Wednesday 21 July 2010

6:15 Leicester

A restricted auction race over 7f.

U A E Storm finished behind a talented horse in Deep South when second on debut at Kempton. This American-bred colt cost 50,000gns and David Simcock indicated that this two-year-old would improve for the run. The third Tick Tock Lover has run respectably since, although the form is probably nothing out of the ordinary and on a line through Diamond Penny there isn't a huge difference between Danzig's Grandchild and Sky Falcon. A slight negative is that Simcock doesn't feature the best win rate with his fancied juveniles on their second start although the place rate is fair. If improvement is forthcoming, then a decent run can be expected, however, at short odds may be one to oppose.

David Lanigan is a clever trainer and Menadati caught the eye on debut at Sandown. After a slow start, this colt by More Than Ready ran on with encouragement, to finish mid division without being pressed. A nice-looking bay with size and scope, it isn't a surprise to see money for this one on the exchanges although there is still a lot to prove beyond that initial effort. Lanigan has good place statistics with his fancied juveniles on their second start but often struggles to win. An interesting runner but a bet on potential rather than proven ability.

Nothing To Hide has run well on his last two races and is a robust sort who will take his racing. The form of his Windsor race is no more than average and the 2nd at Lingfield is slightly difficult to appreciate as Midnight Feast didn't give his true running from a wide draw. Whether this step up to 7f will suit is a matter of debate but it is sensible to consider the trainer knows best. This gelding by Barathea has enough ability to win at auction level, however, this does have the feel of a competitive race.

As noted above, Danzig's Grandchild and Sky Falcon have form lines with the potential favourite and the Warwick race may have been a stronger race than it first seemed. The 5th, Highlife Dancer, has won a moderate race since and at a price they could have a fighting chance.

2:30 Lingfield - Jacobs Son 1PTEW (4/1) 2nd

Comment: 'Looked to be struggling to go the pace round home bend but finished strongly and just failed.'

6:15 Leicester - Danzigs Grandchild 1PTEW (12/1) 5th

Comment:'Always travelled well and held a slight advantage in the final furlong but tired to finish 5th. Mark Johnston's Sky Falcon won, which is a touch ironic as our selection beat this runner last time. Perhaps that colt improved? Disappointing.'

Other races:
2:00 Lingfield
2:10 Catterick
2:30 Lingfield
2:40 Catterick
3:10 Catterick
6:35 Sandown
7:10 Sandown