Wednesday 13 March 2013

1:30 Cheltenham (Thursday, 14th March) Free Horse Racing Tips

1.30 Jewson Novices Chase

This race revolves around Dynaste who has looked very impressive on his three chase starts. He'll be a banker of the meeting for many and it's hard to find much strength in depth in the opposition. Captain Conan hasn't impressed me at all and his neck beating of Third Intention last time does not look good enough to win this. Module is a very short price for what he's achieved. Aupcharlie has a more realistic chance but a top price 5/1 doesn't make him back-able each-way. Argocat won a Grade 2 at Limerick last time easily where Mikael D'Haguenet fell; at the time Argocat was going well and is taken to have beaten the fallen horse anyway. This form gives Argocat a realistic each-way chance and the price seems generous.

1 pt ew Argocat 14/1 Unp

Great win from Tony Martin's horse, beating the favourite, with a superb effort from the third at 100/1.  

2.05 Pertemps Final (Handicap Hurdle)

Ultra competitive; American Trilogy needs four horses to come out to get in the race. Off a mark of 136 the handicapper has definitely given him a chance. Got a good report from Dan Skelton on The Morning Line on Saturday - that wouldn't normally influence me but I'd already got this horse identified as being of interest so it tipped the balance. He acts on the track and should appreciate a big field and fast pace. Soft ground is probably my only concern although he has won on it before.

1 pt ew American Trilogy 20/1 Unp

Another big price winner ''and tribute to Campbell Gillies'' from Holywell's jockey Richie McLernon, trained by Jonjo O'Neill.    

2.40 Ryanair Chase

This is the race for Cue Card to prove he's top class. Unfortunately he has a tendency to hit a couple of fences in some of his races. First Lieutenant is favourite but we'll see whether the drop in trip will suit - I'd prefer him to go for the Gold Cup. Albertas Run won't get his good ground and Champion Court although talented has a knack of coming second instead of winning. Riverside Theatre did not run well at Kempton and didn't look at home on track last year, despite winning. Menorah looks held on form with Cue Card. Fingers crossed Cue Card jumps well.

1 pt win Cue Card 7/2 1st

Great win from Cue Card and Sean Kelsey fights back with a fantastic selection.   

3.20 Ladbrokes World Hurdle

The World Hurdle has been thrown wide open by the injury to Big Bucks but there is little strength in depth and I can't see beyond the first two in the betting. Reve de Sivola just shades it for me. I was really impressed with his last run where he kept pulling out a bit more and wouldn't let Oscar Whisky pass. Oscar Whisky isn't definitely better over two and a half miles and I'm not sure the slightly less soft ground will make a difference. It could be a close one though. The Irish challenge doesn't look up to it tome in this race.

2 pts win Reve de Sivola 4/1 4th

Note: William Hill best priced Solwhit 10/1 

Solwhit improved for the step up in distance to win well, while Celestial Halo (40/1) ran a cracker in second. Reve De Sivola was always up with the pace but just not quite good enough.  

4.00 Byrne Group Plate Handicap Chase

I selected Kapga de Cerisy for a race earlier in the week but he's a non-runner in that and may come here instead. He's worth a chance based on his sound beating of Fago last time. Ballynagour will be all the rage here but a rise of 20 pounds in the handicap is significant and despite the good record of favourites in this race is a little short for me at 4/1.

1 pt ew Kapga de Cerisy 14/1 Unp

4.40 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase

An amateur jockeys handicap chase. Difficult to have a strong opinion in this but On Trend has the right sort of profile for this, winning a race at Sandown in early February on heavy ground over 3 miles.

1/2 pt ew On Trend 20/1 PU

Note: William Hill best priced Deal Done 40/1 

Thanks to Sean Kelsey for his superb guest posts