Tuesday 18 August 2015

6:40 Kempton Racing Tips (19th Aug) 32RED CASINO MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 7f on standard to slow going. Fourteen runners and a few to note. Not enough time to go too in depth but pointers to help narrow the field. 

Sterling Lines didn't show any ability on debut at Goodwood but a couple of Group entries suggest much better is expected for Mrs Fitri Hay's colt, trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam. The betting is key. If fancied it will speak volumes. If priced 13/2 & less I'd expect a big run although a wide draw isn't ideal. If outside this betting guide, I'd take a watching brief. The entries are interesting. 

You N Me hails from a trainer I have great respect in Karl Burke. This daughter of Footstepsinthesand was given a Lowther Stakes (Group 2) entry [Thursday at York]. Clearly, this bay filly isn't up to that class. She was relatively fancied on debut over 6f at Carlisle but faded after showing pace. This race type is similar to her debut and the extra furlong will help. More is needed today. The betting is very important. If priced 13/2 & less I'd expect a bold show and decent win and place claims. If weak, best left alone. 

Harry Spiller may be in his formative season but he's a trainer who could well go places in time. I noted Star Glimmer before debut at Kempton when backed from 100/1 - 50/1. This daughter of Kodiac wasn't disgraced in fifth behind a few talents. That was an EBF Maiden Stakes indicating this is a step down in class. Spiller gave this juvenile a stakes race entry before debut, which I took as a sign of confidence. I can see this filly going well. 

Miss Blondell was a huge price on debut in a hot maiden at Goodwood, where she ran on with verve. Tregoning has sent a few juveniles to race at that grade 1 course over the years and they have often been his better types. There is always a slight concern horses running from off the pace may be flattered. The betting guide suggests this daughter of Compton Place has each way claims.

Conclusion: The betting will be the best guide for most. Sterling Lines & You N Me would need to be priced 13/2 & less to figure. However, both have been given significant entries which gives encouragement. The former could show marked improvement and if strongly fancied I would expect a big run. You N Me was a touch disappointing on debut but may have needed the race and will appreciate this step up in distance. If in the best betting guide, would have decent each way claims. If both are weak in the betting - best watched. Harry Spiller will be hopeful Star Glimmer goes well. She ran in a fair race on debut and this is an easier target. A wide draw isn't ideal but over this distance there is time to find a position. Has each way claims and worth a bet if available at big odds [10/1+]. Miss Blondell has claims but best watched.