5:30 Kempton (Wednesday, 6th March) Free Horse Racing Tips

A 0-75 rated handicap for 3yo colts and fillies. Just the five runners over this minimum trip with a few familiar faces re-opposing over course and distance.

Modern Lady,  Marvellino & Ada Lovelace raced here about one month ago, when the trio were foiled by the errant Windforpower, who may have his own ideas about racing, but a consistent sort who won by a head. 

Modern Lady has been kept busy this winter. Richard Guest's charge remains in good heart since winning her only race over course and distance when on a handy mark of just 55. She is a speedy type who often races from the front but versatile. There was little between her and Marvellino last start and raised 2lb in the weights with an official rating of 66. Modern Lady runs creditably but there is usually one or two better.

Marvellino has gone up  a pound for his last start when setting the pace and looking the winner for most. Pat Eddery's representative has been a frustrating character at times. One win in fourteen starts proves that point, although he is fast over 4f. From a low draw, Ahern is likely to set the pace and Marvellino will try to hold his lead. 

Ada Lovelace finished fourth that day,  a couple of lengths behind the winner. However, it was a rather disappointing effort when considering her tidy win at Lingfield when trouncing Modern Lady. This daughter of Byron took a marked rise in the weights for that victory, which may have taken its toll. The handicapper has left her unchanged so he's not taking any chances. I couldn't help but feel Crowley gave her a poor ride that day. He sat a little too far off the pace and then ran wide to make his challenge but failed to catch a few nippy types. There is little doubt he intended to finish with a flourish against tiring horses but that tactic didn't go to plan. She started favourite that day and I am sure connections expected much better. Crowley will sit handy and I expect a bold show. I can see this filly being backed.

Of the others, Dangerous Lady has proven a good earner for connections with a placed effort on debut and winning her last two starts. She has been placed well by John Hills. With 7lb extra for that first handicap victory it will be interesting to see how she fairs in what could be a stiffer contest. This daughter of Sleeping Indian has been prone to wandering when put under pressure. Perhaps that was due to inexperience but it is something to consider against these battle-hardened opponents.

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Michael Bell's Riskit Fora Biskit was a relatively expensive yearling buy at £60,000. Wearing the familiar silks of Chris Wright, she showed a pleasing attitude to win on debt at Lingfield over 6f. Compared with the other opposition, she could have the potential to progress with racing, although a mark of 73 is not a light weight. This April foal is drawn well in stall one. The mare raced over sprint distances but failed to win, while the sire, Kodiac, preferred a stiffer test of stamina. I have slight concerns she may struggle for pace in the early stages but a touch of class would see her go well.    

Conclusion: A tricky race to assess. Marvellino and Modern Lady are most likely to press on with an abundance of nature speed. However, both have found winning difficult and they really need races to fall apart to win. Dangerous Age has proven herself to be an able performer in three starts although this could be a stiffer test. Riskit Fora Biskit could be the class horse. A costly purchase, she has top weight for a debut victory, but dropping back to 5f may prove her undoing. I would be tempted to give Ada Lovelace another chance after a frustrating last run. Dean Ivory is a talented trainer and back to her best she could be value if priced about 5/1 and likely to be backed. 

     

6:05 Kempton (Wednesday, 6th February) Free Horse Racing Tips

A 0-75 Nursery over this turning 5f. Eight three-year-olds contest this race where a low draw can often be regarded as an advantage. All have won bar Scott Dixon's Con Leche, while a couple are remarkably consistent.

Ada Lovelace, a daughter of Byron, is lightly raced and trained by Dean Ivory. He is a talented handler and always catches my eye on the all weather. There was a lot to like about her win at Lingfield over the minimum distance, where Crowley played the perfect waiting game, and cruised past Modern Lady - who runs today - with little fuss. The downside is being raised a substantial nine pound in the weights. That looks a pretty stiff mark although she is clearly in good from which is very much an advantage against many of these who do not seem the most straightforward. A leading chance, especially if touching an each way price.

Modern Lady has a fair pull at the weights and not been out of the frame in her last eight starts. Guest's youngster is a course and distance winner but only one victory from thirteen races suggests this bay filly has limitations. A wide draw isn't ideal, especially if Prince [jockey] tries to lead. She is a speedy sort but it leaves her prone at the line.

Ron Harris must be as pleased as punch to train such a consistent horse as Windforpower. This Irish-bred son of Red Clubs is definitely a tricky customer, who often looks awkward when hitting the front. He is obviously a robust gelding who takes his racing well. It is quite remarkable that the handicapper has kept him at this present mark. He is weighted to run his race although most recent efforts have been at Lingfield & Wolverhampton. It will be intriguing to see whether this drop back to the minimum trip will have him on the back foot. However, it would be a brave soul to suggest another placed effort will not be on the cards.

La Sylphe is a speedy filly but probably best watched after changing stables and been on the sidelines for a few months. Derek Shaw isn't usually in any rush with his new recruits.

Marvelino has been a frustrating horse at times. Favourite when making his debut in the Brocklesby, there seemed much promise. Pat Eddery's charge won on his last start but that was a weak race and this bay colt needs everything to fall right. After tasting victory I would consider he is more likely to be poor value. He has ability but  susceptible.

John Best is a capable trainer and Mossgo has won twice. He is similarly weighted to when touching off Modern Lady. Running at the end of December suggests there may has been a problem as he finished last. He has claims on best form but a watching brief.

Con Leche isn't suited by a wide draw and last time's awkward start could be a real concern and may indicate temperament. 

Iwillsayzisonlyonce was put in his place by Ada Lovelace on their last meeting and another who doesn't make much appeal.

Conclusion: A race full of difficult customers. Ada Lovelace catches the eye and looks a fine each way selection if prices allow. The handicapper must have been impressed to inflict a nine pound raise. Ivory is a canny trainer and Crowley will most likely let a few of these burn themselves out vying for the lead. If the weight doesn't takes its toll she should finish well in the last two furlongs.