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Thursday, 14 June 2012

1:50 Musselburgh (15th June) Free Horse Racing tips

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f on good ground.

Eleven two-year-olds take part. Bar two horses the field is experienced, a few decent types for the restricted nature of this race. One colt, two geldings and band of fillies.

Therapeutic is a key form horse in this race. This bay filly, a daughter of Milk It Mick, has run well on both starts. She started her career in a strong auction maiden at Doncaster. The winner, Reckless Abandon, and runner-up, Annunciation, are classy individuals. To finish fifth was creditable and there is little doubt she will be winning this season. Starbotton was a few lengths behind and although a speedy type looks held. Scott Dixon must have been disappointed to find a similarly competitive race at Beverley on her second start where she done nothing wrong when runner-up to Dream Scenario who is a relatively progressive, talented juvenile. That day saw her hold Ollie Pears' Confidential Creek. This son of Sakhee's Secret was quite well supported for his debut and showed plenty of pace before tiring in the closing stages. It is possible he could improve for that initial start. However, he  didn't seem to be lacking in experience or fit. McHugh was trying his best to win. On balance, I would favour Therapeutic to hold the aces.

Red Style is quite a tall, leggy filly and not the most attractive of specimens but she has done connections proud on her last two starts. A bargain basement buy at 1,400euros, this daughter of Red Clubs is a battling type although limited to this grade. Hototo left Midgley's youngster trailing over the minimum distance at Ayr, which, in truth, was no surprise. If taken literally, the form line with Monkey Bar Flies suggests she is a length or two inferior to Therapeutic. 

I can imagine connections of Annie Gogh will be fancying their chances today. This daughter of Dutch Art ran a fair race on debut at Ripon before being hampered at Catterick, losing all chance in what turned out to be a hot race for the grade. Satsuma took the spoils in stylish fashion. At Redcar, Easterby's horse ran her race, showing pace, then losing narrowly to Lucky Lodge. That isn't the easiest race to assess and time may tell it was quite a moderate event. 

The betting is the best guide to the chances of Charlie Em.If priced 13/2 & less, she has respectable win and place claims. 

An outsider worth noting may be *Modern Lady. Richard Guest is a canny trainer and it is encouraging to note she was given a Stakes race entry before her first start. As it happened, this daughter of Bertolini was well backed at Pontefract. However, she blew her chance being far too keen throughout the race and tired markedly in the final furlong to finish last. That performance could hide, if not a talented juvenile, one which may go well at speculative odds. This bay filly is a powerful, compact sort and worthy of note.

Conclusion: For the limited nature of this race type this could be a gritty contest. Therapeutic is a straightforward filly who looks to have a fine chance of battling out a win. The relatively wide draw may not be ideal although I often consider it pays to finish a race at Musselburgh rather than blaze a trail. A fair each way bet if price allows. Red Style & Confidential Creek are capable juveniles at this level and should be there about. Annie Gogh is another who I would give a chance although I have slight concerns about the merit of the Redcar form. Modern Lady looks hopeless but I would take a speculative punt at huge odds because she just may run a big race. 


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