Monday 23 September 2013

3:00 Lingfield (24th September) Free Horse Racing Tips

A Maiden Stakes for colts & geldings over one mile on standard going. Ten two-year-olds takes part: four with race experience, the majority debutantes from leading stables. Alpine Retreat and Alex Vino set the standard, both running creditably on debut and showing a decent level of form. Readers may remember I hoped debutante - Ian's Memory - would make his appearance at Yarmouth's Eastern Festival but this son of Smart Strike (CAN) was withdrawn at the declaration stage, most probably due to soft ground. This February foal was purchased at the Keeneland September Sales for $235,000. This bay/brown colt is held in very high regard by the stable and one of their leading juveniles. Frankie Dettori has a very good win rate on Noseda's two-year-olds and the stable have a similarly high strike rate at the course. However, this youngster seems quite weak on the exchanges. It could well be the case that Ryan Moore is obliged to ride for Sir Michael Stoute although it could be viewed  as something of a negative for Ian's Memory that Moore was actually booked to ride him at Yarmouth. The betting is probably the best guide and if particularly weak in the betting come race start it may suggest the race is needed. Conversely, if substantially backed it would be a positive. If priced 13/2 & less sp has fair win and place claims although the two favourites are most likely to use their experience to go very well. I'd be tempted to take a watching brief with a view to betting Ian's Memory second start.