Saturday's Thoughts

4:20 Kempton
A maiden over 6f for colts and one filly. Guided Missile ran a typical Andrew Balding debut giving the impression there would be more to come on her second start. On balance that form looks to be no more than average, however, this daughter of Night Shift has the experience to put in a strong performance although there seems little value at the relatively short price. Robin Hoods Bay, trained by Ed Vaughan, ran on in an eye catching fashion behind Fastest Magician at Lingfield over 6f. A son of Motivator, you would expect a greater trip would be more suitable and although the trainer has good statistics with his fancied runners on their second start (13/2 & less) there is a concern that from a low draw (3) this colt may be outpaced again. Experience may negate such fears but it is a worry nonetheless. Of the rest, Russian Affair should be respected from Michael Jarvis, a trainer who is capable of winning on debut. The betting will be the best guide to this ones chances.

7:50 Wolverhampton
A maiden over 7f(32y). This doesn't look the most competitive race. It's quite surprising to see Certral so short in the betting after showing little last time when backed (then drifting substantially before the off). Baker is a decent trainer and perhaps something went amiss last time but much more is needed and one to watch. Mark Johnston's School For Scandal was relatively fancied on his debut at Kempton but faded in the home straight. The form looks no more than moderate and unless in need of the run that day has something to prove. Rutland Boy sets the standard and that could be a fair race in which he finished third on debut, behind stablemate - and talent - Ho Ya Mal. Ed Dunlop has a decent strike rate at this track and a big run can be expected. Of the others, Fifth In Line was a surprise package when going close at 50/1 on her debut over course and distance. Osbourne's juveniles generally improve a good deal for the experience and these colours have been seen to good effect this season. If priced 13/2 & less at the off I would give this daughter of Kodiac strong place claims.

8:20 Wolverhampton
The second division of this maiden. It must be a poor race for Scented to be 6/4 favourite although in such races the betting is usually the significant factor. Richard Fahey is in flying form with his two-year-olds - as he has been throughout the season - and Coral Moon, owned by Sir Robert Ogden, would be a tentative selection if fancied in the betting.


Today's races:
2:40 Kempton
4:20 Kempton
5:50 Wolverhampton
7:50 Wolverhampton
8:20 Wolverhampton

1 comment:

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