Wednesday 5 October 2022

Wednesday's 2yo Racing Tips (5th October)

2:05 Nottingham - 

A big old field of 15 runners. Tough Enough ran well on debut and should improve but no real value at odds on. Martyn Meade has been quiet this season and Vecchio has run two fair races without looking a strong hope. Morboka hails from Owen Burrows' stable. He can pop up with a debut winner although they are few and far between. They have very good place claims up to 14/1 but they often struggle to win. Novus ran well on debut when running on with spirit and looked to hold strong claims but a giant drifter in the market and a disappointing effort. Experience on side may show up but, again, a horse that doesn't quite look up to winning a fair maiden. May have ew claims but you could be pushing your luck. All in all an open looking race. I would have to take a watching brief. 

3:15 Nottingham - 

A Class 2 stakes race. A decent race which should detail a good few winners in time. Liberty Lane is well though of in Burke's stable and backed. It would be significant if starting 6/4 and less sp. If outside this betting guide the chances of this colt winning would be lessened. Still, a horse of potential and likely winner this term. Roger Varian does well this month of the year with his debutantes and Sealine is worthy of note. A horse which has claims if 5/1 and less sp especially so if 11/4 and less. Ralph Beckett has been in fine form all season and owners Valmont have been literally flying with their debutantes for the stable. There has been money for this horse and one to respect especially with such a wealth of talent in the stable. Would be significant if priced 11/4 and less sp. David Simcock hasn't been firing on all cylinders this season but October is a decent month for debutantes and Amo Racing are always worthy of a second glance especially if the money comes. Alex The Great has claims if priced in single figures. A tough looking race where the betting may help identify strength and weakness. In truth, all of these horses have potential and worth following in the near future. 

5:50 Kempton - 

The exceptionally well bred Higher Law. Definitely a live chance if priced 11/4 and less sp. Really looking forward to seeing this colt. Syndicated disappointed on his first two starts when short odds and then won well on his third start. Stepping up in distance may help defy the win penalty although I do think that race last time out fell apart to some extent. If the favourite is a class act, I would be surprised if Andrew Balding's charge was good enough. However, that's the question. Hydration seems half fancied in the betting. Roger Charlton's charge ran quite wide for a long way last time out and then tired in the closing stages. Will definitely need to improve on that run and may hold claims if fancied in the betting. I think the betting will tell the story for this colt. Conclusion, very interested in the favourite but no real value. Similarly, Syndicated doesn't look to hold much value and I would be considering Charlton's Hydration but if not priced 13/2 and less sp I would view as a slight negative. 

6:25 Kempton - 

Looks a two horse race with Lieber Power and Supreme King at short odds. No real value and best watched.