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Monday, 15 October 2012

2:10 Musselburgh (15th October) Free Horse Racing Tips

An EBF Maiden Stakes over one mile on good to soft ground.

Good money up for grabs.

Leitrim Pass was set a stiff task on debut at Yarmouth when finishing third behind Flow who looks a decent juvenile. This son of Raven's Pass was a relatively expensive purchase at 75,000gns and from a good family. He showed up well until tiring in the final furlong. William Haggis' two-year-olds are usually primed on their second start and I would expect a big run today. 

Ann Duffield literally has a stable full of two-year-olds and connections have spoken in glowing terms of Rust. This bay colt is a good-looking juvenile who showed promise on debut. However, he well and truly come unstuck when fancied at Catterick on his second start. That performance leaves punters with a question mark or two but this February foal may be worth another chance. It could well be the case that last race just didn't go to plan. He seemed to battle with George Rooke vying for the lead over the first few furlongs and probably done too much. I don't think this colt is a sprinter and it is plausible he was pressed too hard rather than allowed to find his stride, which can be a negative to any horse and reason why Rust faltered in the closing stages. It is interesting Duffield has decided to take a hike up in distance. The mare enjoyed a trip and I generally consider the trainer knows best. The stable rate this youngster and I would be hopeful he can hit the frame.

Stagweekend wore his Wellington boots at Newcastle when stepped up to a mile on his second start. It is difficult to assess the level of that form but this son of Footstepsinthesand is a determined sort. Must have each way claims.

Conclusion: Leitrim Pass has the profile of a good horse and should be primed today. There was a lot of encouragement to be gained from that Yarmouth debut and although a short price will take the beating. Rust is a fine-looking colt and it is worth noting that Ann Duffield has quoted he is a ''quality horse''. The debut effort suggested a win this season: the second start clearly made them consider the trip. I suspect this mile will be more suiting. I would be tempted to back this juvenile each way although probably play it safe and take a watching brief simply because that last effort was a disappointment. Stagweekend showed a gritty determination at Newcastle and probably the softer the ground the better for his chances. John Quinn is a canny trainer and if backed would have solid place claims. A watching race for me.