Monday 25 April 2011

3:00 Warwick (25th April) - Result

A selling stakes race over this flying 5f.

Experience counts for a lot at Warwick - a fast start is often the difference between winning and losing. On the contrary, a slow start makes this a mountain to climb. For that reason the debutantes lose favour here.

There are a collection of form horses. Van Go Go won last time out at Redcar after finishing second on debut. Dascombe gave a brief about this filly after her recent win and said she was a 'now horse'. This filly has a penalty for that success but this daughter of Dutch Art has a fair level of speed and a determined sort. By all accounts this is a slight drop in class and a proven juvenile is a very good starting point in such lowly races. The key point you want in a horse racing at plating level is an individual who can run to the line. Many will show speed for four furlong then cry enough - Van Go Go will take some beating.

Of the rest, *Sea Poet is quite an attractive colt for this grade. Haynes' youngster had no chance after a slow start at Folkestone and ran with more elan at Bath. On the face of it that looked quite encouraging. However, that form could well be moderate for those behind the winner. This half-brother to Pycian may have place claims.

The two most likely debutantes are I'm Talking and She's Cool Too. Both hail from trainers who can win with juveniles on their racecourse bow. However, they will need to be tuned-up to win.

The former, trained by David Evans, may have stronger claims if heavily supported because the stable have a form line with Van Go Go through Middleton Flyer. Many of their two-year-olds have been for racecourse gallops, which is a plus. On balance, I would favour Van Go Go. It is best to let juveniles prove they have ability rather than imagine at this level.

She's Too Cool comes from an owner (E A Brook) who does very well with Bill Turner. In fact he has had at least a couple of Brocklesby winners. Turner can get his juveniles ready for their debut but they can also be rather hit and miss.

Van Go Go is a proven winner and most of these will struggle to achieve that goal. Experience is key at Warwick with many of these being outpaced from the start. The others will show speed till four furlongs before dropping away. Dascombe's two-year-old will take some stopping.