Sunday, 18 December 2022

Sunday's 2yo Racing Tips (18th December)

1:09 Wolverhampton - 

Supaspecialawesome doesn't look much value. Abby's Dream has run three times which is a negative unless starting at the top of the market. Burke's Tilt At Windmills may be value as a high stat horse if 13/2 and less sp (they can win up to 8/1 but seem a touch hit and miss so I generally think half stake if that price). I would much rather the horse be 13/2 and less sp. It ran a fair race on debut without looking anything special but may improve for the run and stepping up to 7f. I would keep an eye on the betting and if over 13/2 class it as a weakness. 

2:09 Wolverhampton - 

Sergeant Pep looks straightforward and could lead. Was half fancied on debut and ran well enough in second place. Has fair stats if 13/2 and less sp. Not giving much away at 6/4. Doesn't look value. Great State won well last time and this step up in trip should help. I don't really consider the implications of the win penalty, rather the standard of the horse, so looks a decent type who could go well. Again, no real value unless drifting in the betting. Macho Mania has run well on both starts and hasn't done much wrong, just beaten by a couple of fair horses (both significantly entered). Looks the type to be help up off the pace and run to the line, which is never bad news. Could be a close call between the top three in the betting as they all look to have something going for them. Midnightattheoasis went through the sales ring although a home bred from part owner Christopher Wright. This suggests they will be looking to take advantage of banded races at some point. Not a bad bred horse. Charles Hills has debut winners up to 25/1 and doesn't have the worst stats at bigger prices although very hit and miss. Never easy taking on experienced horse, especially on a turning track and best watched. My Delilah has been half fancied on both starts and my have a glimmer of hope. She isn't a bad looking horse and didn't help herself with a slow start and pulling hard on debut over 6f. She ran wide on the final bend but would have hit the frame it all had gone well. Settled better second start when fancied in the betting and, again, didn't do much wrong running to the line. Stepping up to 6f may see her a little keen, but hopefully not, and I wouldn't be surprised if they lead. The last race was slightly difficult to assess. Not the easiest horse to hold strong claims but at 16/1 is, perhaps, one of the few horses in the race with an element of value. However, whether she can beat the three favourites is another question.

Jason