a bit."

"Bad news," said Green, the smile vanishing, and then a dirty white flag was dropped and the caller said, "They're off. The leader is Cortachy Boy from Shylock and Bas Dimanche."

"We're in business!" said John Mort Green.

There was no change in the positions until the horses came into sight for the two-furlong drive to the finish. "He's in trouble," Green said, peering through what he calls his "bins." "Ah! Now he's running better." Shylock moved into a short lead. "He's got the biscuits!" the Butterfly shouted. "Hard at 'em now. my Shylock! Hard at 'em! Up! Up! Up!" And then, just as the herd passed in front of us, a horse named Warsite came from out of the pack to nip Shylock at the wire. The Butterfly was not exhilarated.

"Sixteen wins the biscuits." he grumbled. "There you are, see? Shylock's got 'em all beat but this bloody Warsite. Twenty-three horses and all beat to a frazzle! Look at his record, this bloody Warsite. He's never been there before. But he was there today. From now on it's 'Up lads and at 'em!' This is the time when you get up off your left knee!"

He did indeed get up off his left knee and finished the evening's racing slightly in the black. But his chance for a big killing had ended the instant Warsite moved on Shylock. Later, in the cool calm of retrospect, the Butterfly waxed philosophical about such occurrences.

"The day after something like that happens, it's completely gone from my mind," he said, "and all I can remember is being there, the beauty of it all. your mates about you and the setting and the excitement. Every race is like St. Crispin's Day to me. That was the day of the Battle of Agincourt, when 10,000 Englishmen beat 50,000 Frenchmen. The English had no money and very few friends, but they had their confidence, and confidence is everything. When I'm at the racecourse, I'm Henry V at Agincourt. 'We few, we happy few, we band of brothers: for he today that sheds his blood with me shall be my brother.' That's Shakespeare."

"I thought you said you didn't read anything but the horse news," I said.

"I learned it in school and it stuck with me. That part about: 'For if it be a sin to covet honor, I am the most offending soul alive,' meaning no matter who's left with me, I want to be the singular person. I remembered that because I want to be the singular person, too. Racing needs individuals, don't you think so, Olsen J.?"

Olsen J. said he thought so.

3:40 Lingfield (6th September) - Result

A restricted Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 6f on good to firm ground.

This looks a two-horse race.

Sir Fredlot has proven ability and by all accounts dropped in class. The form of his debut at Salisbury has been franked numerous times and he was beaten by a talented juvenile in Amazing Storm, who powered home at Windsor. Peter Winkworth has done well with his two-year-olds this season and this likable gelding will be winning this term. The only concern is the wide draw. With experience on side, it shouldn't be a huge negative although with a field of debutantes any interference or being away from the pace in the early stages would be a concern. At relatively short odds I would rather take a watching brief.A juvenile who should take the beating.

Princess Of Orange is an attractive filly with plenty of size and scope. In truth, we haven't had an opportunity to see what she can achieve. Running wide on the final bend at Lingfield, crushed any hope of winning, while a poor draw didn't help on debut. I get the feeling this daughter of Dutch Art is held in quite high regard by connections. Perhaps it will be her turn to have some luck. A high draw could well be a good omen and perhaps the difference between winning and losing. Bar the two favourites, this looks a weak race and the debutantes will need to be pretty smart to cause an upset.

Of the debutantes Gabriel's Lad is quite fancied. Dennis Coakley is a trainer worthy of note as his two-year-olds often run big races on their racecourse bow, often at fancy prices. Clearly, the cat is out of the bag on this son of Dark Angel. It would take a superb effort to win against talented opposition and for that reason I would have to take a watching brief.

Conclusion: I wouldn't look beyond the two favourites. Sir Fredlot has proven form and must go close. The draw is a concern and it is crucial Winkworth's charge gets in a handy position, running with the pace. With experience, this should be possible. At the price, I would take a watching brief. Princess Of Orange is still unproven to some extent. However, she ran on in determined style at Lingfield and could be a talented juvenile. She is a big, strong filly and if drifting to an each way price (unlikely) would be a superb bet.

HCE: 'A sparkling performance by Princess Of Orange who sauntered clear. Gabriel's Lad was well backed considering the two major fancies in opposition and ran well. I have to wonder whether Sir Fredlot disappointed to some extent or if the wide draw tainted his finish.'

Full result (click)    

Other races:
2:00 Leicester
2:10 Lingfield
2:30 Leicester
4:10 Lingfield
4:30 Leicester
4:40 Lingfield
5:00 Leicester


Monday, 5 September 2011

What's Our Google Ranking?

We've Been Googled






The Happy Punter Of Ally Pally (Part 5)

John Mort Green (Alias The Butterfly)

One morning the Butterfly telephoned me and, in his usual bubbly manner, went over our plans for the day: " Olsen J.?" he said. "This is Mort Green initial J bidding you a bright good morning on this beautiful spring day and hoping that you will find it a happy and rewarding one. We're going racing at Ally Pally. A regular timothy of a place, a brothel. All set? We'll bet well and come home early! It's up lads and at 'em! Over and out."

A Wandering Mind...

A Wandering Mind

Just the one bet today - sticking my neck out backing a relatively short priced horse for me. I though Lady Jameela was a fair price at 2/1, but perhaps the slight weakness in the betting (touching 3/1) was a negative. This looked a moderate race and if she was going to win, this was a fine opportunity. It didn't happen. Disappointing. I think she would have been a better prospect held up, but that is a matter for debate. A good-looking juvenile, perhaps an easy 6f is the key. The only blessing is that after this disappointment she could well be a speculative price next time, although she would need to be a price and a half to tempt me. Rode Two Destiny was substantially backed. It wasn't the biggest surprise as Peter Makin's juvenile had been entered to run in a stakes race, which often carries significance. 

2:10 Bath (5th September) - Result

A restricted Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f 11y on good ground.

This must be a fine opportunity for Lady Jameela to win. A good-looking daughter of Acclamation, she has done little wrong but bump into a number of talented juveniles. It seemed strange why connections stepped up to 7f last time, considering she had struggled to quite get home at 6f. There is a slight concern that this 5f will be a touch too quick but she is a pacey juvenile. Even if slightly outpaced, Channon's youngster should run on at the finish. 

Conclusion: 'Lady Jameela has a fine chance of gaining her first win.'

HCE: 'Courtland Avenue ran a better race today and finished well to collar the early leader, Lady Jameela, who in many ways disappointed. Perhaps pressing on over 5f didn't suit and there may be more to come over a step back to 6f. Rode Two Destiny was substantially backed and may have won if starting on level terms.'

Sunday, 4 September 2011

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