Wednesday 29 June 2016

7:10 Kempton Racing Tips (29th June) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF NOVICE FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

An EBF Novice Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) over 7f on standard going. James Tate has been quiet this season with his two-year-old runners. One juvenile that caught the eye is Urban Fox., This bay filly is a daughter of Australian stallion Foxwedge out of a winning mare who was trained by Amanda Perrett. This January foal runs in the familiar silks of Saeed Manana and exceptional yearling purchase at just 10,000G. She is held in high regard at home by connetions and backed on debut and powered home to win in tidy fashion. The form of that race has been franked with Rosebelle winning next start at Chester and Michael Bell's Preobrajenska who was pipped at the post at the course. This step up to 7f should suit Urban Fox. Clearly connections have been keen to make the right decision on this second start because she bypassed a Listed raced and Nursery on Friday. She carries a 7lb penalty which makes life more difficult but I can imagine Tate sees this as a test with a view to pattern class which I would consider is on the cards next start. With two other winners in the line-up this is a fair challenge. 

Fancy Day looks the main danger for Mark Johnston after a ready win at Pontefract. 

David Simcock has been in flying form with his two-year-olds and while respecting Miss Sugars this looks a much hotter race and she will need to make a marked step forward. This daughter of Harbour Watch is another juvenile who will enjoy this extra furlong. However, although limiting a winner is often a foolish exercise, I would take a watching brief with this winning favourite owned by The Tick Tock partnership. 

John Gosden is represented by two juveniles making their debut. It will take a smart horse to win against these talented opponents at the first time of asking. Both are owned and bred by Newsells Park Stud. Elas Ruby looks to be second string and best watched although she did go through the sale's ring for 160,000G. 

Double Spin is fancied in the betting and the stable have a respectable strike rate with their debutantes priced 13/2 & less SP. This American-bred daughter of Hard Spun is an early [January] foal and not sold for 50,000E. The mare won on debut, achieving a Listed success in her native France before competing in the U.S for her final three starts.      

Pacofilha is trained by Paul Cole and once-raced when placed fourth on debut at Wolverhampton over two months back. best watched unless substantially backed. 

Conclusion: A tough little stakes race and a good test for those with ambitions of racing at pattern class. Urban Fox showed a touch of class winning at Yarmouth on debut, the form has been franked and this step up to 7f will suit. Disappointing that we are dealing with just two places for each-way backers but I think this filly will go well.