Friday 9 December 2011

11:40 Southwell (9th December) Horse Racing Tips/Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f. Another poor race. By all accounts the two favourites would seem to have this between them. Fistful Of Dollars improved a good deal on his debut run and may have bumped into a fair horse in Haaf A Sixpence. Jamie Osbourne is a talented trainer and rarely lets a winning opportunity slip by and although not much of a price has a leading chance.

To The Sea was relatively fancied on debut when racing over 9f. This daughter of Giant's Causeway was slow away and sowed signs of inexperience from start to finish. Johnston has decided to drop back to 7f. I generally consider that trainers know best and perhaps she has more speed than stamina. The Elite Racing Club have great success with their horses. If a two-year-old is going to win a race, it is generally on its second start and there is little doubt she will be primed for a big run.

Conclusion: Both runners are short priced and have little meat on the bone. Fistful Of Dollars has the most proven form but To The Sea could improve substantially for that initial run. I find Mark Johnston's juveniles difficult to assess and for that reason alone I would favour the other favourite.

HCE: ''A moderate race won by a Fistful Of Dollars who always held an advantage although looked vulnerable in ways.''