Tuesday 18 May 2010

6:30 Carlise

A restricted auction race over 5f.

This looks a prime opportunity for Electric Waves, after a promising debut at Windsor. A number of winners have come from that race and McMahon's two-year-old will come on a lot for that debut. After taking time to get into her stride, this daughter of Exceed And Excel steadily narrowed that deficit without being pressed. That experience could make all the difference today.

Howard Johnson has maintained a cracking strike rate here in the last five years for his youngsters (44% win rate) and for that reason alone Solo Whisper should be respected. The most expensive in the field, the betting should be a fair indicator of his chances. In general, this trainer doesn't have a very good win rate with his debutantes.

Choose Wisely, trained by Karl Ryan, was thrown in the deep end when showing limited ability in a Stakes race on debut. A good, strong bodied colt he ran much better at Catterick when suffering interference in the closing stages. The third that day, Melodize, has since disappointed and it is questionable what level of ability this juvenile has. On looks you would have to be encouraged but not the easiest to assess at present although this race is hardly the strongest on paper.

The interestingly named Hayley Cropper is worth noting for any moves in the betting. Nicholls has a fair place rate on debut and juveniles are often ready to run a big race on debut.

Other races:
2:30 nottingham
3:10 Musselburgh