Sunday 30 May 2010

2:55 Newmarket

A maiden over 5f.

This looks a three-horse race.

Bunce has run well on both starts and clearly has enough ability to win a race. This son of Good Reward travels well but slightly struggles to finish his races. Hannon is having a superb season and this two-year-old will run another strong race although could be prone to finding one too good.

Michael Jarvis always has a number of classy two-year-olds in his care and Mujrayaat went off an odds-on shot to win a Leicester maiden. Costing 280,000gns, this youngster was probably expected to win on debut but out battled by another talent in Karl Ryan's Nashara. That juvenile has since disappointed at Listed grade, however, this race will not be anywhere near as testing as that. With the Leicester race consisting of such a small field, it is wise to be a shade cautious because on a literal form line through Foghorn Leghorn, Bunce has the edge over this youngster. Jarvis' son of Invincible Spirit could well improve for that initial race.

The last of the trio, Swiss Dream, comes from a very good breeding line that Elsworth knows well. This filly went off favourite on debut and clearly this youngster is held in high regard by her trainer. She was entered to run in the Hilary Needler Listed race and the National stakes (Listed) at Sandown. Being drawn in stall 1 at Windsor, and crossing over to the rail in the first two furlongs is no easy task and little wonder she foundered in the last furlong, but still attained a satisfactory performance. Elsworth's two-year-olds can often improve a good deal for their debut and I would expect a more professional run today. Clearly racing against two able colts makes the challenge a little more difficult, however, she has the potential to run a big race.

All of the above would make strong each way bets if the price becomes attainable - although that looks unlikely.