Thursday, 7 May 2009

5:50 Ripon (8th May)

A restricted auction maiden for colts and fillies over 5f where a low draw and experience are a plus.

Pinnacle Lad and Oondiri have shown an element of ability although neither have set the world alight. Experience will certainly give them a boost against those making their debuts, however the fact that Pinnacle Lad has been entered for a selling/claiming event suggests this gelding is limited.

It wouldn't be a surprise to see this going to a juvenile making its debut even though inexperience will make this a tougher task. Ingleby Spirit is one of the more expensive juveniles in this race and this colt by Avonbridge, from a low draw, is one for the shortlist here. It is certainly encouraging that he has been entered to run in a stakes race. He wouldn't have to be a good horse to win.

Pepper Lane represents the Barron yard who have done well with their juveniles this season.

Of the others Miccolo is a long shot. Although he showed no ability on debut this juvenile has a bit of size and scope, quite well bred and the trainer's horses can often improve for the run. It's a bit of an all or nothing bet but at a big price in a bad race it may have a chance. (TC*)
On paper this looks a pretty ordinary race even for a auction maiden.

BET: 1PT WIN MICCOLO (available at 33/1+) 8th

* advised by T.Coote

Race review: ' This didn't look the greatest of contests. Pinnacle Lad & Sacred Star led from the start and Spearing's two-year-old made a bold bid to defy the late challenges of Pepper Lane and the ultimate winner Novay Essjay. Partick Haslmas' colt is an attractive, deep-chested sort and backed to show something today. Pepper Lane ran on well in the final furlong and may have won in another stride or two.'


Jamie said...

Just out of interest guys...

Why would you take the win as opposed to an EW bet at the longer odds?

Any particular reason?

jason said...

Hi Jamie,
Normally I would go for an ew bet but this is the kind of selection we tentatively went for a small win bet.It looks a poor race and we are taking a calculated gamble on this selection. Speculative bets can be hard to call (often hit and miss but worth considering long-term) and in this case we thought a straight win would be best.