An EBF Maiden stakes (Plus 10) over 7f 3y on good to firm going.
Not bad prize money for this contest. A few of these come with big reputations. Charlie Appleby has a number of talented two-year-olds in this year's string and Salsabeel is high in the pecking order if my information is correct. This bay colt is a son of Exceed And Excel and homebred for Darley racing in the royal blue silks. As with all juveniles making their debut, it can be a difficult test. However, this February foal is held in high regard and expected to go well.
Jeremy Noseda has been quiet with his two-year-olds this season but he is a class trainer and capable of sending out a debut winner although they often fare better second start. Intrepidly is an American-bred son of Medaglia d' Oro racing in the familiar silks of The Honourable Earl Mack & T Hind Racing. This $200,000 yearling comes from a good family with expensive siblings. This is the only horse Noseda has sent to the course and only ride for Jamie Spencer. Those factors alone give the impression they mean business and add to the interest of this maiden.
Novoman represents William Haggas. This chestnut son of Sir Prancealot was relatively fancied on debut at Epsom when placed third. A slow start didn't help but it is worth noting that was at auction class which means this is in race type a step up in class. This 90,000G yearling purchase will need to do better today but has valuable race experience.
James Tate is a superb trainer and he can go very well with juveniles making their racecourse bow. In addition, I consider this Newmarket trainer sends his better horses to race at this venue. Law And Order is a bay colt sired by Lawman racing in the familiar silks of Saeed Manana. At 40,000G this juvenile is a relatively cheap purchase.
Conclusion: An intriguing race. Law And Order may have claims but I would be looking at just two colts here: Salsabeel & Intrepidly. The former, trained by Charlie Appleby, is held in high regard and for me the horse to beat. Whether 2/1 or so is value is another thing. Time may tell it is a fantastic price. Intrepidly is an expensive purchase and it catches the eye that it is the only horse sent to the course by Noseda and solitary ride for Spencer. I very much doubt they will be coming here just for the seaside air. It could well be a match between the two talking horses. I would favour Salsabeel.
Day 11 of The 30 Day Challenge. Been a while since our last update but few chances of late.
An EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes over 6f on Standard going. Nine two-year-olds take part: all raced by one debutante. Jeremy Noseda is a class trainer. Rouge Noir was fancied to go well first start but disappointed somewhat, a few lengths away in fourth. This daughter of Showcasing cost 68,000gns at the yearling sales. The betting is important and if priced 13/2 & less has sound each-way claims. Better will be needed today and there's hope this drop in distance and a couple of weeks on the sidelines will find improvement. If particularly weak in the betting, I'd take a watching brief.
5:40 Kempton - Division II. Quite interested in Henry Candy's Artist's Model. This daughter of Dutch Art defied her odds when a gallant third at 16/1. This breeze-up purchase cost £38,000 by the trainer in the ownership of Girsonfield Ltd. The betting suggests this is very much a three-horse race and if this April foal is an each-way price has sound claims.
Rouge Noir (each-way bet if priced 13/2 & less) 4/1 8th (ran too bad to be true)
Artist's Model (each way bet if prices allow) 7/2 3rd
With Frankie Dettori making a return to the saddle it would be no surprise to see him prove victorious on a mount or two. A Maiden Stakes over 6f on standard going. Seven three-year-olds compete in this Class 5 event, consisting a handful of geldings/colt and two fillies. A mix of leading trainers featuring lightly-raced thoroughbreds bar one debutante. Gone With The Wind could go well, trained by Jeremy Noseda. This son of Dutch Art is out of a twice-winning mare costing 115,000gns at the yearling sales. Racing the silks of Mrs Susan Roy, this March foal was relatively fancied on debut when perhaps a somewhat disappointing fifth of ten. This bay colt has been off course for a couple of months and likely to progressed. Noseda has a very good strike rate at this course and I would be expecting a much fitter - streetwise - horse for this second outing. It is unfortunate there are only seven runners, which often puts a dampener on each way bet, being two places. However, this youngster must have fair claims, especially if well backed.
A Maiden Stakes for colts & geldings over one mile on standard going. Ten two-year-olds takes part: four with race experience, the majority debutantes from leading stables. Alpine Retreat and Alex Vino set the standard, both running creditably on debut and showing a decent level of form. Readers may remember I hoped debutante - Ian's Memory - would make his appearance at Yarmouth's Eastern Festival but this son of Smart Strike (CAN) was withdrawn at the declaration stage, most probably due to soft ground. This February foal was purchased at the Keeneland September Sales for $235,000. This bay/brown colt is held in very high regard by the stable and one of their leading juveniles. Frankie Dettori has a very good win rate on Noseda's two-year-olds and the stable have a similarly high strike rate at the course. However, this youngster seems quite weak on the exchanges. It could well be the case that Ryan Moore is obliged to ride for Sir Michael Stoute although it could be viewed as something of a negative for Ian's Memory that Moore was actually booked to ride him at Yarmouth. The betting is probably the best guide and if particularly weak in the betting come race start it may suggest the race is needed. Conversely, if substantially backed it would be a positive. If priced 13/2 & less sp has fair win and place claims although the two favourites are most likely to use their experience to go very well. I'd be tempted to take a watching brief with a view to betting Ian's Memory second start.
A Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f 11y on firm ground.
This restricted race looks ideal for one horse to finally gain that elusive first success - Vestibule. Eve Johnson Houghton's chestnut filly has been very unlucky to have not won a race or two. A combination of talented juveniles in opposition and a disliking for soft ground must have had her handler banging her head against the wall. This daughter of Khelefy is a neat little horse who is deserving of a win. This will most likely be her high or low. It is remarkable she has kept a willing attitude because so many juveniles would have regressed by now. There is always the fear that the wheels will fall off the wagon but I would keep the faith. This February foal is probably best suited by 6f but there is little to knock those efforts over the minimum trip. It could well pay to finish the race with some verve. If she runs near to the best of her form this will be a good victory.
2:00 Newcastle
Intrepid was expected to run a big race at Newmarket but ran terrible. Jeremy Noseda is a class trainer and this son of Invincible Spirit a costly yearling purchase. He ran a superb race on debut and there must have been something amiss second start. If strong in the betting this two-year-old will take all the beating. Loch Moy is worth noting if touching an each way price and looks a fine bet for a place. Fahey's juvenile was fancied on debut and that was a hot maiden. A debutante to follow could be Rust. Ann Duffiled has Sun Hill crammed to the rafters with two-year-olds and she has mentioned this son of Elnadin as a colt with a ''lot of quality''. The stable can be hit and miss with their debutantes and I would take a watching brief today simply because it will take a smart horse to beat those at the head of the market. However, I would follow this American bred colt, especially on his second start.
