Wednesday 31 March 2010

2:10 Folkestone

This 5f maiden on heavy ground makes this a difficult race to assess. (1st April)

A number of these trainers have a attained limited success with their two-year-olds on past seasons. The Channon pair, Calormen and Imperial Waltzer, are of interest if fancied in the betting, however, he doesn't have the greatest win rate on debut, which is concerning. (Just noticed that both of these juveniles have been entered to run in a Selling race at Warwick on Monday, so not the best advert for ability.)

Shafgaan, a relatively cheap purchase at 17,000gns and half-brother to the talented Rosa Grace, is likely to be one at the head of the betting. Clive Brittain has had a number of juveniles run this season, at relatively short prices, and all have disappointed to some extent. I would be careful backing his two-year-olds until they find their form. Perhaps those runners so far have needed the experience. With a decent string of juveniles he is sure to have winners but none have shown much zip so far.

David Evans is certain to unleash a winning two-year-old sooner rather than later and Molly Mylenis isn't without a chance although, like many of this field, a cheap buy.

A few intriguing jockey bookings with Fallon and Spencer on board a couple of these. Novabridge was originally a ride for Dane O'Neill so it is interesting to consider why Spencer has been given the nod.

With the ground on the heavy side a big price winner may be on the cards. A difficult race to assess.