Wednesday 18 December 2013

6:00 Kempton (19th December) Free Racing Tips

A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 7f. Fourteen two-year-olds take part: an equal mix of colts & fillies. One horse which may be heavily backed is Stan Nineteen. George Baker knows his horses and this son of Kodiac could be better than seen so far. His form looks pretty ordinary but this bay colt was unlucky on debut when short of room and pretty fancied at Goodwood next start. Dropping back to the minimum trip didn't look at all positive and the horse was never going to figure next start, although ran on in the closing stages, which had all the signs of a preparatory run. Since that performance, this March foal was heavily backed when a late non runner in a similar grade. It could well be the case that the market was manipulated with knowledge this youngster would be withdrawn. However, it could be the case Stan Nineteen was backed with serious conviction. A tissue price (Sporting Life) of 16/1 suggests this horse could well be overlooked and if fancy odds are available on the exchanges, I would be tempted to take a speculative punt with a view to laying the bet to a no-lose wager if the money comes again.  

''Backed from 10/1 - 5/1 on exchanges - for informed analysis HCE knows the score''