Monday 14 November 2011

3:40 Wolverhampton (14th November) Horse Racing Tips/Result

A Claiming Stakes with a maximum advertised price of £15000 over 1m141y. A poor race with a few juveniles dropped in class to find that elusive first win. Let Your Love Flow hails from Sylvester Kirk's stable. Although quite a small filly with not much substance this daughter of Iffraaj has shown good pace and a fair level of form in the context of this race. There was an abundance of money for her on debut and far from disgraced the last twice when third to the fair Presburg then behind Bank On Me at Newmarket. With course and distance form, Let Your Love Flow is likely to run well.

Another with a fighting chance is Marco Botti's Final Delivery. This son of Three Valleys - a gelding - has been off course for a month since finishing second when a beaten favourite in testing conditions at Redcar. The winner of that event Willie Wag Tail is a progressive juvenile so that may not have been a below par effort for this youngster owned by the Sticky Wicket Syndicate. After finding the competition a touch too strong in earlier races, this looks a prime opportunity for connections to fancy their chances. 

Of the others, Captain Cardington has ability but gives the impression he like a real test of stamina. On this turning course, it wouldn't be a surprise to see him struggling to go the pace but running on, especially so if the leaders set a frantic pace. Channon's juveniles should always be respected when dropping to plating class and although a horse which probably needs a race to fall right to gain a win, he has, at least, been victorious before.

Conclusion: Not the easiest race to assess. Let Your Love Flow is probably the most guaranteed of these to run her race, which counts for a lot at this level. I can see Kirk's filly making a bold show. Final Delivery will appreciate this drop in grade after slightly falling short in maidens. He would just edge it for me, although a tentative selection. Captain Cardington will probably sit off the pace and may pick up the pieces if the major fancies go a stride too fast.

HCE: ''A tight contest between Let Your Love Flow, Final Delivery & Barn Dance. The first named challenged on the home turn with little between her and Barn Dance. Final Delivery travelled well and ran on, just failing to catch Kirk's juvenile in a three-way finish.''