Tuesday 24 August 2010

Tuesday's Thoughts

7:40 Kempton

The potential class horse here could be Andrew Balding's Desert Law.

This well-bred son of Oasis Dream by the group-placed Speed Cop (a sprinter with the trainer, and similarly owned by J C Smith) catches the eye. With entries for the Mill Reef (Group 2) and Middle Park (Group 1) there is little doubt this is one of the stable's better - if not best - two-year-olds. The race doesn't look that strong although Hoot ran a fair second last time and it is worth noting that Saeed Bin Suroor has an impressive 34% win rate with his juveniles over the last five years at this course. Barking has an element of ability but may struggle to win. The key point about Desert Law is whether he will be fit and ready to win on his first start. Balding doesn't feature the best strike rate on debut and even with more fancied juveniles he has only fair statistics. It is most likely this youngster will be placed today and primed to win on his second start but make no mistake this juvenile has ability.

Today's races:
3:00 Yarmouth
5:20 Leicester
7:20 Leicester
7:40 Kempton