Wednesday 2 May 2012

2:20 Pontefract (2nd May) Free Horse Racing Tips

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f on heavy ground. A ten-strong field consisting of colts & two fillies. 

This testing ground may be the difference between winning and losing today. One juvenile who should cope is Hillbilly Boy. This could well be Bill Turner best two-year-old and considering how many winners he has accrued this season, this son of Haafhd has attained a fair level of ability which indicates positive claims. This February foal has size and scope to progress with racing and seemed to enjoy the soft conditions at Beverley when losing in a photo finish. Turner commented that he would have won with more cover so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him sit just off the pace. With fitness on side he has respectable each way claims if price allows.

Polski Max was made favourite on debut at Musselburgh. A fair-looking two-year-old, this son of Kyllachy was inexperienced but was ridden as if fit and ready. The form of that race has been franked by the winner attaining success at Stakes class, while the second, Just Past Andover, won in style at Yarmouth, although that was a poor affair. This youngster has a wide draw which may be a positive or negative deciding upon where they race. 

Inchy Coo raced on the same card as Hillbilly Boy at Beverley so shouldn't be hindered by the soft ground although the time of that race was much slower than Turner's juvenile and more is needed.

The betting is the best guide to the unraced. 

Mark Johnston has a couple of talented juveniles and this could give a line to Steer By The Stars. This daughter of Pivotal is no cheap buy at 50,000euros. On to consider if substantially backed.

If priced 8/1 & less, Forray has place claims. Ed McMahon is one of my favourite trainers and a consummate professional. 

Fat Gary & Roland hail from trainers who can win on debut. However, the betting suggests they are not expected today. Unless significantly backed, best watched.

An outsider with a fighting chance is Mash Potato. Michael Dods is a canny trainer and his debutantes often hit the frame.

Conclusion: Hillbilly Boy figures high in the pecking order of Bill Turner's juveniles and seemed to enjoy the testing conditions at Beverley in what may turn out to be a decent race. He has respectable win and place claims if price allows. Polski Max and Inchy Coo have shown form but may need to improve on their debut runs. The betting is key for the debutantes. Forray has a fighting chance if fancied in the betting but a wide draw may not be ideal if racing up the inside rail. Mash Potato has place claims at speculative odds.