Wednesday 16 November 2011

6:10 Kempton (16th November) Horse Racing Tips/Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f. A selection of colts & fillies, of  debutantes and form horses. Galician went off an unfancied 16/1 shot on debut at Redcar over 7f but showed promised finishing second behind the talented Starboard. The winner, trained by John Gosden, was a well backed odds on favourite, so it was no surprise to see a few speculative priced juveniles filling the frame. Johnston's two-year-old is sired by the Australian Redoute's Choice, from a family packed with winners.

This grey filly is difficult to assess as the winner won in a professional fashion, while the rest of the field toiled in his wake. Galician beat the third with minimum fuss and being well owned, from a top stable and fancied in the betting gives encouragement regarding fair win and place claims.

Oblitereight is a two-year-old who deserves to pick up a race or two. William Knight's chestnut colt is a free-going sort who is likely to set the pace and might just hold on. He has shown admirable heart when placed on the last two occasions and probably the most proven of the field. I would imagine Kelly will press on and likely to touch shorter odds in-running. Another with sound each way claims.

With Peter Winkworth handing in his licence, William Knight finds he has Safari Sunseeker, a fair juvenile who was quite fancied when when second to Gloriam, although a long way behind. The third, Hurler And Farmer, won yesterday, which gives hope a win will come his way. The only reservation is that those maidens were at auction level where this is a fully-blown maiden, which by all accounts is a step up in class. 

To add to the mix, Saboog is worthy of respect. David Lanigan is a capable trainer and his juveniles often run a big race when fancied on their second start. This daughter of Teofilo cost 80,000gns as a yearling and the dam was listed-placed at two. The best guide to this ones chance is the betting. If priced 7/1 & less she has good win and place claims.

Of the others, Solar Diety is the first horse to run in the colours of Andrew Tinkler for Marco Botti. This bay colt by Exceed And Excel cost 35,000gns as a yearling. Botti can certainly have his debutantes ready to win at the first time of asking and if priced 10/1 & less has win and place claims although may struggle against these more experienced opposition which set a fair level.

Conclusion: A race where a number of juveniles can be given a shout. Oblitereight is likely to make a bold show but might be prone at the finish but a fair each way bet. Galician is difficult to assess and may be a thorn in Oblitereight's side if taking the customary front-running approach seen with Johnston's horses and something of an unknown quantity. Saboog has claims if priced 7/1 & less. A race I would rather take a watching brief as it looks competitive heat where four or five may have a chance.

HCE: ''A nice introduction for Solar Diety who won of debut against a number of form horses which looked fancied. Andrew Tinkler will be looking to put more horses with Botti if he can deliver. Glacian looked to hold the aces, leading for much of the final furlong, but couldn't withstand the late, determined finish of the victor. Safari Sunseeker race a fine race in third after showing good pace. Saboog and Oblitereight were put in their place but still may have some hope in a poor race.''

Full result (click) 

Other races:
12:20 Lingfield
12:50 Lingfield
1:20 Lingfield
6:40 Kempton