Friday 24 July 2009

2:30 Thirsk (24th July)

A maiden fillies' race over 7f.

Marie De Medici probably sets the form standard here with a close third last time at York. It is still quite difficult to assess the merit of that race. On balance, you would have to consider this daughter of Medecian has a fighting chance.

One of the more interesting runners is Knockenduff. This filly trained by Mick Channon ran well on debut without being hard pressed, giving the impression there was much better to come. Certainly this was the case in the betting at least as she went off one of the major fancies at Newbury but ran a disappointing race after coming across from a wide draw. Channon entered this filly for the Cherry Hinton which makes you consider more was expected and that may be the case today. The dilemma with this kind of juvenile is that they tend to be very much all-or-nothing bets - the classic first or last. Whether this step up to 7f is a plus or a minus is another quandary. The point that this two-year-old was very fancied on her second start and almost certainly disappointed to some extent makes me consider she is worth one more chance.

Emerald Spirit has been off course for some time after disappointing at Ayr. To be honest, the way this filly drifted on the exchanges it looked quite suspicious. Her running action suggests this better going will suit and a step up to 7f will be of benefit too. Weymes' juvenile has been entered to run in another Listed race since and may have ability. However, I wouldn't back this filly today as the stable doesn't inspire confidence.

Probably not the most competitive race and the form horses will be making the most of their chances here. Marie De Medici has claims and although unproven must run well. Knockenduff is the juvenile of interest for me. Channon's filly has something to prove after last time but was a positive in the betting and may run a big race today.

Note: (I would have been more tempted to bet if Knockenduff was a bigger price but at these odds (6/1 or so)there isn't much value to me. This 7f will help but I still have a few concerns.)
A watching race.

Rcae review: 'Big deductions here after Marie De Medici was withdrawn before the start. This was all about Admire The View who was well backed and travelled like the winner from a long way out. An effortless victory, connections were probably waiting for their winnings before the race had started. Mad Millie was the only one to hold any chance and Hetherton's filly showed an element of ability. Knockenduff managed to run on for a very distant third after being hampered early in the race which didn't help her causes but this performance didn't give much heart in ways. Channon's two-year-old is very sluggish and is likely to be outpaced in most races and then struggle to make up ground. This filly is limited.'