2:00 Redcar (2nd May) Racing Tips

Buy Your Tickets On-Line @ Redcarracing.co.uk Maiden Auction Stakes. Eight two-year-old take part over 5f on good to firm ground. A handful of fillies take on a trio of colts. This is a very restricted race type and not a fully-blown maiden. This is a very important factor especially so with a fair form horse in the field. Six horses have raced once, two debutantes.

Make no mistake Princess Pheeny will take a hell of a lot of beating. Richard Fahey took a good few runners before hitting the winner's mark but his juveniles have been in flying form these last few day. An impressive Stakes success from Eastern Impact and another stylish victory from Peniaphobia at Pontefract [Wednesday]. This daughter of Tagula looks a superb purchase at £6,000. She ran well on debut when finishing second at Newcastle. This February foal was rallying at the line and may well have got back up with another hundred yards. The form of that race has been franked by Lexington Rose [second colours for Middleham Park Racing] won well at Ripon. The fourth wasn't disgraced on her latest run at Doncaster. It is worth noting that Princess Pheeny had been entered to run at Ascot [Wednesday] for a competitive Stakes race. However, connections have their brain switched on and this looks easy pickings by comparison. She is likely to be a big odds on but if a shade of odds against is available on the exchange early doors it should be taken. 

Of the others with experience, Sullivan Park needs to improve on her debut run at Beverley. Horses can improve dramatically from their initial start and it didn't help that she bolted to the start. Ian McInnes is a talented trainer but I would take a watching brief.

Lady Montenegro was second string when racing at Ripon, less than a week ago. She needs to do much more and another who doesn't really appeal. 

Mrs Karl Burke is one of my favourite two-year-old trainers as this stable know when to strike. Baltic Fire was relatively fancied at Ripon and a prime draw but was hopelessly outpaced. That first start didn't inspire but horses should always be given a second chance and can be transformed. However, the key to this colt's chance is the betting. If priced 13/2 & less he has strong place claims. If weak in the market, I would wait for another day.

Kristen Stubbs has taken over from her mother [Linda] but you can guarantee she will be working hard behind the scenes. Idamante showed good pace on debut before tiring when finish down the field. This bay gelding was a big price that day and could well have needed the race. Stubbs' juveniles are always worthy of respect on their second start even if they look next to hopeless on debut. They have a very good place rate on second start and this one could hit the frame. 

Kevin Ryan hasn't started this new season with his customary verve, with most juveniles in need of the run or limited. Lady Captain wasn't fancied in the betting on debut and hampered at the start. This daughter of Captain Rio is a good-looking chestnut and she simply had no luck on her racecourse bow. However, there was promise shown in the way she finished. Connections will be expecting a better performance and it would be a mistake to note she was beaten over sixteen lengths so naturally she has no hope. It wouldn't surprise me to see a bold show although there are question marks which would make me treat careful at relatively short odds. I would take a watching brief but one to fear.

The two debutantes hail from talented trainers. Money could be a significant indicator to both.

Kirtling Belle is a home bred but related to a few decent horses including Beat Seven who was highly campaigned by Gay Kelleway. Keith Dagleish has a good marker in Robynelle who finished a length or so behind Princess Pheeny on debut. It is a slight negative she is a home bred because they can be a little ring rusty on their racecourse bow. The best indicator would be if this youngster was substantially backed.

David O'Meara fields Innocently. The stable don't have the best strike rate on debut and I would rather watch and learn.      

Conclusion: Princess Pheeny is the horse to beat and the restrictive nature of this race magnifies her chances. The form of that first start looks solid and the fact connections considered the Ascot Stakes race gives evidence they hold her in some regard and that winning a maiden shouldn't pose a problem. I can see this filly being big odds on by the start of the race. If even money is available at any time it could prove value. Lady Captain is a good-looking juvenile and will improve markedly on that first start. However, she will need to be pretty good to beat the favourite. Idamante could sneak a place and if drifting to decent odds may be of interest. The betting is key for Baltic Fire. If priced 13/2 & less I would expect a transformation. If weak in the betting I would leave alone. Kirtling Belle would have claims if substantially backed.  Princess Pheeny would be my selection. 

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2:30 Newcastle (15th April) Free Horse Racing Tips

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f on good ground (good to soft in places). Seven two-year-old debutantes take part, two colts against a handful of fillies. This looks out of four horses as three come from stables who feature a poor strike rate with juveniles.

Mark Johnston has sent out a couple of two-year-old winners this season. Pigeon Pie is a home bred filly from Coln valley Stud and part owned by Nicholas Jones who owned the mare. She was trained by Sir Mark Prescott and won both starts over 6f at two before being retired to stud. The sire, Bahamian Bounty, was lightly race but a talented horse, for Godolphin. The stable have a fair win rate at the course although I find them difficult to assess. Johnston's debutantes often leave a lot to be desired with slow starts or inexperience. Their youngster can win on debut, especially when short-priced favourite. However, I would rather watch and learn than put my hand in my pocket.

Middleham Park Racing achieve an enviable standard with their two-year-olds, who are placed with a number of talented trainers. They field two horses with Richard Fahey & Bryan Smart respectively. 

Princess Pheeny is a daughter of Tagula and a cheap yearling purchase at £6,000. The mare won but needed a trip. The Fahey stable are yet to send out a juvenile winner but they feature superb statistics with newcomers. The most interesting runner.

As far as racing silks go, Lexington Rose is second string, trained by Bryan Smart. He is excellent with two-year-olds although last year was surprisingly average. This bay filly was purchased by Middleham Park for £15,000 at the yearling sales. She is entered for a number of big sales races so connections will be hoping she has ability. Bryan Smart can win with his debutantes although his statistics are not as impressive as pundits' proclaim. He features about 10% strike. On the positive side, his early horses are often better prospects. 

One horse which catches the eye is Keith Dalgleish's Robynelle. The main reason for my enthusiasm is that this daughter of Royal Applause was entered to run in the Brocklesby Stakes but bypassed that engagement. The stable had success a couple of years back with Stonefield Flyer. If substantially backed it would be a positive.

Geniusinrhyme, Spring Willow & Hebridean Princess are best watched.

Conclusion: Some races appeal as betting mediums while others don't and I must admit this race falls into the latter category. I would be surprised if one of the major four doesn't win but each has their weakness. On statistics Princess Pheeny ticks the boxes although the mare needed a trip and I just wonder if a stiffer test of stamina would be a plus. Mark Johnston is difficult to assess and Bryan Smart, although capable of winning with debutantes, does much better with horses on their second start. I'm intrigued to see what Robynelle can achieve and money would give more confidence. I would definitely take a watching brief on this race.   



Other 2yo races:

2:10 Redcar
2:20 Windsor
2:40 Redcar