12:14 Lingfield -
I don't usually give horse racing tips on HCE.
And I'm not going to be detailing any tips in this post either. You may wonder why I am bothering to detail my thoughts.
At this time of year the 2yo maidens can be weak. However, you do get the odd horse with ample ability.
However, looking at the 12:14 Lingfield is almost like watching a race where no one has turned up. I mean that in the sense that the race looks exceptionally poor. I often call these type of races 'Egg & Spoon' races. This race may be going one notch less to the sack race. Where all the children with no particular sporting ability have their chance to taste victory.
Good for them.
I don't knock the opportunity to win a race and neither will these trainers. In fact, this may well be the only chance many of these horses have to win a race in their career. Someone will be winning.
This Farh is a scapegoat of a favourite. A forced favourite if I have ever seen one. In the sense that it's the jolly because the rest look even worse. I don't care whether it wins or loses. It's there to be shot at.
Black Falcon. I'm not saying this to be nasty (as I always hope for the underdog) but the day I see a Brian Toomey two-year-old fancied in the betting I'm thinking something has gone wrong. I hope it goes well for connections. Its not impossible but I wouldn't be betting on the horse, especially at 5/1.
Amanda Perrett's Dancing Terror a cheap purchase still in the ownership of the trainer. The only downside is that Perrett has a pretty poor strike race with her debutantes even when short odds. I think they have about a 14% strike rate, so it may be price to chance if 7/1. If priced 11/1 - 20/1 the stats are dire.
Straighttothepoint, an ex-Irish race horse, was so weak in the betting last time out it was quite astonishing. Pretty sure it opened up early with bookies about 10/1. It returned 100/1. I couldn't be betting on it. However, it has won a race which is something in a race of this grade.
Almutraf was well backed last time out in a maiden. It didn't achieve a great deal but this is a drop in class. I wouldn't be betting but in a race with Eyore and Gee Up Neddy there may be a glimmer of hope for someone.
Kazakh didn't show much on debut. Second start always brings an aspect of hope for two-year-olds.
Delightful Madam is stepping up in distance, which looks needed.
Saidha is trained by Mark Usher, who is much better in nursery races.
Spinning Doctor doesn't have much going for it in the way of stats on its fourth start.
Nutcracker needs to improve.
I'm fascinated to watch this race to see who wins. I won't be betting.