If you're looking for casinos that accept Trustly then we suggest visiting

Sunday, 3 June 2012

2:15 Redcar (4th June) Free Horse Racing Tips

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f on good to firm ground. Form horses, a mix of colts, geldings & fillies, one debutante makes a field of eleven.

A quick 5f. 

Lucky Lodge sets the standard. This bay colt trained by Mel Brittain started his campaign in the Brocklesby, finishing a creditable fourth. He was then sent to Beverley - over 5f - and made joint favourite in what looked no more than an average race. Nothing much went right that day. A wide draw was a huge negative, soft ground and he looked hot & sweaty. A slow start scuppered any hope and it is best to forget that performance. Clearly Brittain had faith in this youngster sending him to York to compete in a Novice Stakes over 5f. On what he had shown - now taking on a few winners - this looked a stiff task and the bookies didn't consider his chances at 40/1. However, this son of Lucky Story showed an abundance of natural speed and was only caught in the last furlong. This April foal always looks slightly awkward if not a little unbalance but runs to the line. His pace should put many of these on the back foot and this looks a fine opportunity and has fair win and place claims.

Dream Maker is trained by Tom Dascombe and a decent looking daughter of Bahamian Bounty. She was relatively fancied on debut over 6f at Chester. The winner stretched clear in the final furlong but this £1,000 buy led until the furlong pole. It is difficult to assess that race as they didn't look to go a great pace and there wasn't much between Mandy Lexi and Dream Maker one furlong out. The fourth, Sojoum, was beaten a long way on her next start. Time will tell if that was her true running or if there is better to come. Such factors muddy the water to whether Dream Maker has ability. As with all horses, it can prove a problem stepping back in distance. Even fast horses can look to lose their edge and it is worth noting. The betting suggests this chestnut filly is one for the short list and Dascombe's juveniles feature fair win and place claims with fancied runners on their second start. It wouldn't be a surprise to see her go well but I would be careful at a short price.

Another horse who didn't have much luck on her last start was Annie Gogh. This daughter of Dutch Art was sent off favourite at Catterick but badly hampered in the first furlong which pretty much concluded her race. She was sent off a short price on debut at Ripon, a race which Easterby often introduces a talent. That was a fair race although the form is probably nothing more than average. On balance, she has a fighting chance of being placed (if not more) but the negative could be her lack of pace in the early stages. This was most noted on debut, and difficult to gage on her second start. If that first run was true then I would have concerns she may be slightly outpaced which can make life difficult over this quick 5f. On a line through Botanic Garden, Lucky Lodge would seem to have the edge. She may plug on at the finish but ideally needs to have the speed to sit handy and this could be her Achilles' heel. 

David O'Meara is a talented trainer who does well with his juveniles. This bay gelding was quite fancied on debut and ran a storming race when second to Jubilee Games. He ran away from the whip in a zig-zag fashion but looked willing. The major stumbling block is that the form looks weak. The third horse, Sylvia Pankhurst, managed to find a race but that was a restricted contest. He had a stiff task at Doncaster on his second start. That was a decent race and a number of winners will come from that event. However, Dil Laney showed next to no ability that day. A few good judges said he was very stirred up before the race so perhaps there was an excuse. He needs one. It is interesting to see Fallon taking the ride and that O'Meara had this juvenile entered to run in the Lily Agnes and another Stakes race. These pointers suggest he may have something. If that second start was a dismal failure he could be a decent bet if improving for that initial start.

Of the others, Delores Rocket finished just in front of Dil Laney at Doncaster. Kevin Ryan always buys an attractive horse and this daughter of Firebreak is a good looker. At £19,000 she is the joint most expensive purchase in this field (My Claire). The betting is probably the best guide to this ones chances and if priced 13/2 & less would have fair win and place claims.

John Weymes is a difficult trainer to judge at times. In general, money is the best guide to their two-year-olds. It isn't beyond the realms they can find a winner or two and Twinwood Star showed promise on debut. This daughter of Moss Vale is a fair-looking filly and what surprised me most was the pace she showed that day. In fact, she had a fighting chance until tiring in the final furlong. For many, she could well have slipped off the radar and being trained by a less fashionable stable could go off a big price. If she was unfit that day - improved a few lengths - this could be a dark horse. Once again the dilemma is trying to assess whether that pace will be lost dropping back in distance. I am particularly careful with horses dropping back to the minimum trip. She creeps in this race off a handy weight and may have a fighting chance at speculative odds.

The only debutante, Poppy's Purse, hails from a trainer [Ollie Pears] who can ready a horse for its racecourse bow. If backed - take note.

Conclusion: Lucky Lodge looks the most likely to prevail. He has the pace to have many of these on the back foot and that could be enough. He looks a little awkward in the closing stages but plugs on and the horse to beat. Dream Maker is difficult to assess. It wouldn't be a surprise to see Dascombe's filly go well but whether she will struggle to go the pace is a matter for debate. The form of that initial start was fair and the betting indicates win and place claims. Annie Gogh doesn't look the most pacey of juveniles and I can see her being outpaced. That second-start disappointment may have hidden some initial promise and one to respect . However, I still feel others are more proven. Interesting, but a watching brief for me. Di Laney is another who could be better. This gelding showed a touch of ability on debut and if he did get upset at Doncaster there could be hope today. It is encouraging that O'Meara had him entered for a couple of Stakes races.  I would have to take a watching brief but if backed it would give further hope. Twinwood Star may go well at speculative odds but needs to have the pace to sit handy over this minimum trip. She may do just that but I would still have slight concerns she isn't quite up to the job.   The betting is the best guide to Delores Rocket and Poppy's Purse who would have claims if priced 13/2 & less.