Sunday 8 April 2012

2:10 Warwick (9th April) Free Racing Tips

A Selling Stakes over 5f on good ground. Seven runners, five raced, one winner. Bill Turner's juveniles have been in fine form. Severn Bore drifted quite markedly in the betting when making his debut at Redcar, most likely with regard to his trainer's pessimism, with the Dorset handler suggesting little was expected. However, this son of Tiger Hill ran a fine race and held the late charge of today's rival Sulvez L'Argent by just under one length.

The Joseph-Tuite trained Sulvez L'Argent ran well on debut and may revise placings today. This daughter of Pastoral Pursuits wasn't best away from the stalls and then struggled to go the pace a good few lengths adrift at half way. However, this bay filly rallied in the closing stages, responding well to a couple of taps administered by Julie Burke, in a fashion which suggested there was better to come. On breeding Tuite's youngster would appreciate a stiffer test of stamina. With Warwick being such a speed course, there is a concern she will be outpaced again. On balance, she has a fighting chance against her old adversary. 

Relay - trained by Richard Hannon - makes a quick reappearance after showing little in two races. This drop in class is a positive but further improvement is needed. 

The David Evan's raced pair look limited and it could well be telling Cathy Gannon takes the ride on John Spearing's Black Eider. Saying that, the trainer has a terrible strike rate with his debut and this cheap buy is best watched.

Silicon Valley has breeding to suggest a great test of stamina is needed.

Conclusion: Severn Bore looks a straightforward horse which counts for a lot at this level. The form of this last race has been franked by the success of Vanessa, winning on Sunday. Turner is in good form and I can see Egan trying to steal an easy lead. Sulvez L'Argent is the danger and could quite easily be the victor if progressing from that first start. However, it will be intriguing to see whether this race is a carbon copy of their previous encounter. Outpaced that day, his filly may have learned from that valuable experience. If betting, I would be tempted to back in-running because much greater odds may be available if struggling to go the pace. Expect her to finish with enthusiasm & give Severn Bore a fight to the line. Relay has been dropped in class but doesn't seem to be progressing. She showed good speed at Kempton but a difficult horse to assess.