Saturday 24 November 2012

8:50 Wolverhampton (24th November) Free Horse Racing Tips

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 1m 141y. Quite an open-looking event with the majority of the field lightly raced. James Tate has proved himself to be a talented trainer and his association with Saeed Manana one which is sure to reap rewards in seasons to come. Tight Knit - an American bred son of Hard Spun - has been kept to the all-weather surface and shown glimmers of ability on his first three starts. In fairness, this February foal has been unfancied in the betting on each start and today steps up in distance. In some respects a difficult horse to assess and others might just prove more worthy options. One of two fillies in the this field, Stan Moore is represented by Inessa Armand. This daughter of Shamardal was a relatively cheap purchase. She didn't show a great deal on debut but ran a stormer over course and distance when

caught in the closing stages at big odds. This winner, Rainbow Beauty, is a fair juvenile for this grade and from a low draw connections are likely to hold a handy position and have a major chance at the two pole. Moore does well on the all-weather and this chestnut filly could well show the boys a thing or two. A fair each way selection.

A few debuatntes are featured at the top of the betting, including Rainford Glory, trained by Ed Dunlop, in the Dr Marwah Koukash silks. This gelding was a relatively cheap breeze-up purchase. Dunlop is a studious trainer and knows his two-year-olds well, consequently the best guide for his debuatntes can be the betting. There was money for this youngster early on the exchanges. The key will be whether this horse drifts in the market near the off or is further backed. If priced 13/2 & less it would be a positive. Graham Lee is riding this track exceptionally well but inexperience can be costly on turning tracks. If strong in the betting a big run should be expected but a major weakness would suggest he needs the run.

Another trainer who often has his two-year-olds primed on debut is Tom Dascombe. Good Evans is an intriguing chestnut colt by Mount Nelson and a costly enough purchase at  £55,000. The betting is the best judge. If priced 7/1 & less SP I would give this colt a leading chance.

Mikael Magnusson is a canny trainer, especially with juveniles owned by Eastwind Racing. This Irish bred, a grey son of Dalakhani, cost 35,000gns at the yearling sales. The stable can win on debut but sometime a little hit and miss. A wide draw is not the best starting point for a debutante. If Chief Executive is priced 10/1 & less SP he could prove to be a threat.

Grayswood was fancied to go well on debut at York but finished last. However, he showed better next start at Kempton and is bred to enjoy this step up in distance. This son of Dalakhani was quite an expensive purchase and half brother to Ticker Tape who was a Group 1 winner in the States and sold for almost $1000,000 at as a ten-year-old mare. From a low draw, this could have fair each way claims.

Of the others, Portrait was relatively fancied for Sir Mark Prescott on debut but always struggled to go the pace and bred to appreciate this trip. The betting on debut suggests there is some hope of further progress, especially so if backed. This filly racing in the silks of Denford Stud needs to improve a good deal and although weak on the exchanges at present would come into the reckoning if substantially backed.

Conclusion: A tricky race. The debutantes may have a fighting chance but need to be in their best betting guides to give greatest confidence. Probably the most interesting would be Good Evans if priced 7/1 & less. Of those with race experience, Inessa Armand looks the type to go well, from a stable who have their share of winners at this course. A fair each way bet. Grayswood hails from a canny outfit who similarly enjoy this all-weather course and worthy of respect. Portrait would have strong each way claims if substantially supported and priced 13/2 & less SP.