Sunday 5 July 2009

2:40 Ayr (5th July)

Quite an interesting auction race over 7f.

Tom Tate's Count Bertoni ran well on debut at Newcastle. There is little doubt that the first three or four from that race have enough ability to win a race. This juvenile had no luck when running at Doncaster on his second start and after being bumped had little hope of getting into the race and looked quite disappointing. This step up to 7f should be an advantage and a big run is expected.

Aattash is a progressive horse and it has taken these two race to simply learn what is being asked of him. This step up to 7f will see further improvement and out of all of these juveniles he is most likely to run a consistent race. Quite an attractive, strong juvenile, Channon will have this colt by Clodovil primed today.

Mark Johnston's two-year-olds are always difficult to appreciate on debut as many romp home while other toil behind. The one thing to note about Ibn Hiyyan is that this colt cost $400,000.

Tuckitinyasok ran well enough on debut. The second has since disappointed at short odds although you have to consider that it didn't run its race.

Most of these are priced to chance in a way and I would prefer an eachway bet rather than straight win. Count Bertoni would be my choice. It pays to be careful after a disappointing run, even though there looked to be good reasons for that, and I wouldn't rush in at relatively short odds. Aattash will be there about and could be a threat as this 7f will be a plus. Difficult to know what the Johnston newcomer will do. Generally, I would take on the unraced and let them prove they have ability to start with.

A watching race.

Race review: 'Tuckitinyasok won this quite well after leading and travelling against the rail and not bullied to beat the all-out Layla's Boy. Not the strongest of events, and with Count Bertoni and Aattash seeming to regress the front pair had this between them from someway out.'