Sunday, 31 May 2009

2:15 Carlisle (1st June)

A relatively restricted race for colts and fillies over 5f.

This doesn't look a very competitive race and reason why Yeadon is odds-on. This attractive colt by Fraam showed good speed on debut at Ripon, running on the far side, and chasing Kylladdie until tiring in the final furlong. Fahey is a master with two-year-olds and you have to consider the drop to this minimum distance is what is needed and even though the debut run wasn't a sparkling performance it is probably plenty good enough to win here.

Bow Beaver is one of few that appeal, especially as a 35,000gns purchase at a breeze-up sales, so should be fit and ready. Howard Johnson has been doing well with his juveniles this season and he is a trainer capable of bringing out a big gun or two. Obviously in a restricted race this is less likely and he doesn't have the greatest win rate on debut.

Silver In The Sand was a very short price for one of Bethell's juveniles on debut. The form of that race doesn't look anything special and improvement is needed. The market will be interesting for this runner and if backed again it may indicate that better was expected first time out.

Not a very competitive race and Yeadon will be a short price to win. Not the type of race I would want to bet myself.

A watching race.

Race review: 'Bow Beaver was all the rage in the betting which suggested this was a two-horse race. Howard Johnson's juvenile looking to be a comprehensive winner at one point, but Yeadon fought back towards to line and just failed to get back on terms. The only other horse to put down a effort was Mercers Row who was very well backed from big odds. For much of the way the Dickman juvenile held a handy position, but tired quickly in the final furlong to finish a distant fourth.'