Friday 14 February 2014

5:00 Lingfield (15th February) Free Racing Tips

Ex Ex likes to track the leaders and isn't in my top six rated, so think he might find the pace a bit too quick. Roy's Legacy usually likes to lead but that's over five furlongs and to have any chance today at six furlongs I think it needs to be held up because there's two other horses that can try to lead. Temple Lord can either be held up or track the leaders and comes out sixth on my figures so may have slight place claims but I don't think it is good enough to win. Meridius may need the run as he's been absent since October and isn't in my top four ratings. He did produce a good speed figure at Nottingham on good-to-firm going but over seven furlongs. He can be held up or track the leaders but on what its shown so far on the all-weather it's not for me. MULTITASK comes out top on my ratings and is another that likes to either track the leaders or be held up. El Mirage has recorded times over course and distance that are not quick enough to win this race even though he likes to either chase the leaders or can try to lead. Haadeeth, another horse that can try to lead or track the leaders, comes out fourth on my figures so could have place claims. Compton Prince won over course and distance last time out so shows it's in good form. It likes to track the leaders so another with place claims at the least. Dark Lane is a hold up or track leaders type and is second best in my ratings so has place claims and must rate the main danger. Star Up In The Sky is another horse that can try to lead but it's best figures come at Southwell so I doubt if this much faster course will suit. Shifting Star hasn't produced any fast figures over the distance and will probably find this trip a bit on the short side even though he can either track the leaders or be held up. I think he might be outpaced here. Spellmaker's figures on this course make it fourth in my ratings but he does have slightly better figures at Kempton. Those figures would move him up a place on my ratings. It's a hold up horse but I'm thinking it might not quite get to the leaders.

SUMMARY: There are four horses that can try to lead so it should be a decent pace to the race. The best of the leaders comes out fourth top so it looks like a race that will suit those who track the leaders. The two only genuine hold-up horses don't look capable of getting there to be involved at the finish. Multitask is well berthed in stall three so should be able to sit just behind the pace on the rails or very close to them and stay on well at the finish & hopefully win. There's only two firms pricing up the race at this time: Bet365 have Ex Ex as their 7/2 fav while Paddy Power have the same horse as their 9/4 fav. I'm surprised to see such a variance in thoughts from them but then again I don't think they are right with their choice of fav. If I could lay Ex Ex at around the 5/2 mark I would be doing so. There's only half a point difference with them on Multitask 9/2-4/1 (E.R.I.C.)