3:00 Haydock (20th May) - Result

An E B F maiden for fillies over 6f.

Represent should take all the beating. Mick Channon was disappointed this daughter of Exceed And Excel failed narrowly to win on debut at Ascot. Harley keeps the ride but in ways was unfortunate to find himself behind a wall of horses, manoeuvring, and subsequently lost valuable ground. The form has been franked by the fifth, Starfly, winning although My Lucky Liz, running in the same race disappointed. Insignia Racing have a number of talented juveniles and this 36,000gns purchase has a great opportunity to go one better today but at prohibitive odds.

Richard Hannon has a couple of two-year-old debutantes: Dare To Dream & Caterina. The former is the more fancied on the betting exchanges. On the early declarations, Hughes was booked to ride another juvenile for the stable, Pink Sapphire, but not declared at the later stage. Time will tell if this factor negates the chances of the above mentioned  but it may detract from their chances to some extent.

Of the others, Brian Meehan has been quoted as saying: She's Flawless is a ''very nice filly who will probably improve for this initial run''. The weakness in the betting on the exchanges suggests today is not the day.

The betting will be the best indicator to Switcher, trained by Tom Dascombe. The stable know where their juveniles stand and any weakness in the betting is a negative.

Tooley Woods has Paul Hanagan in the saddle. He wasn't booked in the early declarations but the owners, Hodgson & Jarvis, have done well with Tony Carroll and Dijarvo marked herself as a capable two-year-old and gives a line.

One juvenile which may go well at a price is Vassaria. Michael Dods is one of those unusual trainers whose juveniles often go better at a speculative price on debut than strong in the betting. However, the downside with Andrew Tinkler's juveniles being the focus of attention, it is questionable whether this filly by Rock Of Gibraltar can win at fancy odds? Many of his runners with Dods have been very well backed.

Conclusion: This looks ready made for Represent to gain her first win. Of the debutantes, Tooley Woods and Vassaria may have each way claims at speculative prices.

HCE: ''Switcher didn't seem at all fancied on the betting exchanges early in the day but the money came for this filly before the off. Kingscote rode a sensible race employing holding-up tactics. This was a decent performance. Dare To Dream was similarly racing from off the pace and looks a fair juvenile who will benefit from the experience. Vassaria deserves a lot of credit for lasting to the line after setting a good gallop. Represent is not the biggest and didn't look straight forward in the race hanging. The form of the Ascot race seems to be foundering to some extent so perhaps one to be careful in future. She and Blodwen Abbey set a fair pace and they may not have helped their cause. James Unett's youngster was very well backed and travelled like a capable type for a long way and may be better suited back to 5f.''         

5 comments:

Neil said...

I am on Tooley Woods e/w at 20/1 :-)

HCE said...

Good luck, Neil. Interesting race in ways. Hope you won a few quid with last night's odds on shots getting beaten.

Neil said...

Thanks.

Yes I was all over Nayarra like a rash yesterday at Sandown. Matched at 1.45 and lost but was a close one!

Wayward Lad said...

Just performing my weekly reviews of past results and on reflection NOOR ZABEEL looks a cracking 2yo (won at York last week). His speed rating over 6f compared with Night Carnation over 5f in race before his suggests he could be Group class come the autumn. What do you think?

HCE said...

Hi Ian,

Thanks for your comment. Noor Zabeel certainly showed a lot of promise at York. This colt wasn't pressed much on debut clearly appreciating the 6f. The stable seem to be over flowing with talented horses this year. There was no knocking the win and Channon certainly holds it in high regard.It would have been better if there had been one or two form horses to give the race a line. However, the prize money was good and a there are a few decent prospects in behind. Noor Zabeel won in some style and could well be a pattern horse in the making. I must admit I was impressed with Channon's Leicester winner Arnold Lane but it is early days for that one.