Tuesday 6 December 2011

12:30 Southwell (6th December) Horse Racing Tips/Result

A 0-75 Nursery over 5f. The only two-year-old race of the day. Bookiesindexdotnet has been in fair form for John Jenkins. This daughter of Piccolo has a good level of pace although that may have been her undoing last time at Kempton when I See You finished with some purpose and had no response. I would have slight concerns that her victory over Sunrise Dancer somehow flattered her because Alan Jarvis' youngster is a better horse over 6f. Bookiesindexdotnot has steadily risen in the weights and although this is a lowly affair she has claims if not limitation.

Wicked Wench is weighted to finish close to Bengaline.The former trained by Jo Hughes is lightly raced so should be at the peak of her game which is a positive. Many of these juveniles have proven to be limited with fears of further regression. That point is most apt for Bengaline who should be closely matched with Wicked Wench but Nicholls' two-year-old ran poorly last time and is best watched.

Whisky Bravo has been a rather inconsistent horse but showing glimpses of ability. Brown's gelding looked to be in better form last time at Doncaster when racing over 6f. He was slow away from the stalls but made good headway in the closing stages. Whether this drop back to the minimum distance will suit is a matter of opinion. On the plus side, his only win came over this course and distance. A key pointer to winning at this grade is running to the line. There is little doubt Whisky Bravo will do just that but will he be outpaced after running at 6f on recent outings? 

Conclusion: A difficult race to have a strong opinion although interesting in it's own way. Bookiesindexdotnet has the pace to have many of these struggling but a question mark running on this surface for the first time. John Jenkins has a decent success rate at the course and by a process of elimination must have claims. Wicked Wench is progressing in the right direction and holds each way claims. Whisky Bravo would be a tentative selection having won over course and distance earlier in the season. He will finish well but wouldn't want to be ring rusty over this minimum trip. I would be tempted to bet in-running because much bigger odds are likely to be on offer. A tricky race.

HCE: ''The likes of Bookiesindexdotnet set the pace and it paid to safe something for the finish which favoured Whisky Bravo who was a touch outpaced. However, Brown's gelding picked up well as the others foundered and won comfortably.''