Friday 28 October 2011

1:20 Newmarket (28th October) Horse Racing Tips/Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 6f  on good ground. Today's post isn't so much highlighting a selection but detailing a juvenile I am pretty sure will be substantially backed.Muaamara is trained by Mick Channon and the horse of interest. This chestnut filly, a daughter of Bahamian Bounty, cost 30,000gns as a foal. By all accounts a seemingly everyday runner. However she may be worth a second glance. Although it's never easy to assess the potential of a debutante, there may be a significant pointer to this juvenile's chances, which could potentially, make a very good no-lose wager.

At present Channon's representative is priced 11/2 (6/1 Betfair) but there is good reason to think this two-year-old will be substantially backed. My reason: simply that this bay filly has already proven a hit with backers even though yet to run. Earlier this month (not sure if she refused to go in the stalls or declared an earlier non runner) Muaamara was substantially backed in a hot race. With today's  maiden no more than an average contest, she could be the focus of a few big hitters and worthy of an anticipatory wager with the intention of a no-lose bet, if backed.

HCE: ''Mad. Perhaps I should have said that Channon's juvenile would drift substantially and then win! Clearly this filly has ability but disappointing that she wasn't backed until near the off from 15/2 - 13/2. As it happened I laid my bet off to cover my stake so a frustrating twist considering I had a bet to win well over one thousand. Muaamara just got the better of the Haggis horse in the closing stages. Listening to Hitchcott post race he said the horse had shown a lot of ability at home and he was confident from the start that she would win. Where was the money?''