Tuesday 7 July 2009

5:40 Lingfield (8th July)

A restricted auction race for colts and fillies over 6f.

This doesn't look out of too many.

Janeiro has been running consistently but not had much luck so far. His last run at Salisbury when top weight in a nursery was a decent performance. The visor is fitted today and that is always a slight concern especially coming out after racing a few days ago. This sizable gelding must have a good chance as long as he hasn't been tarnished by a few hard runs of late and that would be my only issue when assessing this juvenile. Dascombe has done very well on the all-weather this season and I get the impression they are going for the win once and for all. A big run is expected although for a restricted race there is opposition of note.

Hot Pursuits seemlying ran a very good race last time at Kempton. In ways I don't know what to make of that race. It must be fair to start but it could actually be very good. Morrison's juvenile looks the sort who could struggle to go the pace over the first furlong or two and this may be a stumbling block for this compact, sturdy horse. If he can remain handy, then you should expect a decent finish. Not the easiest of juveniles to consider until the Kempton form has been tested but a two-year-old to respect in a race of this nature.

Ed Dunlop does well at Lingfield and there was much to like about the performance of Snow fairy on debut at Newbury. The basic level of form doesn't look as strong as the other two juveniles here but this is an attractive, strong juvenile and improvement could be on the cards. The jockey booking of Milczarek is unusual although whether it is a negative or not is a matter of opinion.

These three are probably priced to chance and the best solution would be an each way price, if possible. I think Janeiro is the class horse of the field but I would be slightly careful that the visor may just be a step too far.

An intriguing race.

A watching race.

Full result: 'Clearly the visor was a worry for Janeiro and he looks to have regressed to a point were you wouldn't be likely to bet again. This failure left the race open to one of two form horses and Snow Fairy ran out an easy winner. Baby Dottie ran well and looks the sort to improve with racing. Hot Pursuits took an age to get going and the race was over by that time. This was a disappointing effort in ways and you have to consider the form of that Kempton event isn't quite as good as it may have looked.'