Showing posts with label Sterling Lines. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sterling Lines. Show all posts

Sunday, 6 September 2015

2:20 Windsor Racing Tips (7th Sept) AWESOME BISCUITS MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (Div II) (CLASS 5) (2yo)


A Fillies' Maiden Stakes over 6f on good going. Quite an interesting contest. Limonata was well backed when entered to run the other week but withdrawn when the ground turned soft. This daughter of Bushranger cost 90,000GNS in the ownership of Paul Jacobs. These silks adorn the highly talented Limato. Should go well. 

A few others worthy of note.

William Haggas' Gravity Flow is held in some regard. She cost 165,000EUR as a yearling. 

Lady Cecil has few two-year-olds in her string but it is intriguing to note this American daughter of Blame has been given a Stakes entry. These seemingly insignificant entries are often overlooked but a sign of confidence. Few of this trainer's juveniles win priced over 10/1. A wide draw isn't the best starting point for Granita. 

Andrew Balding has been in pretty dire form with his two-year-old debutantes this season. It's difficult to appreciate why, as many have run exceptionally well on their second start. Sunflower is a daughter of Dutch Art and holds a Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) entry [as does Gravity Flow]. The stable's juveniles can win on debut when priced 10/1 & less, especially so when 7/1. The poor performance of the debutantes this season would suggest taking a watch brief. Sooner or later one of these will go well but I'll watch today. 

Jim Boyle doesn't have the greatest of strike rates with two-year-olds but Black Bess belied her odds on debut showing promise, and the betting is important for her chances today. If priced 13/2 & less SP would have decent each-way claims. If outside this betting guide I'd take a watching brief. 

Conclusion: All in all a difficult race to assess with a few horses held in some regard, so could be a stronger race than first thought. Watching brief.          

2:30 Brighton - Perkunas is well regarded by Brian Meehan. This bay gelding ran well on debut and set a stiff challenge when competing at York's Convivial Maiden Stakes. That race was akin to pattern class, such was the level of prize money. Should take a lot of beating. 

Sterling Lines hasn't had much go right: last of fourteen on debut and then very well backed at Kempton but taking a dreadful stumble leaving the stalls which really made life difficult. Mrs Fitri Hay's colt is better than seen and a couple of Group entries detail he will go well with a touch of luck. Whether this son of Equiano can beat the favourite time will tell but he could well hold each-way claims at 10/1. 

Conclusion: Perkunas is a decent juvenile and will take the beating. If Sterling Lines touches big odds there might be some value. Rather than an each-way bet I'd be tempted to have a point on the favourite and Chapple-Hyam's charge. 

2:50 Windsor - Duck A L'Orange was relatively fancied on debut at 10/1 and the form of that race has been franked. Michael Bell doesn't have too many talents this season but this chestnut colt is thought to be a fair horse on the gallops and expected to improve for that first start. This is a step down in class and could well be backed. A wide draw isn't ideal but with experience this son of Duke Of Marmalade should sit handy. Interesting. 

Four On Eight defied huge odds second start and this step up in distance will help. Looks a tough nut to crack. 

Robert Eddery is a canny trainer and can pop up with a talented juvenile. Hepplewhite wasn't the most expensive purchased at the yearling sales for £18,000. This son of Rail Link out of a Galileo mare could be a good buy. Interesting to note this bay colt has been given an entry for the Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2). Pie in the sky or inspired? At odds of 25/1 it wouldn't be the biggest surprise to see a glimmer of ability and one for those who like a punt.   

Sporty Yankee is worth noting in the betting and if 13/2 & less SP would have serious claims. This American bred colt has been entered at Stakes class, which give encouragement. 

Conclusion: A few fancied here. Four On Eight sets a fair standard. I quite like Duck A L'Orange each-way. Sporty Yankee would be a solid each-way bet if strongly fancied in the market. Hepplewhite could go well at huge odds.    

Tuesday, 18 August 2015

6:40 Kempton Racing Tips (19th Aug) 32RED CASINO MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)


A Maiden Auction Stakes over 7f on standard to slow going. Fourteen runners and a few to note. Not enough time to go too in depth but pointers to help narrow the field. 

Sterling Lines didn't show any ability on debut at Goodwood but a couple of Group entries suggest much better is expected for Mrs Fitri Hay's colt, trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam. The betting is key. If fancied it will speak volumes. If priced 13/2 & less I'd expect a big run although a wide draw isn't ideal. If outside this betting guide, I'd take a watching brief. The entries are interesting. 

You N Me hails from a trainer I have great respect in Karl Burke. This daughter of Footstepsinthesand was given a Lowther Stakes (Group 2) entry [Thursday at York]. Clearly, this bay filly isn't up to that class. She was relatively fancied on debut over 6f at Carlisle but faded after showing pace. This race type is similar to her debut and the extra furlong will help. More is needed today. The betting is very important. If priced 13/2 & less I'd expect a bold show and decent win and place claims. If weak, best left alone. 

Harry Spiller may be in his formative season but he's a trainer who could well go places in time. I noted Star Glimmer before debut at Kempton when backed from 100/1 - 50/1. This daughter of Kodiac wasn't disgraced in fifth behind a few talents. That was an EBF Maiden Stakes indicating this is a step down in class. Spiller gave this juvenile a stakes race entry before debut, which I took as a sign of confidence. I can see this filly going well. 

Miss Blondell was a huge price on debut in a hot maiden at Goodwood, where she ran on with verve. Tregoning has sent a few juveniles to race at that grade 1 course over the years and they have often been his better types. There is always a slight concern horses running from off the pace may be flattered. The betting guide suggests this daughter of Compton Place has each way claims.

Conclusion: The betting will be the best guide for most. Sterling Lines & You N Me would need to be priced 13/2 & less to figure. However, both have been given significant entries which gives encouragement. The former could show marked improvement and if strongly fancied I would expect a big run. You N Me was a touch disappointing on debut but may have needed the race and will appreciate this step up in distance. If in the best betting guide, would have decent each way claims. If both are weak in the betting - best watched. Harry Spiller will be hopeful Star Glimmer goes well. She ran in a fair race on debut and this is an easier target. A wide draw isn't ideal but over this distance there is time to find a position. Has each way claims and worth a bet if available at big odds [10/1+]. Miss Blondell has claims but best watched.