Wednesday 12 February 2014

5:10 Kempton (13th February) Free Horse Racing Tips

Torres Del Paine can either be held-up or track the leaders. This gelding comes out second best on my figures, so must have an each-way chance. Diamond Vine can be held- up or track leaders. It has done better at Lingfield and rated in my top four. *Demoiselle Bond is the only horse in the race that is known to lead, so I'm hoping she can get an uncontested lead and try to make all. This mare is available at odds of 14/1 and looks a decent each-way bet. Strategic Action likes to track the leaders but it maybe needs a longer trip and potentially outpaced. Ryedale Lass has got slow times over course and distance. Geoffrey Deacon's mare may find this trip on the short side. I doubt if she is fast enough to be involved in the finish. Steel City Boy isn't in my top four on its figures at Kempton & probably prefer a slower surface. The type to track leaders, but might be outpaced by some of these at this faster course. Microlight can be held up or track leaders. However, it's not in my top four and maybe struggle to get involved in the finish. Christopher Chua may find this trip stretching its stamina, especially if it's a fast run race. Sherjawy is a rule to himself. He's not the most consistent horse but usually has a chance in low grade races. Rated fourth fastest, this bay gelding could make the frame if any of the top three rated don't run to their best. He likes to track the leaders so can't be dismissed altogether. Chester Deelyte has recorded a fast time over this distance but on the grass with good-to-firm going but so far has not been able to run to those times on the all-weather, especially at Kempton. Vhujon is a hold-up horse and comes out third best on my figures. He'll need a bit of luck when making a late charge. Brandywell Boy hasn't shown any worthwhile speed-figures at Kempton and will most likely find this distance too far and think he can be ignored.

SUMMARY: If *Demoiselle Bond gets to the front she can set the pace. I think she will be a good each way bet. I'm hoping the Lydia Richards [trainer] has put the seven pound claiming apprentice on board to help with the task of winning. The handler has only had four winners from sixty-nine runners but all of the winners have come on the all-weather: two at Lingfield, Kempton and the level stake profit is very good, which means some of the winners must have been big prices. At odds of 14/1 this looks a good bet. (E.R.I.C.)