Tuesday 5 February 2013

6:05 Kempton (Wednesday, 6th February) Free Horse Racing Tips

A 0-75 Nursery over this turning 5f. Eight three-year-olds contest this race where a low draw can often be regarded as an advantage. All have won bar Scott Dixon's Con Leche, while a couple are remarkably consistent.

Ada Lovelace, a daughter of Byron, is lightly raced and trained by Dean Ivory. He is a talented handler and always catches my eye on the all weather. There was a lot to like about her win at Lingfield over the minimum distance, where Crowley played the perfect waiting game, and cruised past Modern Lady - who runs today - with little fuss. The downside is being raised a substantial nine pound in the weights. That looks a pretty stiff mark although she is clearly in good from which is very much an advantage against many of these who do not seem the most straightforward. A leading chance, especially if touching an each way price.

Modern Lady has a fair pull at the weights and not been out of the frame in her last eight starts. Guest's youngster is a course and distance winner but only one victory from thirteen races suggests this bay filly has limitations. A wide draw isn't ideal, especially if Prince [jockey] tries to lead. She is a speedy sort but it leaves her prone at the line.

Ron Harris must be as pleased as punch to train such a consistent horse as Windforpower. This Irish-bred son of Red Clubs is definitely a tricky customer, who often looks awkward when hitting the front. He is obviously a robust gelding who takes his racing well. It is quite remarkable that the handicapper has kept him at this present mark. He is weighted to run his race although most recent efforts have been at Lingfield & Wolverhampton. It will be intriguing to see whether this drop back to the minimum trip will have him on the back foot. However, it would be a brave soul to suggest another placed effort will not be on the cards.

La Sylphe is a speedy filly but probably best watched after changing stables and been on the sidelines for a few months. Derek Shaw isn't usually in any rush with his new recruits.

Marvelino has been a frustrating horse at times. Favourite when making his debut in the Brocklesby, there seemed much promise. Pat Eddery's charge won on his last start but that was a weak race and this bay colt needs everything to fall right. After tasting victory I would consider he is more likely to be poor value. He has ability but  susceptible.

John Best is a capable trainer and Mossgo has won twice. He is similarly weighted to when touching off Modern Lady. Running at the end of December suggests there may has been a problem as he finished last. He has claims on best form but a watching brief.

Con Leche isn't suited by a wide draw and last time's awkward start could be a real concern and may indicate temperament. 

Iwillsayzisonlyonce was put in his place by Ada Lovelace on their last meeting and another who doesn't make much appeal.

Conclusion: A race full of difficult customers. Ada Lovelace catches the eye and looks a fine each way selection if prices allow. The handicapper must have been impressed to inflict a nine pound raise. Ivory is a canny trainer and Crowley will most likely let a few of these burn themselves out vying for the lead. If the weight doesn't takes its toll she should finish well in the last two furlongs.