Monday 2 July 2012

6:50 Kempton (3rd July) Free Horse Racing Tips

A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 6f. Most of the field have experience with a predominance of colts.

Glass Office made a promising start to his career when finishing third to the talented Morawij at Haydock. He went close in the Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) at Royal Ascot.

David Simcock can often ready one of their debutantes. However, this son of Verglas, a 60,000euro purchase owned by Mrs Fitri Hay, travelled with ease but wasn't hard pressed by Spencer when  losing by a length. The form of that race has been franked with the fourth and fifth winning on their next starts. Glass Office is an athletic brown/grey colt, quite tall, perhaps a little on the weak side, which could well be reason why Spencer was at pains to give him a tender introduction. It might also indicate why he hasn't been seen for over a month. It is encouraging that Simcock has given this youngster a stakes entry. To all purposes this is a drop in class. From a long draw he has every advantage - likely to travel well - and go close.

Of the other form horses there are a few of interest but all need to improve on their recent efforts.

Standing Bear finished last on debut when huge odds, then fourth, showed a glimmer of hope, at Windsor on testing ground. If there is one thing this son of Excellent Art needs it's pace, especially in the early stages of his races. He was terribly outpaced last time to a point you would have given up hope. To his credit this bay colt ran on with purpose. Unless there has been something of a transformation Cole's juvenile will surely be outpaced. This turning course could magnify the problem. Best watched until racing over 7f.  

David Lanigan's two-year-olds have made a slow start to the season. Typhon was relatively fancied against a big odds-on shot Janoub Nibras. The favourite won in comfortable fashion. It is difficult to assess the merit of that form although the second, Sadiigah, has been entered for a Listed race, which may add to its worth. Typhon is a good-looking colt who didn't figure on debut over course and distance. He was a touch keen, then restrained, which saw him lose his place, and then showed inexperience taking the final bend. However, in the closing stages, this bay colt ran on with enthusiasm, giving the impression there could be ample improvement next start. In truth, this son of Proud Citizen needs to progress. He has hope but difficult to assess.

Classic Act is another juvenile who may be worthy of respect. Roger Teal doesn't have many juveniles but he does have the knack of finding winners. This son of Excellent Art was starry eyed when making his debut in a strong race at Ascot. Everything happened too quickly but it was noted that this 12,000gns yearling purchase ran on with purpose. Once again, he encountered soft ground when running in a small - but competitive - race at Sandown. There was good money for this youngster and I can imagine connections expected more. A wide draw is far from ideal. There may be substantial improvement racing on this surface for the first time. A tricky horse to judge and at relatively short price is best watched.

Magic Channel, a beaten favourite on both starts, is a fair-looking colt. This American bred was given an easy introduction at Salisbury and then showed an element of ability on soft ground at Lingfield. However, both efforts could be viewed as disappointments. The Hannon stable is usually a good judge and I wouldn't write-off this two-year-old. This all-weather surface could be the key to a bolder show and that experience will not go to waste. Something to prove but one to respect.

An outsider who may have a chance is Sylvester Kirk's Secret Symphony. This 25,000gns yearling purchase showed little on debut. However, Star Breaker, who run in the same race showing limited ability, went on to win next start. In addition, the stable sent out another second-start winner who had shown nothing on debut. Kirk has entered this son of Sakhee's Secret for a stakes race, which could well be a positive sign. You would have to chance your arm but the stable have the knack of winning on the all-weather. A speculative wager for those who like a price.     

The two debuatntes, Dancing Chief & Dashing Storm, are best watched unless substantially backed.

Conclusion: Glass Office is the most proven horse in the field and from a low draw is likely to travel well and sets the standard. Probably priced to chance but the one to beat. Typhon, Classic Act & Magic Channel look to be the main opposition. Each has shown a glimmer of ability but probably frustrated connections in the process. There should be no excuses today and there is a fair chance one of these will test the favourite. However, at the prices they still have something to prove and I would favour Glass Office to take the spoils. Secret Symphony could go well at a price.