Wednesday, 13 June 2012

2:00 Nottingham (14th June) Free Horse Racing Tips

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 6f 15y on Good ground.

A competitive field of fourteen runners, colts & fillies, just four raced.

Star Of Rohm ran well on debut, finishing fourth over 6f, in what looked to be a competitive race. The fifth horse, some ten lengths behind the leading quartet, and the form has been franked with Artigiano winning in superb style on his next start at Leicester. Bell's chestnut colt by Exceed And Excel is a good-looking juvenile and a fair purchase at 32,000gns. He was sent to Ripon an odds-on shot but to his backers' frustration couldn't cope with the drop to 5f and wide draw which saw him outpaced mid race. He ran on all too late. I have little doubt connections knew this youngster would be better over further but must have taken their chance. That was probably no more than an average race. The third and fourth have both gone on to win although Dream Scenario looked the type to improve a good deal while Botanic Garden found a weak race at Chester. This step back up in distance should see Star Of Rohm in a more professional light. He is likely to travel well - as he did on debut - and may even touch short odds in-running. He should be in the mix although I would not take a direct form line with Artigiano who clearly improved for his first start when coming a long way from off the pace. Fair each way claims.

is quite an interesting horse trained by Ed Dunlop. The stable have been in decent form with the winners Amazona & Sharaarah. This bay colt - a son of Aussie Rules - was nibbled at big odds when thrashed by the impressive Artigiano at Leicester but ran a very encouraging race. Finishing 5th after a slow start, just a length or two behind Pearl Noir, could well indicate ability. He is a big, strong juvenile who will put many of these in the shade. The fourth horse, Composed, was completely outpaced when fancied at Windsor next start and Gworn would need to be wiser himself on this second start. However, he could be a horse to make substantial improve and a player if able to sit handy in the early stages.

I like Paul D'Arcy - a talented trainer. Super Simon nearly took after his name when foiled by the last-stride thrust of Reliant Robin, when racing at Lingfield over 6f. This son of Redback cost £34,000 at the breeze-up sales but went off 33/1. He and the winner looked to be in trouble at the furlong pole, struggling for pace, while the leaders seemed to have the race at their mercy. It could well be the case they went a stride too fast and tired in the closing stages. It should be noted that was quite a restricted maiden auction which may hold down the form. To all purposes this is a step up in class. I would have slight concerns that Super Simon may be outpaced mid race, even with this experience on side. He isn't without a chance - all but a winner bar an inch or two - but this will be a stiffer task and he needs to improve. I would take a watching brief.

A horse which may go off at speculative odds is Winged Icarus, trained by Alan McCabe. This American-bred son of Speightstown cost 150,000gns as a breeze-up purchase and owned by Mrs Wentworth. McCabe seemed positive about this bay colt before his debut over course and distance but ran no race and looked to be lame. Many punters will take a quick look at his form and consider he has no chance. However, he could well be worth a bet if huge odds are available on the exchanges through the evening. This stable know the time of day and he will be fit and ready on this second start. He could go well although you have to forget that first run.

Richard Hannon is a class trainer of two-year-olds and he has done his new owner Hamdan Al Maktoum proud. In fact, three of their four juveniles to run in these famous silks have won. If breeding means anything, Rayaheen could be a very talented juvenile. This daughter of Nayef is out of the supreme mare Natagora who many race fans will remember winning the Chevely Park Stakes (Group 1) & 1,000 Guineas (Group 1), let alone her exploits in her native France. Nine of her fifteen starts were at Group 1 level, winner of four Group races, unplaced just twice in her career. Exceptional. An early (February) foal, Rayaheen has already been entered to run at Stakes level, which has been a good pointer with the stable's more talented types this season. As with any juveniles on debut, it is rarely straightforward. I would take a watching brief, but it would be no surprise to see this beautifully bred filly win on her first start.

Corn Snow hails from Mahmood Al Zarooni's stable. Godolphin two-year-olds are worthy of respect on debut although they can be slightly hit and miss. This son of Raven's Pass is out of an unraced dam. In recent years, nearly half of the stable's juvenile started at 13/2 & less on debut with about a 20% win rate. In general, I consider SaeedBin Suroor's juveniles more likely to be victorious when making their racecourse bow. I would take a watching brief unless substantially backed.

Another filly worth a mention is Trapeze trained by John Gosden. The stable have been in good form of late with two classy winners in Newfangled & Chat. This daughter of Pivotal cost 240,00gns as a yearling. The betting is the best guide to her chances. If strongly fancied it would be a confident sign. Fair win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less.

Of the other debutantes, Yourartisonfire is worth noting in the betting. This son of Dutch Art cost £25,000 at the breeze-up sales. Mrs K Burke has done well with her juveniles and this canny stable now their horses. Most often money tells the story and if substantially backed could go well. Weak on the betting exchanges at present but one to keep an eye on.

Zubha has been entered to run in the Coventry Stakes (Group 2), which is a sign of encouragement although Best's two-year-olds usually improve for the race and seen in a better light on their second start. 

Conclusion: An intriguing race with Rayaheen being the talking horse. I would hate to imagine how much this filly would cost if going through the sales. Sure to be fancied in the betting and if following in the hoof prints of Hamdan Al Maktoum's other talents seen with Hannon a live chance. I would take a watching brief against a few experienced form horses but a danger to all. Star Of Rohm sets the standard and will appreciate this step up to 6f. He is a good-looking colt who is likely to travel very well. His experience should count for a lot and must have each way claims. Gworn is a tricky horse to assess but could prove a capable horse in time. He is a big, strong brute. If wiser for that debut, sitting handy rather than outpaced, could run on with purpose. If priced 13/2 & less, holds fair win and place claims. Not the easiest to assess but certainly a horse who could improve. Super Simon ran well on debut but this is a stiffer task and may sneak a place. One I would rather take on. The betting is the best guide for Corn Snow, Trapeze & Yourartisonfire. All have sound win and place claims if priced 13/2 & less. I would be tempted to have a few quid on Winged Icarus, if available at huge odds, and hope it is backed. 

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