Friday 16 April 2010

5:00 Nottingham

A maiden over 5f on good to firm ground. (17th April)

Quite an interesting race with a few form horses on show with a number of debutantes from larger stables.

Diamond Geezah sets the standard with an encouraging 4th in the Brocklesby Stakes. That was a fair effort and this colt by Diamond Green could well improve for the run. Hills' youngster raced rather keen in the early stages, finding trouble in running, before staying on well in the last furlong. The Brocklesby form is holding up well and this two-year-old should be fitter and wiser today.

Richard Hannon has been in amazing form with his two-year-olds and My Son Max has to be noted, especially if relatively fancied in the betting.

A similar comment goes for Rowan Spirit. Dascombe hasn't unleashed one of his better juveniles yet but there is little doubt he will. At £10,000 this grey colt by Captain Rio is not very expensive. The betting will be the best guide and it is worth noting that Dascombe has a decent win rate with his juveniles on debut when relatively fancied.

Sir Lunchalott looks to have a stiff task and has many lengths to find with Diamond Geezah on their Brocklesby running. Moore's colt has a bit of size about him and may well improve with racing, however, he didn't look the most willing of charatcers when second at Lingfield last time, in what could well be a pretty moderate race. The cheek pieces seem to indicate that a little more focus is needed.

Paul Cole is always an interesting trainer although he rarely has winning debutantes priced over 8/1 and juveniles do not feature the greatest win rate on their racecourse bow. The market will be informative to this Dubawi colt's chances.

One of the more interesting entrants is Beach Patrol. Box 41 (owners) often do well with their purchases and this colt by Antonius Pius showed good speed on debut when the lesser-fancied of the two Channon runners. He didn't do much wrong that day but ran a desperate race at Ffos Las on good to soft ground. It is difficult to know why he ran so poorly although you have to consider something was amiss that day. Whether the ground was too soft or he suffered an injury, time will tell. After travelling with the lead, he dropped back and finished many lengths behind. On his debut form this colt has a decent chance - but that means forgiving a disappointing run last time. It wouldn't be the biggest surprise to see this colt show more today.

Other races:
5:10 Doncaster