Saturday 1 October 2011

2:15 Redcar - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f on good to firm ground. This looks out of three juveniles. Fa'Iz, trained by Saeed Bin Suroor, has shown ability on his last two start after disappointing on debut at Yarmouth. This son of Dansili couldn't hold the late charge of Three Am Tour who was well backed. The stable have an impressive 42% strike rate at this course over the last five years and although far from one of Godolphin's leading lights should go well in a race that on paper looks quite moderate.

Buster Brown has been fancied in the betting on both his starts. James Given's has been quoted as rating this juvenile. He held ever chance coming into the final furlong at Newmarket last time but tired in the closing stages, finishing fourth, behind Miblish, a horse quoted as being Clive Brittain's best colt in his two-year-old string. This race will not be such a stiff task and he has fair win and place claims.

It is interesting to see Hanagan booked to ride for William Haggis. Invasor Girl was unfancied on debut but ran with encouragement. A filly with size and scope to progress with racing, she was more inexperienced than unfit and Richard Hills gave her a good introduction keeping her up to her work in the final furlong, staying on with enthusiasm to take second. Haggis' juvenile often improve a good deal for their first run and another with respectable win and place claims.

Conclusion: Fa'Iz represents a stable with a super win rate at the course and could be the horse to beat. Buster Brown has fair win and place claims. Invasor Girl is likely to improve from her debut run and another with a fair each way chance in what looks to be a weak race.

HCE: ''Right Divine was something of a surprise as far as the betting was concerned but there was no fluke about this win. Fai'Iz looked the winner and must have touched short prices in-running but couldn't cope with the late challenge from Meehan's youngster. Buster Brown managed third. A hopeless performance from Invasor Girl who is much better than this. She may have not been suited by the fast ground.''