Monday 29 April 2013

2:10 Yarmouth (30th April) Free Horse Racing Tips

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Weatherby's Hamilton Insurance Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f 43y on good to firm ground. A small field of five runners, four raced. Michael Bell fields his first two-year-old of the season. This daughter of Art Connoisseur was a relatively cheap yearling purchase at £20,000 but hails from a high-profile owner in Mrs Susan Roy. This February foal is a half-sister to Dutch Rose who has won five out of ten races to date. The mare was a fair juvenile for Ann Duffield who won her first two starts. The stable have a fantastic strike rate at this course although their general win rate on debut isn't as impressive. Using Horse Trainer Directory Bell said: ''On Tuesday we have a box full of runners at Yarmouth starting the meeting off with a nice two-year-old filly making her first career start. Sunningdale Rose has progressed all the time in her work of late. Although she will possibly need the run we hope that she will be a nice filly who will give a good account of herself.'' From considering Bell's comment, the course strike rate and limited nature of this race, this bay filly has fair claims although it is rarely straight forward for horses to win on their racecourse bow, especially against raced opponents.

There is little doubt the standout from this field will be Lady Lydia. She is a big, strong filly who overshadowed her rivals at Newmarket and considering most originated from leading trainers it adds to her appeal. Michael Wigham doesn't train many juveniles but they know the score and it could be telling there was money for this daughter of Kheleyf. That may have been as much to do with her physical stature but there was clearly some expectation. This 2,000euro yearling purchase looks an exceptional buy for such a small price. Interestingly, she is owned by ex-trainer Vince Smith, who was fond of sending his juveniles to this seaside course. She was a little keen on debut and tired in the final furlong but that was a promising effort. Not the easiest of horses to assess but sets the standard. [Update, just notice a big move on the exchanges.]

Lilo Lil is a sweet little filly trained by David Griffiths. She is held in some regard by connections and doesn't lack for pace. Bogged down at Musselburgh on debut, she nearly sprang a surprise at Redcar when second at 33/1. This daughter of Captain Gerrard had a fine chance last time out but probably bumped into a talented juvenile. If this turns into a moderate race she could win. However, I just have a feeling one of the favourites will prevail.

Anfield showed good pace on debut before tired in the closing stages. Better should be seen today but others are of more interest.

Tyrsal is an intriguing runner after being fancied on both starts but looking quite poor if distance beaten is any guide. This son of Jeremy is a decent-looking colt but he needs to have an excuse for those poor defeats. Robert Eddery is a canny trainer and it isn't beyond the realms this youngster has ability but things have just not got to plan. If racing in a large field, it would have been a speculative punt at huge odds but in a small race the odds are unlikely to be as tempting.

Conclusion: Lilo Lil has a fighting chance and likely to make the most of her experience. It may be to their advantage to set the pace and hope to sneak a lead. However, I can see this race being out of Sunningdale Rose and Lady Lydia. The betting will be a very good guide to this pair. Michael Bell's juvenile has some hope with a good course strike rate and positive quote. If this horse starts favourite I would consider it the one to beat. Conversely, if Lady Lydia is the jolly I would give her the nod. She is a gorgeous-looking filly with size and scope to progress with racing. She has a round action so fast ground might be a slight negative. The horse which starts favourite makes most appeal.