Sunday 18 April 2010

2:10 Pontefract

A maiden fillies' auction race over 5f. (19th April)

Two juveniles with experience and a number of debutantes.

Majestic Style showed an element of speed in the Brocklesby before fading away tamely. Jarvis doesn't usually have his juveniles fighting fit on debut so this youngster may improve for the run, but certainly needs to. It is interesting to see Dettori booked, however, he rides so infrequently that it is difficult to consider whether his booking has any significance.

Tom Dascombe has still to hit form with his juveniles and the betting will be the best indicator to Little Miss Take. It is encouraging to see Kingscote in the saddle. Dascombe has a very good win and place rate when juveniles are fancied on debut.

Michael Dods is a talented trainer and Madam Markievicz is one of the more interesting runners that could go well at a price.

Richard Fahey has been in fine form with his two-year-olds this season and the betting is generally a very good guide to their chances . This filly by Compton Place was not very expensive but likely to be one of the main fancies in the betting with the stable flying at present.

One of the more expensive fillies in the field, Silca Conegliano cost £55,000. Channon is a talented trainer of two-year-olds and especially the fairer sex. Very few of his juveniles win at big odds and generally attract support if capable. At present his youngsters haven't been in the greatest form and his win rate on debut isn't as impressive as often quoted.


Comment: 'Not the most competitive of races and Madam Markievicz was slow away, which made this a stiff task from the off. Dods' youngster looked to have a element of hope but running in behind Majestic Style concluded matters. This was a statistical bet which means performances can vary from individual to individual but long term they make decent opportunities. With more wagers this season, and more statistical bets at speculative prices, we are playing a waiting game on this type of bet - but one worth waiting for.'

Other race:
5:40 Windsor